Why increased extreme precipitation under climate change negatively affects water security

<p>An increase in extreme precipitation is projected for many areas worldwide in the coming decades. To assess the impact of increased precipitation intensity on water security, we applied a regional-scale hydrological and soil erosion model, forced with regional climate model projections....

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Main Authors: J. P. C. Eekhout, J. E. Hunink, W. Terink, J. de Vente
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Copernicus Publications 2018-11-01
Series:Hydrology and Earth System Sciences
Online Access:https://www.hydrol-earth-syst-sci.net/22/5935/2018/hess-22-5935-2018.pdf
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author J. P. C. Eekhout
J. E. Hunink
W. Terink
J. de Vente
author_facet J. P. C. Eekhout
J. E. Hunink
W. Terink
J. de Vente
author_sort J. P. C. Eekhout
collection DOAJ
description <p>An increase in extreme precipitation is projected for many areas worldwide in the coming decades. To assess the impact of increased precipitation intensity on water security, we applied a regional-scale hydrological and soil erosion model, forced with regional climate model projections. We specifically considered the impact of climate change on the distribution of water between soil (green water) and surface water (blue water) compartments. We show that an increase in precipitation intensity leads to a redistribution of water within the catchment, where water storage in soil decreases and reservoir inflow increases. This affects plant water stress and the potential of rainfed versus irrigated agriculture, and increases dependency on reservoir storage, which is potentially threatened by increased soil erosion. This study demonstrates the crucial importance of accounting for the fact that increased precipitation intensity leads to water redistribution between green and blue water, increased soil erosion, and reduced water security. Ultimately, this has implications for design of climate change adaptation measures, which should aim to increase the water holding capacity of the soil (green water) and to maintain the storage capacity of reservoirs (blue water), benefiting rainfed and irrigated agriculture.</p>
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spelling doaj.art-5dd88225a5b34b9397ba5a24e03517ae2022-12-22T03:35:27ZengCopernicus PublicationsHydrology and Earth System Sciences1027-56061607-79382018-11-01225935594610.5194/hess-22-5935-2018Why increased extreme precipitation under climate change negatively affects water securityJ. P. C. Eekhout0J. E. Hunink1W. Terink2J. de Vente3Soil and Water Conservation Research Group, CEBAS-CSIC, Spanish Research Council, Campus Universitario Espinardo, P.O. Box 164, 30100, Murcia, SpainFutureWater, Calle San Diego 174a, 30202, Cartagena, SpainFutureWater, Costerweg 1V, 6702 AA, Wageningen, the NetherlandsSoil and Water Conservation Research Group, CEBAS-CSIC, Spanish Research Council, Campus Universitario Espinardo, P.O. Box 164, 30100, Murcia, Spain<p>An increase in extreme precipitation is projected for many areas worldwide in the coming decades. To assess the impact of increased precipitation intensity on water security, we applied a regional-scale hydrological and soil erosion model, forced with regional climate model projections. We specifically considered the impact of climate change on the distribution of water between soil (green water) and surface water (blue water) compartments. We show that an increase in precipitation intensity leads to a redistribution of water within the catchment, where water storage in soil decreases and reservoir inflow increases. This affects plant water stress and the potential of rainfed versus irrigated agriculture, and increases dependency on reservoir storage, which is potentially threatened by increased soil erosion. This study demonstrates the crucial importance of accounting for the fact that increased precipitation intensity leads to water redistribution between green and blue water, increased soil erosion, and reduced water security. Ultimately, this has implications for design of climate change adaptation measures, which should aim to increase the water holding capacity of the soil (green water) and to maintain the storage capacity of reservoirs (blue water), benefiting rainfed and irrigated agriculture.</p>https://www.hydrol-earth-syst-sci.net/22/5935/2018/hess-22-5935-2018.pdf
spellingShingle J. P. C. Eekhout
J. E. Hunink
W. Terink
J. de Vente
Why increased extreme precipitation under climate change negatively affects water security
Hydrology and Earth System Sciences
title Why increased extreme precipitation under climate change negatively affects water security
title_full Why increased extreme precipitation under climate change negatively affects water security
title_fullStr Why increased extreme precipitation under climate change negatively affects water security
title_full_unstemmed Why increased extreme precipitation under climate change negatively affects water security
title_short Why increased extreme precipitation under climate change negatively affects water security
title_sort why increased extreme precipitation under climate change negatively affects water security
url https://www.hydrol-earth-syst-sci.net/22/5935/2018/hess-22-5935-2018.pdf
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