Prediction of pathologic upgrading in Gleason score 3+4 prostate cancer: Who is a candidate for active surveillance?

Purpose: Whether active surveillance (AS) can be safely extended to patients with Gleason score (GS) 3+4 prostate cancer is highly debated. We examined the incidence and predictors of upgrading among patients with GS 3+4 disease. Materials and Methods: The study involved 377 patients with biopsy GS...

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Main Authors: Duc Minh Pham, Jung Kwon Kim, Sangchul Lee, Sung Kyu Hong, Seok-Soo Byun, Sang Eun Lee
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Korean Urological Association 2020-07-01
Series:Investigative and Clinical Urology
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.icurology.org/Synapse/Data/PDFData/2020ICU/icu-61-405.pdf
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author Duc Minh Pham
Jung Kwon Kim
Sangchul Lee
Sung Kyu Hong
Seok-Soo Byun
Sang Eun Lee
author_facet Duc Minh Pham
Jung Kwon Kim
Sangchul Lee
Sung Kyu Hong
Seok-Soo Byun
Sang Eun Lee
author_sort Duc Minh Pham
collection DOAJ
description Purpose: Whether active surveillance (AS) can be safely extended to patients with Gleason score (GS) 3+4 prostate cancer is highly debated. We examined the incidence and predictors of upgrading among patients with GS 3+4 disease. Materials and Methods: The study involved 377 patients with biopsy GS 3+4 who underwent robot-assisted laparoscopic radical prostatectomy (RP) from 2014 to 2018 at a single institution. We analyzed the rate of GS upgrading and used logistic regression to determine the predictors of upgrading. Results: A total of 168 (44.6%) patients with GS 3+4 experienced an upgrade in GS. In multivariable analysis, advanced age, prostate-specific antigen (PSA) level, PSA density (PSAD) and Prostate Imaging-Reporting and Data System version 2 (PI-RADS v2) score were significant predictors of GS upgrading. When structured into a predictive model that included age ≥65 years, PSA ≥7.7 ng/mL, PSAD ≥0.475 ng/mL2 and PI-RADS v2 score 4–5, the probability of GS upgrading ranged from 36.4% to 65.7% when one to four of these factors were included. Conclusions: A substantial proportion of patients with GS 3+4 prostate cancer were upgraded after RP. However, according to our model combining clinical and imaging predictors, patients with a low risk of GS upgrading may be eligible candidates for AS.
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spelling doaj.art-5cd4cba82905436fb0039b86dda384bc2022-12-21T19:18:43ZengKorean Urological AssociationInvestigative and Clinical Urology2466-04932466-054X2020-07-0161440541010.4111/icu.2020.61.4.405Prediction of pathologic upgrading in Gleason score 3+4 prostate cancer: Who is a candidate for active surveillance?Duc Minh Pham 0https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6752-400XJung Kwon Kim 1https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8069-6225Sangchul Lee 2https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0844-6843Sung Kyu Hong 3https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8344-6774Seok-Soo Byun 4https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9356-9500Sang Eun Lee 5https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5480-9970Department of Urology, Cho Ray Hospital, Ho Chi Minh, Viet Nam.Department of Urology, Seoul National University Bundang Hospital, Seongnam, Korea.Department of Urology, Seoul National University Bundang Hospital, Seongnam, Korea.Department of Urology, Seoul National University Bundang Hospital, Seongnam, Korea.Department of Urology, Seoul National University Bundang Hospital, Seongnam, Korea.Department of Urology, Seoul National University Bundang Hospital, Seongnam, Korea.Purpose: Whether active surveillance (AS) can be safely extended to patients with Gleason score (GS) 3+4 prostate cancer is highly debated. We examined the incidence and predictors of upgrading among patients with GS 3+4 disease. Materials and Methods: The study involved 377 patients with biopsy GS 3+4 who underwent robot-assisted laparoscopic radical prostatectomy (RP) from 2014 to 2018 at a single institution. We analyzed the rate of GS upgrading and used logistic regression to determine the predictors of upgrading. Results: A total of 168 (44.6%) patients with GS 3+4 experienced an upgrade in GS. In multivariable analysis, advanced age, prostate-specific antigen (PSA) level, PSA density (PSAD) and Prostate Imaging-Reporting and Data System version 2 (PI-RADS v2) score were significant predictors of GS upgrading. When structured into a predictive model that included age ≥65 years, PSA ≥7.7 ng/mL, PSAD ≥0.475 ng/mL2 and PI-RADS v2 score 4–5, the probability of GS upgrading ranged from 36.4% to 65.7% when one to four of these factors were included. Conclusions: A substantial proportion of patients with GS 3+4 prostate cancer were upgraded after RP. However, according to our model combining clinical and imaging predictors, patients with a low risk of GS upgrading may be eligible candidates for AS.https://www.icurology.org/Synapse/Data/PDFData/2020ICU/icu-61-405.pdfpathologyprognosisprostate neoplasmsprostatectomy
spellingShingle Duc Minh Pham
Jung Kwon Kim
Sangchul Lee
Sung Kyu Hong
Seok-Soo Byun
Sang Eun Lee
Prediction of pathologic upgrading in Gleason score 3+4 prostate cancer: Who is a candidate for active surveillance?
Investigative and Clinical Urology
pathology
prognosis
prostate neoplasms
prostatectomy
title Prediction of pathologic upgrading in Gleason score 3+4 prostate cancer: Who is a candidate for active surveillance?
title_full Prediction of pathologic upgrading in Gleason score 3+4 prostate cancer: Who is a candidate for active surveillance?
title_fullStr Prediction of pathologic upgrading in Gleason score 3+4 prostate cancer: Who is a candidate for active surveillance?
title_full_unstemmed Prediction of pathologic upgrading in Gleason score 3+4 prostate cancer: Who is a candidate for active surveillance?
title_short Prediction of pathologic upgrading in Gleason score 3+4 prostate cancer: Who is a candidate for active surveillance?
title_sort prediction of pathologic upgrading in gleason score 3 4 prostate cancer who is a candidate for active surveillance
topic pathology
prognosis
prostate neoplasms
prostatectomy
url https://www.icurology.org/Synapse/Data/PDFData/2020ICU/icu-61-405.pdf
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