A model of malaria population dynamics with migrants

We present a compartmental model in ordinary differential equations of malaria disease transmission, accommodating the effect of indoor residual spraying on the vector population. The model allows for influx of infected migrants into the host population and for outflow of recovered migrants. The sys...

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Main Authors: Peter Witbooi, Gbenga Abiodun, Mozart Nsuami
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: AIMS Press 2021-08-01
Series:Mathematical Biosciences and Engineering
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.aimspress.com/article/doi/10.3934/mbe.2021361?viewType=HTML
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author Peter Witbooi
Gbenga Abiodun
Mozart Nsuami
author_facet Peter Witbooi
Gbenga Abiodun
Mozart Nsuami
author_sort Peter Witbooi
collection DOAJ
description We present a compartmental model in ordinary differential equations of malaria disease transmission, accommodating the effect of indoor residual spraying on the vector population. The model allows for influx of infected migrants into the host population and for outflow of recovered migrants. The system is shown to have positive solutions. In the special case of no infected immigrants, we prove global stability of the disease-free equilibrium. Existence of a unique endemic equilibrium point is also established for the case of positive influx of infected migrants. As a case study we consider the combined South African malaria region. Using data covering 31 years, we quantify the effect of malaria infected immigrants on the South African malaria region.
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spelling doaj.art-5ea96b4aebca4c41abb71a7be6ea8d152022-12-22T04:04:04ZengAIMS PressMathematical Biosciences and Engineering1551-00182021-08-011867301731710.3934/mbe.2021361A model of malaria population dynamics with migrantsPeter Witbooi 0Gbenga Abiodun 1Mozart Nsuami2Department of Mathematics and Applied Mathematics, University of the Western Cape, Private Bag X17, Bellville 7535, Republic of South AfricaDepartment of Mathematics and Applied Mathematics, University of the Western Cape, Private Bag X17, Bellville 7535, Republic of South AfricaDepartment of Mathematics and Applied Mathematics, University of the Western Cape, Private Bag X17, Bellville 7535, Republic of South AfricaWe present a compartmental model in ordinary differential equations of malaria disease transmission, accommodating the effect of indoor residual spraying on the vector population. The model allows for influx of infected migrants into the host population and for outflow of recovered migrants. The system is shown to have positive solutions. In the special case of no infected immigrants, we prove global stability of the disease-free equilibrium. Existence of a unique endemic equilibrium point is also established for the case of positive influx of infected migrants. As a case study we consider the combined South African malaria region. Using data covering 31 years, we quantify the effect of malaria infected immigrants on the South African malaria region.https://www.aimspress.com/article/doi/10.3934/mbe.2021361?viewType=HTMLvector-borne diseaseinfected immigrantimported infectioneliminationglobal stability
spellingShingle Peter Witbooi
Gbenga Abiodun
Mozart Nsuami
A model of malaria population dynamics with migrants
Mathematical Biosciences and Engineering
vector-borne disease
infected immigrant
imported infection
elimination
global stability
title A model of malaria population dynamics with migrants
title_full A model of malaria population dynamics with migrants
title_fullStr A model of malaria population dynamics with migrants
title_full_unstemmed A model of malaria population dynamics with migrants
title_short A model of malaria population dynamics with migrants
title_sort model of malaria population dynamics with migrants
topic vector-borne disease
infected immigrant
imported infection
elimination
global stability
url https://www.aimspress.com/article/doi/10.3934/mbe.2021361?viewType=HTML
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