The impact of regional trade agreements on bilateral trade flows: A Systemic Literature Review

This paper reviews the theoretical and empirical literature on the impact of regional trade agreements on trade. The empirical literature is arranged based on the econometric methods used to estimate the gravity model. Advantages and disadvantages of each method were highlighted. Papers covering RT...

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Main Author: SIBULELE MCHANI
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: University of Debrecen, Faculty of Economics and Business 2022-12-01
Series:Competitio
Subjects:
Online Access:https://ojs.lib.unideb.hu/competitio/article/view/10349
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author SIBULELE MCHANI
author_facet SIBULELE MCHANI
author_sort SIBULELE MCHANI
collection DOAJ
description This paper reviews the theoretical and empirical literature on the impact of regional trade agreements on trade. The empirical literature is arranged based on the econometric methods used to estimate the gravity model. Advantages and disadvantages of each method were highlighted. Papers covering RTAs from Africa, Asia, the Americas, and Europe were reviewed to gain a more representative understanding. The covered empirical literature suggests that the Poisson Pseudo Maximum Likelihood (PPML) estimator is more reliable than OLS in estimating gravity models, as it can deal with zero trade flows. The Fixed Effects (FE) approach produces more consistent estimates than the Random Effects (RE) approach when quantifying the effects of RTAs. This is because it allows one to control for the unobserved time-invariant variables. Surprisingly, the covered literature suggests that a great majority of African RTAs generated trade, regardless of the method of estimation used. Journal of Economic Literature (JEL) codes: F13, F15
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spelling doaj.art-5ee4922fa9584bd2aaf1cc1733211ba32023-12-06T15:40:39ZengUniversity of Debrecen, Faculty of Economics and BusinessCompetitio1588-96452939-73242022-12-01211-210.21845/comp/2022/1-2/3The impact of regional trade agreements on bilateral trade flows: A Systemic Literature ReviewSIBULELE MCHANI0https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0328-1974University of Debrecen Ihrig Károly Doctoral School This paper reviews the theoretical and empirical literature on the impact of regional trade agreements on trade. The empirical literature is arranged based on the econometric methods used to estimate the gravity model. Advantages and disadvantages of each method were highlighted. Papers covering RTAs from Africa, Asia, the Americas, and Europe were reviewed to gain a more representative understanding. The covered empirical literature suggests that the Poisson Pseudo Maximum Likelihood (PPML) estimator is more reliable than OLS in estimating gravity models, as it can deal with zero trade flows. The Fixed Effects (FE) approach produces more consistent estimates than the Random Effects (RE) approach when quantifying the effects of RTAs. This is because it allows one to control for the unobserved time-invariant variables. Surprisingly, the covered literature suggests that a great majority of African RTAs generated trade, regardless of the method of estimation used. Journal of Economic Literature (JEL) codes: F13, F15 https://ojs.lib.unideb.hu/competitio/article/view/10349gravity modelRTAOLSPPML
spellingShingle SIBULELE MCHANI
The impact of regional trade agreements on bilateral trade flows: A Systemic Literature Review
Competitio
gravity model
RTA
OLS
PPML
title The impact of regional trade agreements on bilateral trade flows: A Systemic Literature Review
title_full The impact of regional trade agreements on bilateral trade flows: A Systemic Literature Review
title_fullStr The impact of regional trade agreements on bilateral trade flows: A Systemic Literature Review
title_full_unstemmed The impact of regional trade agreements on bilateral trade flows: A Systemic Literature Review
title_short The impact of regional trade agreements on bilateral trade flows: A Systemic Literature Review
title_sort impact of regional trade agreements on bilateral trade flows a systemic literature review
topic gravity model
RTA
OLS
PPML
url https://ojs.lib.unideb.hu/competitio/article/view/10349
work_keys_str_mv AT sibulelemchani theimpactofregionaltradeagreementsonbilateraltradeflowsasystemicliteraturereview
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