Time series synchronization in cross-recurrence networks: uncovering a homomorphic law across diverse complex systems

Exploring the synchronicity between time series, especially the similar patterns during extreme events, has been a focal point of research in academia. This is due to the fact that such special dependence occurring between pairs of time series often plays a crucial role in triggering emergent behavi...

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Main Authors: Shijia Song, Handong Li
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: IOP Publishing 2024-01-01
Series:New Journal of Physics
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1088/1367-2630/ad1dc5
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author Shijia Song
Handong Li
author_facet Shijia Song
Handong Li
author_sort Shijia Song
collection DOAJ
description Exploring the synchronicity between time series, especially the similar patterns during extreme events, has been a focal point of research in academia. This is due to the fact that such special dependence occurring between pairs of time series often plays a crucial role in triggering emergent behaviors in the underlying systems and is closely related to systemic risks. In this paper, we investigate the relationship between the synchronicity of time series and the corresponding topological properties of the cross-recurrence network (CRN). We discover a positive linear relationship between the probability of pairwise time series event synchronicity and the corresponding CRN’s clustering coefficient. We first provide theoretical proof, then demonstrate this relationship through simulation experiments by coupled map lattices. Finally, we empirically analyze three instances from financial systems, Earth’s ecological systems, and human interactive behavioral systems to validate that this regularity is a homomorphic law in different complex systems. The discovered regularity holds significant potential for applications in monitoring financial system risks, extreme weather events, and more.
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spelling doaj.art-5e4bd23a24fd4fbda3047e6174fb75ca2024-01-24T06:51:06ZengIOP PublishingNew Journal of Physics1367-26302024-01-0126101304410.1088/1367-2630/ad1dc5Time series synchronization in cross-recurrence networks: uncovering a homomorphic law across diverse complex systemsShijia Song0Handong Li1https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3613-7327School of Systems Science, Beijing Normal University , Beijing 100875, People’s Republic of ChinaSchool of Systems Science, Beijing Normal University , Beijing 100875, People’s Republic of ChinaExploring the synchronicity between time series, especially the similar patterns during extreme events, has been a focal point of research in academia. This is due to the fact that such special dependence occurring between pairs of time series often plays a crucial role in triggering emergent behaviors in the underlying systems and is closely related to systemic risks. In this paper, we investigate the relationship between the synchronicity of time series and the corresponding topological properties of the cross-recurrence network (CRN). We discover a positive linear relationship between the probability of pairwise time series event synchronicity and the corresponding CRN’s clustering coefficient. We first provide theoretical proof, then demonstrate this relationship through simulation experiments by coupled map lattices. Finally, we empirically analyze three instances from financial systems, Earth’s ecological systems, and human interactive behavioral systems to validate that this regularity is a homomorphic law in different complex systems. The discovered regularity holds significant potential for applications in monitoring financial system risks, extreme weather events, and more.https://doi.org/10.1088/1367-2630/ad1dc5time series analysiscross-recurrence networkevent synchronicitycomplex systems
spellingShingle Shijia Song
Handong Li
Time series synchronization in cross-recurrence networks: uncovering a homomorphic law across diverse complex systems
New Journal of Physics
time series analysis
cross-recurrence network
event synchronicity
complex systems
title Time series synchronization in cross-recurrence networks: uncovering a homomorphic law across diverse complex systems
title_full Time series synchronization in cross-recurrence networks: uncovering a homomorphic law across diverse complex systems
title_fullStr Time series synchronization in cross-recurrence networks: uncovering a homomorphic law across diverse complex systems
title_full_unstemmed Time series synchronization in cross-recurrence networks: uncovering a homomorphic law across diverse complex systems
title_short Time series synchronization in cross-recurrence networks: uncovering a homomorphic law across diverse complex systems
title_sort time series synchronization in cross recurrence networks uncovering a homomorphic law across diverse complex systems
topic time series analysis
cross-recurrence network
event synchronicity
complex systems
url https://doi.org/10.1088/1367-2630/ad1dc5
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AT handongli timeseriessynchronizationincrossrecurrencenetworksuncoveringahomomorphiclawacrossdiversecomplexsystems