Expectations do not need to be accurate to be maintained: Valence and need for cognitive closure predict expectation update vs. persistence

Expectations about us and our environment serve to successfully anticipate the future, make accurate predictions, and guide behavior and decisions. However, when expectations are not accurate, individuals need to resolve or minimize incongruence. Coping is especially important when expectations affe...

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Main Authors: Larissa Henss, Martin Pinquart
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Frontiers Media S.A. 2023-02-01
Series:Frontiers in Psychology
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fpsyg.2023.1127328/full
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author Larissa Henss
Martin Pinquart
author_facet Larissa Henss
Martin Pinquart
author_sort Larissa Henss
collection DOAJ
description Expectations about us and our environment serve to successfully anticipate the future, make accurate predictions, and guide behavior and decisions. However, when expectations are not accurate, individuals need to resolve or minimize incongruence. Coping is especially important when expectations affect important domains such as students’ academic self-concept. Whether expectations are adjusted after expectation violation (accommodation), maintained by denying the discrepancy (immunization), or whether individuals modify behavior to minimize the likelihood of future expectation violations (assimilation) depends on situational and dispositional predictors. In our experiment, we examined valence of expectation violation (positive vs. negative) as a situational predictor together with need for cognitive closure (NCC) as a dispositional predictor with N = 297 participants in a word riddle study. MANCOVA revealed that students tended to assimilate and accommodate more strongly after worse-than-expected achievement, and also NCC promoted both stronger accommodation and assimilation. NCC interacted with the valence of expectation violation: individuals with high NCC reported more assimilation and accommodation only after worse-than-expected achievement. The results replicate and extend previous findings: individuals do not always strive to have the most accurate expectations possible. Instead, both affective (valence) and cognitive (NCC) predictors appear to affect which coping strategy is preferred by the individual.
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spelling doaj.art-5d77ef6ebc8547c19b60e7e6f46945db2023-02-10T06:47:00ZengFrontiers Media S.A.Frontiers in Psychology1664-10782023-02-011410.3389/fpsyg.2023.11273281127328Expectations do not need to be accurate to be maintained: Valence and need for cognitive closure predict expectation update vs. persistenceLarissa HenssMartin PinquartExpectations about us and our environment serve to successfully anticipate the future, make accurate predictions, and guide behavior and decisions. However, when expectations are not accurate, individuals need to resolve or minimize incongruence. Coping is especially important when expectations affect important domains such as students’ academic self-concept. Whether expectations are adjusted after expectation violation (accommodation), maintained by denying the discrepancy (immunization), or whether individuals modify behavior to minimize the likelihood of future expectation violations (assimilation) depends on situational and dispositional predictors. In our experiment, we examined valence of expectation violation (positive vs. negative) as a situational predictor together with need for cognitive closure (NCC) as a dispositional predictor with N = 297 participants in a word riddle study. MANCOVA revealed that students tended to assimilate and accommodate more strongly after worse-than-expected achievement, and also NCC promoted both stronger accommodation and assimilation. NCC interacted with the valence of expectation violation: individuals with high NCC reported more assimilation and accommodation only after worse-than-expected achievement. The results replicate and extend previous findings: individuals do not always strive to have the most accurate expectations possible. Instead, both affective (valence) and cognitive (NCC) predictors appear to affect which coping strategy is preferred by the individual.https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fpsyg.2023.1127328/fullViolEx modelcopingexpectationexpectation violationprediction errorneed for cognitive closure
spellingShingle Larissa Henss
Martin Pinquart
Expectations do not need to be accurate to be maintained: Valence and need for cognitive closure predict expectation update vs. persistence
Frontiers in Psychology
ViolEx model
coping
expectation
expectation violation
prediction error
need for cognitive closure
title Expectations do not need to be accurate to be maintained: Valence and need for cognitive closure predict expectation update vs. persistence
title_full Expectations do not need to be accurate to be maintained: Valence and need for cognitive closure predict expectation update vs. persistence
title_fullStr Expectations do not need to be accurate to be maintained: Valence and need for cognitive closure predict expectation update vs. persistence
title_full_unstemmed Expectations do not need to be accurate to be maintained: Valence and need for cognitive closure predict expectation update vs. persistence
title_short Expectations do not need to be accurate to be maintained: Valence and need for cognitive closure predict expectation update vs. persistence
title_sort expectations do not need to be accurate to be maintained valence and need for cognitive closure predict expectation update vs persistence
topic ViolEx model
coping
expectation
expectation violation
prediction error
need for cognitive closure
url https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fpsyg.2023.1127328/full
work_keys_str_mv AT larissahenss expectationsdonotneedtobeaccuratetobemaintainedvalenceandneedforcognitiveclosurepredictexpectationupdatevspersistence
AT martinpinquart expectationsdonotneedtobeaccuratetobemaintainedvalenceandneedforcognitiveclosurepredictexpectationupdatevspersistence