THE BALKANS AND NON-MILITARY SECURITY THREATS – QUALITY COMPARATIVE ANALYSES OF RESILIENCE CAPABILITIES REGARDING HYBRID THREATS

The contemporary security environment indicates non-conventional, asymmetric and hybrid security threats as potentially the most accurate threats to global and regional security. Conflict risks in the regional frame strongly depend on strategically aimed non-military, but hybrid acts. The great powe...

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Main Author: Miroslav MITROVIC
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wydawnictwo Akademii Sztuki Wojennej 2018-12-01
Series:Security and Defence Quarterly
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.journalssystem.com/sdq/THE-BALKANS-AND-NON-MILITARY-SECURITY-nTHREATS-QUALITY-COMPARATIVE-ANALYSES-nOF-RESILIENCE,103314,0,2.html
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author Miroslav MITROVIC
author_facet Miroslav MITROVIC
author_sort Miroslav MITROVIC
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description The contemporary security environment indicates non-conventional, asymmetric and hybrid security threats as potentially the most accurate threats to global and regional security. Conflict risks in the regional frame strongly depend on strategically aimed non-military, but hybrid acts. The great powers mostly attempt to achieve their own interests’ goals in fulfi llment of self-orientated strategic dominance. The Balkan region is a crossroads of strongly exposed interest spheres of regional as well as global powers. The article aims to determine areas of infl uence in the Balkan States that could become targets of predominantly non-military but hybrid infl uences. Multi-Value Quality Comparative Analyses (mvQCA) of state power, stability and resilience capacities were used in the research. The methodology used was based on the approach with multi-valued sets of variables and conditions. A theoretical framework was based on contemporary theories of state power and hybrid warfare concept. Used databases were brought together from generated open source databases of approved international academic or think-tank organisations. Based on a hypothesis regarding hybrid security threats, a theoretical framework of understanding of power and analysing a wide spectra of databases, the article aims to contribute a rational and objective understanding of two main indicators: the potential to become a target and the resilience capacities of countries in the face of hybrid security threats. Its findings indicate that most countries in the Balkan region are potentially under unarmed influences and have very low resilience capabilities against possible hybrid infl uences. The conclusions reached help to clarify that the Balkan States are vulnerable to hybrid security threats.
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spelling doaj.art-5eec20b6c215466896520ecf9175d9de2022-12-22T02:02:03ZengWydawnictwo Akademii Sztuki WojennejSecurity and Defence Quarterly2300-87412544-994X2018-12-01225204510.5604/01.3001.0012.7224103314THE BALKANS AND NON-MILITARY SECURITY THREATS – QUALITY COMPARATIVE ANALYSES OF RESILIENCE CAPABILITIES REGARDING HYBRID THREATSMiroslav MITROVIC0University of Defense, Republic of SerbiaThe contemporary security environment indicates non-conventional, asymmetric and hybrid security threats as potentially the most accurate threats to global and regional security. Conflict risks in the regional frame strongly depend on strategically aimed non-military, but hybrid acts. The great powers mostly attempt to achieve their own interests’ goals in fulfi llment of self-orientated strategic dominance. The Balkan region is a crossroads of strongly exposed interest spheres of regional as well as global powers. The article aims to determine areas of infl uence in the Balkan States that could become targets of predominantly non-military but hybrid infl uences. Multi-Value Quality Comparative Analyses (mvQCA) of state power, stability and resilience capacities were used in the research. The methodology used was based on the approach with multi-valued sets of variables and conditions. A theoretical framework was based on contemporary theories of state power and hybrid warfare concept. Used databases were brought together from generated open source databases of approved international academic or think-tank organisations. Based on a hypothesis regarding hybrid security threats, a theoretical framework of understanding of power and analysing a wide spectra of databases, the article aims to contribute a rational and objective understanding of two main indicators: the potential to become a target and the resilience capacities of countries in the face of hybrid security threats. Its findings indicate that most countries in the Balkan region are potentially under unarmed influences and have very low resilience capabilities against possible hybrid infl uences. The conclusions reached help to clarify that the Balkan States are vulnerable to hybrid security threats.http://www.journalssystem.com/sdq/THE-BALKANS-AND-NON-MILITARY-SECURITY-nTHREATS-QUALITY-COMPARATIVE-ANALYSES-nOF-RESILIENCE,103314,0,2.htmlun-conventional securityhybrid security threatsBalkansQualityComparative Analysesnational resilience capacities
spellingShingle Miroslav MITROVIC
THE BALKANS AND NON-MILITARY SECURITY THREATS – QUALITY COMPARATIVE ANALYSES OF RESILIENCE CAPABILITIES REGARDING HYBRID THREATS
Security and Defence Quarterly
un-conventional security
hybrid security threats
Balkans
Quality
Comparative Analyses
national resilience capacities
title THE BALKANS AND NON-MILITARY SECURITY THREATS – QUALITY COMPARATIVE ANALYSES OF RESILIENCE CAPABILITIES REGARDING HYBRID THREATS
title_full THE BALKANS AND NON-MILITARY SECURITY THREATS – QUALITY COMPARATIVE ANALYSES OF RESILIENCE CAPABILITIES REGARDING HYBRID THREATS
title_fullStr THE BALKANS AND NON-MILITARY SECURITY THREATS – QUALITY COMPARATIVE ANALYSES OF RESILIENCE CAPABILITIES REGARDING HYBRID THREATS
title_full_unstemmed THE BALKANS AND NON-MILITARY SECURITY THREATS – QUALITY COMPARATIVE ANALYSES OF RESILIENCE CAPABILITIES REGARDING HYBRID THREATS
title_short THE BALKANS AND NON-MILITARY SECURITY THREATS – QUALITY COMPARATIVE ANALYSES OF RESILIENCE CAPABILITIES REGARDING HYBRID THREATS
title_sort balkans and non military security threats quality comparative analyses of resilience capabilities regarding hybrid threats
topic un-conventional security
hybrid security threats
Balkans
Quality
Comparative Analyses
national resilience capacities
url http://www.journalssystem.com/sdq/THE-BALKANS-AND-NON-MILITARY-SECURITY-nTHREATS-QUALITY-COMPARATIVE-ANALYSES-nOF-RESILIENCE,103314,0,2.html
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