Managing Livestock Species under Climate Change in Australia

This paper examines the vulnerabilities of major livestock species raised in Australia to climate change using the regional livestock profile of Australia of around 1,400 regions. The number of each species owned, the number of each species sold, and the aggregate livestock revenue across all specie...

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Main Authors: Bruce McCarl, S. Niggol Seo
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2011-10-01
Series:Animals
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.mdpi.com/2076-2615/1/4/343/
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author Bruce McCarl
S. Niggol Seo
author_facet Bruce McCarl
S. Niggol Seo
author_sort Bruce McCarl
collection DOAJ
description This paper examines the vulnerabilities of major livestock species raised in Australia to climate change using the regional livestock profile of Australia of around 1,400 regions. The number of each species owned, the number of each species sold, and the aggregate livestock revenue across all species are examined. The four major species analyzed are sheep, beef cattle, dairy cattle, and pigs. The analysis also includes livestock products such as wool and milk. These livestock production statistics are regressed against climate, geophysical, market and household characteristics. In contrast to crop studies, the analysis finds that livestock species are resilient to a hotter and more arid climate. Under the CSIRO climate scenario in which temperature increases by 3.4 °C, livestock revenue per farm increases significantly while the number of each species owned increases by large percentages except for dairy cattle. The precipitation reduction by about 8% in 2060 also increases the numbers of livestock species per farm household. Under both UKMO and GISS scenarios, livestock revenue is expected to increase by around 47% while the livestock population increases by large percentage. Livestock management may play a key role in adapting to a hot and arid climate in Australia. However, critical values of the climatic variables for the species analyzed in this paper are not obvious from the regional data.
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spelling doaj.art-5cf80785d1414adfa594dc05fc8ef64b2022-12-22T03:34:35ZengMDPI AGAnimals2076-26152011-10-011434336510.3390/ani1040343Managing Livestock Species under Climate Change in AustraliaBruce McCarlS. Niggol SeoThis paper examines the vulnerabilities of major livestock species raised in Australia to climate change using the regional livestock profile of Australia of around 1,400 regions. The number of each species owned, the number of each species sold, and the aggregate livestock revenue across all species are examined. The four major species analyzed are sheep, beef cattle, dairy cattle, and pigs. The analysis also includes livestock products such as wool and milk. These livestock production statistics are regressed against climate, geophysical, market and household characteristics. In contrast to crop studies, the analysis finds that livestock species are resilient to a hotter and more arid climate. Under the CSIRO climate scenario in which temperature increases by 3.4 °C, livestock revenue per farm increases significantly while the number of each species owned increases by large percentages except for dairy cattle. The precipitation reduction by about 8% in 2060 also increases the numbers of livestock species per farm household. Under both UKMO and GISS scenarios, livestock revenue is expected to increase by around 47% while the livestock population increases by large percentage. Livestock management may play a key role in adapting to a hot and arid climate in Australia. However, critical values of the climatic variables for the species analyzed in this paper are not obvious from the regional data.http://www.mdpi.com/2076-2615/1/4/343/climate changeadaptationlivestock speciesAustralia
spellingShingle Bruce McCarl
S. Niggol Seo
Managing Livestock Species under Climate Change in Australia
Animals
climate change
adaptation
livestock species
Australia
title Managing Livestock Species under Climate Change in Australia
title_full Managing Livestock Species under Climate Change in Australia
title_fullStr Managing Livestock Species under Climate Change in Australia
title_full_unstemmed Managing Livestock Species under Climate Change in Australia
title_short Managing Livestock Species under Climate Change in Australia
title_sort managing livestock species under climate change in australia
topic climate change
adaptation
livestock species
Australia
url http://www.mdpi.com/2076-2615/1/4/343/
work_keys_str_mv AT brucemccarl managinglivestockspeciesunderclimatechangeinaustralia
AT sniggolseo managinglivestockspeciesunderclimatechangeinaustralia