The phosphorus legacy offers opportunities for agro-ecological transition (France 1850–2075)

Management of the non-renewable resource phosphorus (P) is critical to agricultural sustainability. The global P cycle is currently disturbed beyond planetary boundaries, mostly due to large excess P use in the agriculture of industrialized countries, while P is lacking in the Global South. The traj...

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Main Authors: J Le Noë, N Roux, G Billen, S Gingrich, K -H. Erb, F Krausmann, V Thieu, M Silvestre, J Garnier
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: IOP Publishing 2020-01-01
Series:Environmental Research Letters
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ab82cc
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author J Le Noë
N Roux
G Billen
S Gingrich
K -H. Erb
F Krausmann
V Thieu
M Silvestre
J Garnier
author_facet J Le Noë
N Roux
G Billen
S Gingrich
K -H. Erb
F Krausmann
V Thieu
M Silvestre
J Garnier
author_sort J Le Noë
collection DOAJ
description Management of the non-renewable resource phosphorus (P) is critical to agricultural sustainability. The global P cycle is currently disturbed beyond planetary boundaries, mostly due to large excess P use in the agriculture of industrialized countries, while P is lacking in the Global South. The trajectories of P management and their effects on future sustainable agriculture were investigated for the case of France from 1850 to 2015 based on empirical data and simulations of two coupled biogeochemical models. Here we show that while French cropland soils have accumulated significant amounts of P, mainly sourced from former colonies or protectorates, P reserves in grassland soils have been depleted. Scenario calculations indicate that current P reserves may on average allow for another 60 years of agricultural production without mineral P application. In the light of a possible upcoming P scarcity, this time frame offers an opportunity for a transition towards regionally closed P loops and enhanced sustainability, allowing for fairer international distribution of P resources in the future.
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spelling doaj.art-5dfa84cf7cd848cc888bf0e27e0e58fb2023-08-09T15:06:57ZengIOP PublishingEnvironmental Research Letters1748-93262020-01-0115606402210.1088/1748-9326/ab82ccThe phosphorus legacy offers opportunities for agro-ecological transition (France 1850–2075)J Le Noë0https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8816-5800N Roux1https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4758-4870G Billen2https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4413-4169S Gingrich3https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7891-8688K -H. Erb4https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8335-4159F Krausmann5https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9995-2372V Thieu6https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5753-8624M Silvestre7J Garnier8https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9416-9242Milieux Environnementaux, Transferts et Interactions dans les Hydrosystèmes et les Sols, CNRS, Sorbonne Université , EPHE, Paris, France; Institute of Social Ecology (SEC), University of Natural Resources and Life Sciences , Vienna, AustriaMilieux Environnementaux, Transferts et Interactions dans les Hydrosystèmes et les Sols, CNRS, Sorbonne Université , EPHE, Paris, France; Institute of Social Ecology (SEC), University of Natural Resources and Life Sciences , Vienna, AustriaMilieux Environnementaux, Transferts et Interactions dans les Hydrosystèmes et les Sols, CNRS, Sorbonne Université , EPHE, Paris, FranceInstitute of Social Ecology (SEC), University of Natural Resources and Life Sciences , Vienna, AustriaInstitute of Social Ecology (SEC), University of Natural Resources and Life Sciences , Vienna, AustriaInstitute of Social Ecology (SEC), University of Natural Resources and Life Sciences , Vienna, AustriaMilieux Environnementaux, Transferts et Interactions dans les Hydrosystèmes et les Sols, CNRS, Sorbonne Université , EPHE, Paris, FranceFédération Ile-de-France de Recherche pour l’Environnement (FIRE FR 3020), CNRS, Sorbonne Université , Paris, FranceMilieux Environnementaux, Transferts et Interactions dans les Hydrosystèmes et les Sols, CNRS, Sorbonne Université , EPHE, Paris, FranceManagement of the non-renewable resource phosphorus (P) is critical to agricultural sustainability. The global P cycle is currently disturbed beyond planetary boundaries, mostly due to large excess P use in the agriculture of industrialized countries, while P is lacking in the Global South. The trajectories of P management and their effects on future sustainable agriculture were investigated for the case of France from 1850 to 2015 based on empirical data and simulations of two coupled biogeochemical models. Here we show that while French cropland soils have accumulated significant amounts of P, mainly sourced from former colonies or protectorates, P reserves in grassland soils have been depleted. Scenario calculations indicate that current P reserves may on average allow for another 60 years of agricultural production without mineral P application. In the light of a possible upcoming P scarcity, this time frame offers an opportunity for a transition towards regionally closed P loops and enhanced sustainability, allowing for fairer international distribution of P resources in the future.https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ab82ccphosphoruslegacyagriculturemodellingtrajectoriesscenario
spellingShingle J Le Noë
N Roux
G Billen
S Gingrich
K -H. Erb
F Krausmann
V Thieu
M Silvestre
J Garnier
The phosphorus legacy offers opportunities for agro-ecological transition (France 1850–2075)
Environmental Research Letters
phosphorus
legacy
agriculture
modelling
trajectories
scenario
title The phosphorus legacy offers opportunities for agro-ecological transition (France 1850–2075)
title_full The phosphorus legacy offers opportunities for agro-ecological transition (France 1850–2075)
title_fullStr The phosphorus legacy offers opportunities for agro-ecological transition (France 1850–2075)
title_full_unstemmed The phosphorus legacy offers opportunities for agro-ecological transition (France 1850–2075)
title_short The phosphorus legacy offers opportunities for agro-ecological transition (France 1850–2075)
title_sort phosphorus legacy offers opportunities for agro ecological transition france 1850 2075
topic phosphorus
legacy
agriculture
modelling
trajectories
scenario
url https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ab82cc
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