The Economic Impact of Lockdowns: A Persistent Inoperability Input-Output Approach

The COVID-19 pandemic has forced governments around the world to implement unprecedented lockdowns, mandating businesses to shut down for extended periods of time. Previous studies have modeled the impact of disruptions to the economy at static and dynamic settings. This study develops a model to fu...

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Main Authors: Krista Danielle S. Yu, Kathleen B. Aviso, Joost R. Santos, Raymond R. Tan
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2020-12-01
Series:Economies
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2227-7099/8/4/109
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author Krista Danielle S. Yu
Kathleen B. Aviso
Joost R. Santos
Raymond R. Tan
author_facet Krista Danielle S. Yu
Kathleen B. Aviso
Joost R. Santos
Raymond R. Tan
author_sort Krista Danielle S. Yu
collection DOAJ
description The COVID-19 pandemic has forced governments around the world to implement unprecedented lockdowns, mandating businesses to shut down for extended periods of time. Previous studies have modeled the impact of disruptions to the economy at static and dynamic settings. This study develops a model to fulfil the need to account for the sustained disruption resulting from the extended shutdown of business operations. Using a persistent inoperability input-output model (PIIM), we are able to show that (1) sectors that suffer higher levels of inoperability during quarantine period may recover faster depending on their resilience; (2) initially unaffected sectors can suffer inoperability levels higher than directly affected sectors over time; (3) the economic impact on other regions not under lockdown is also significant.
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spelling doaj.art-5e338d0ffbfb4e619f526f9305c3104f2023-11-21T00:04:26ZengMDPI AGEconomies2227-70992020-12-018410910.3390/economies8040109The Economic Impact of Lockdowns: A Persistent Inoperability Input-Output ApproachKrista Danielle S. Yu0Kathleen B. Aviso1Joost R. Santos2Raymond R. Tan3School of Economics, De La Salle University, Manila 0922, PhilippinesChemical Engineering Department, De La Salle University, Manila 0922, PhilippinesDepartment of Engineering Management & Systems Engineering, The George Washington University, Washington, DC 20052, USAChemical Engineering Department, De La Salle University, Manila 0922, PhilippinesThe COVID-19 pandemic has forced governments around the world to implement unprecedented lockdowns, mandating businesses to shut down for extended periods of time. Previous studies have modeled the impact of disruptions to the economy at static and dynamic settings. This study develops a model to fulfil the need to account for the sustained disruption resulting from the extended shutdown of business operations. Using a persistent inoperability input-output model (PIIM), we are able to show that (1) sectors that suffer higher levels of inoperability during quarantine period may recover faster depending on their resilience; (2) initially unaffected sectors can suffer inoperability levels higher than directly affected sectors over time; (3) the economic impact on other regions not under lockdown is also significant.https://www.mdpi.com/2227-7099/8/4/109COVID-19disease outbreakpandemiceconomic impact assessmentinput-output analysisinoperability input-output model
spellingShingle Krista Danielle S. Yu
Kathleen B. Aviso
Joost R. Santos
Raymond R. Tan
The Economic Impact of Lockdowns: A Persistent Inoperability Input-Output Approach
Economies
COVID-19
disease outbreak
pandemic
economic impact assessment
input-output analysis
inoperability input-output model
title The Economic Impact of Lockdowns: A Persistent Inoperability Input-Output Approach
title_full The Economic Impact of Lockdowns: A Persistent Inoperability Input-Output Approach
title_fullStr The Economic Impact of Lockdowns: A Persistent Inoperability Input-Output Approach
title_full_unstemmed The Economic Impact of Lockdowns: A Persistent Inoperability Input-Output Approach
title_short The Economic Impact of Lockdowns: A Persistent Inoperability Input-Output Approach
title_sort economic impact of lockdowns a persistent inoperability input output approach
topic COVID-19
disease outbreak
pandemic
economic impact assessment
input-output analysis
inoperability input-output model
url https://www.mdpi.com/2227-7099/8/4/109
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