Analysis of prognostic factors and construction of prognostic models for triple-positive breast cancer

ObjectiveBy identifying the clinicopathological characteristics and prognostic influences of patients with triple-positive breast cancer (TPBC) at Xijing Hospital in China compared with those in the United States, this study aims to construct a nomogram model to forecast the overall survival rate (O...

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Main Authors: Anqi Geng, Jingjing Xiao, Bingyao Dong, Shifang Yuan
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Frontiers Media S.A. 2023-02-01
Series:Frontiers in Oncology
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fonc.2023.1071076/full
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author Anqi Geng
Jingjing Xiao
Bingyao Dong
Shifang Yuan
author_facet Anqi Geng
Jingjing Xiao
Bingyao Dong
Shifang Yuan
author_sort Anqi Geng
collection DOAJ
description ObjectiveBy identifying the clinicopathological characteristics and prognostic influences of patients with triple-positive breast cancer (TPBC) at Xijing Hospital in China compared with those in the United States, this study aims to construct a nomogram model to forecast the overall survival rate (OS) of TPBC patients.MethodThe Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database was used to screen 5769 patients as the training cohort, and 191 patients from Xijing Hospital were used as the validation cohort. Cox risk-proportional model was applied to select variables and the nomogram model was constructed based on the training cohort. The performance of the model was evaluated by calculating the C-index and generating calibration plots in the training and validation cohorts.ResultsCox multifactorial analysis showed that age, chemotherapy, radiotherapy, M-stage, T-stage, N-stage, and the mode of surgery were all independent risk factors for the prognosis of TPBC patients (all P<0.05). With this premise, the nomogram model was constructed and evaluated. The C-index value of the nomogram model was 0.830 in the training group and 0.914 in the validation group. Moreover, both the calibration and ROC curves for the proposed model exhibited reliable performance, and the clinical decision curve analysis showed that the proposed model can bring clinical benefits.ConclusionsThe constructed nomogram can accurately predict individual survival probabilities and may serve as a clinical decision support tool for clinicians to optimize treatment in individuals.
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spelling doaj.art-5eb8f31b9cf2460795ee7bc4ec0f2e3e2023-02-01T06:41:25ZengFrontiers Media S.A.Frontiers in Oncology2234-943X2023-02-011310.3389/fonc.2023.10710761071076Analysis of prognostic factors and construction of prognostic models for triple-positive breast cancerAnqi GengJingjing XiaoBingyao DongShifang YuanObjectiveBy identifying the clinicopathological characteristics and prognostic influences of patients with triple-positive breast cancer (TPBC) at Xijing Hospital in China compared with those in the United States, this study aims to construct a nomogram model to forecast the overall survival rate (OS) of TPBC patients.MethodThe Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database was used to screen 5769 patients as the training cohort, and 191 patients from Xijing Hospital were used as the validation cohort. Cox risk-proportional model was applied to select variables and the nomogram model was constructed based on the training cohort. The performance of the model was evaluated by calculating the C-index and generating calibration plots in the training and validation cohorts.ResultsCox multifactorial analysis showed that age, chemotherapy, radiotherapy, M-stage, T-stage, N-stage, and the mode of surgery were all independent risk factors for the prognosis of TPBC patients (all P<0.05). With this premise, the nomogram model was constructed and evaluated. The C-index value of the nomogram model was 0.830 in the training group and 0.914 in the validation group. Moreover, both the calibration and ROC curves for the proposed model exhibited reliable performance, and the clinical decision curve analysis showed that the proposed model can bring clinical benefits.ConclusionsThe constructed nomogram can accurately predict individual survival probabilities and may serve as a clinical decision support tool for clinicians to optimize treatment in individuals.https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fonc.2023.1071076/fulltriple positive breast cancerprognostic modelnomogramoverall survivalSEER
spellingShingle Anqi Geng
Jingjing Xiao
Bingyao Dong
Shifang Yuan
Analysis of prognostic factors and construction of prognostic models for triple-positive breast cancer
Frontiers in Oncology
triple positive breast cancer
prognostic model
nomogram
overall survival
SEER
title Analysis of prognostic factors and construction of prognostic models for triple-positive breast cancer
title_full Analysis of prognostic factors and construction of prognostic models for triple-positive breast cancer
title_fullStr Analysis of prognostic factors and construction of prognostic models for triple-positive breast cancer
title_full_unstemmed Analysis of prognostic factors and construction of prognostic models for triple-positive breast cancer
title_short Analysis of prognostic factors and construction of prognostic models for triple-positive breast cancer
title_sort analysis of prognostic factors and construction of prognostic models for triple positive breast cancer
topic triple positive breast cancer
prognostic model
nomogram
overall survival
SEER
url https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fonc.2023.1071076/full
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AT jingjingxiao analysisofprognosticfactorsandconstructionofprognosticmodelsfortriplepositivebreastcancer
AT bingyaodong analysisofprognosticfactorsandconstructionofprognosticmodelsfortriplepositivebreastcancer
AT shifangyuan analysisofprognosticfactorsandconstructionofprognosticmodelsfortriplepositivebreastcancer