Urban scaling and its deviations: revealing the structure of wealth, innovation and crime across cities.

With urban population increasing dramatically worldwide, cities are playing an increasingly critical role in human societies and the sustainability of the planet. An obstacle to effective policy is the lack of meaningful urban metrics based on a quantitative understanding of cities. Typically, linea...

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Main Authors: Luís M A Bettencourt, José Lobo, Deborah Strumsky, Geoffrey B West
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Public Library of Science (PLoS) 2010-01-01
Series:PLoS ONE
Online Access:http://europepmc.org/articles/PMC2978092?pdf=render
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author Luís M A Bettencourt
José Lobo
Deborah Strumsky
Geoffrey B West
author_facet Luís M A Bettencourt
José Lobo
Deborah Strumsky
Geoffrey B West
author_sort Luís M A Bettencourt
collection DOAJ
description With urban population increasing dramatically worldwide, cities are playing an increasingly critical role in human societies and the sustainability of the planet. An obstacle to effective policy is the lack of meaningful urban metrics based on a quantitative understanding of cities. Typically, linear per capita indicators are used to characterize and rank cities. However, these implicitly ignore the fundamental role of nonlinear agglomeration integral to the life history of cities. As such, per capita indicators conflate general nonlinear effects, common to all cities, with local dynamics, specific to each city, failing to provide direct measures of the impact of local events and policy. Agglomeration nonlinearities are explicitly manifested by the superlinear power law scaling of most urban socioeconomic indicators with population size, all with similar exponents (1.15). As a result larger cities are disproportionally the centers of innovation, wealth and crime, all to approximately the same degree. We use these general urban laws to develop new urban metrics that disentangle dynamics at different scales and provide true measures of local urban performance. New rankings of cities and a novel and simpler perspective on urban systems emerge. We find that local urban dynamics display long-term memory, so cities under or outperforming their size expectation maintain such (dis)advantage for decades. Spatiotemporal correlation analyses reveal a novel functional taxonomy of U.S. metropolitan areas that is generally not organized geographically but based instead on common local economic models, innovation strategies and patterns of crime.
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spelling doaj.art-5e5034842f9b4b348da83c5dc2d0024d2022-12-22T03:49:33ZengPublic Library of Science (PLoS)PLoS ONE1932-62032010-01-01511e1354110.1371/journal.pone.0013541Urban scaling and its deviations: revealing the structure of wealth, innovation and crime across cities.Luís M A BettencourtJosé LoboDeborah StrumskyGeoffrey B WestWith urban population increasing dramatically worldwide, cities are playing an increasingly critical role in human societies and the sustainability of the planet. An obstacle to effective policy is the lack of meaningful urban metrics based on a quantitative understanding of cities. Typically, linear per capita indicators are used to characterize and rank cities. However, these implicitly ignore the fundamental role of nonlinear agglomeration integral to the life history of cities. As such, per capita indicators conflate general nonlinear effects, common to all cities, with local dynamics, specific to each city, failing to provide direct measures of the impact of local events and policy. Agglomeration nonlinearities are explicitly manifested by the superlinear power law scaling of most urban socioeconomic indicators with population size, all with similar exponents (1.15). As a result larger cities are disproportionally the centers of innovation, wealth and crime, all to approximately the same degree. We use these general urban laws to develop new urban metrics that disentangle dynamics at different scales and provide true measures of local urban performance. New rankings of cities and a novel and simpler perspective on urban systems emerge. We find that local urban dynamics display long-term memory, so cities under or outperforming their size expectation maintain such (dis)advantage for decades. Spatiotemporal correlation analyses reveal a novel functional taxonomy of U.S. metropolitan areas that is generally not organized geographically but based instead on common local economic models, innovation strategies and patterns of crime.http://europepmc.org/articles/PMC2978092?pdf=render
spellingShingle Luís M A Bettencourt
José Lobo
Deborah Strumsky
Geoffrey B West
Urban scaling and its deviations: revealing the structure of wealth, innovation and crime across cities.
PLoS ONE
title Urban scaling and its deviations: revealing the structure of wealth, innovation and crime across cities.
title_full Urban scaling and its deviations: revealing the structure of wealth, innovation and crime across cities.
title_fullStr Urban scaling and its deviations: revealing the structure of wealth, innovation and crime across cities.
title_full_unstemmed Urban scaling and its deviations: revealing the structure of wealth, innovation and crime across cities.
title_short Urban scaling and its deviations: revealing the structure of wealth, innovation and crime across cities.
title_sort urban scaling and its deviations revealing the structure of wealth innovation and crime across cities
url http://europepmc.org/articles/PMC2978092?pdf=render
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