A Comparative Study of AutoML Approaches for Short-Term Electric Load Forecasting

Deep learning is increasingly used in short-term load forecasting. However, deep learning models are difficult to train, and adjusting training hyper-parameters takes time and effort. Automated machine learning (AutoML) can reduce human participation in machine learning process and improve the effic...

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Main Authors: Meng Zhaorui, Xie Xiaozhu, Xie Yanqi, Sun Jinhua
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: EDP Sciences 2022-01-01
Series:E3S Web of Conferences
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.e3s-conferences.org/articles/e3sconf/pdf/2022/25/e3sconf_gesd2022_02045.pdf
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author Meng Zhaorui
Xie Xiaozhu
Xie Yanqi
Sun Jinhua
author_facet Meng Zhaorui
Xie Xiaozhu
Xie Yanqi
Sun Jinhua
author_sort Meng Zhaorui
collection DOAJ
description Deep learning is increasingly used in short-term load forecasting. However, deep learning models are difficult to train, and adjusting training hyper-parameters takes time and effort. Automated machine learning (AutoML) can reduce human participation in machine learning process and improve the efficiency of modelling while ensuring the accuracy of prediction. In this paper, we compare the usage of three AutoML approaches in short-term load forecasting. The experiments on a real-world dataset show that the predictive performance of AutoGluon outperforms that of AutoPytorch and Auto-Keras, according to three performance metrics: MAE, RMSE and MAPE. AutoPytorch and Auto-Keras have similar performance and are not easy to compare.
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spelling doaj.art-5eed990720c54e27ad57b9cb15c80e1a2022-12-22T04:39:39ZengEDP SciencesE3S Web of Conferences2267-12422022-01-013580204510.1051/e3sconf/202235802045e3sconf_gesd2022_02045A Comparative Study of AutoML Approaches for Short-Term Electric Load ForecastingMeng Zhaorui0Xie Xiaozhu1Xie Yanqi2Sun Jinhua3School of computer and information engineering, Xiamen University of TechnologySchool of computer and information engineering, Xiamen University of TechnologySchool of computer and information engineering, Xiamen University of TechnologySchool of computer and information engineering, Xiamen University of TechnologyDeep learning is increasingly used in short-term load forecasting. However, deep learning models are difficult to train, and adjusting training hyper-parameters takes time and effort. Automated machine learning (AutoML) can reduce human participation in machine learning process and improve the efficiency of modelling while ensuring the accuracy of prediction. In this paper, we compare the usage of three AutoML approaches in short-term load forecasting. The experiments on a real-world dataset show that the predictive performance of AutoGluon outperforms that of AutoPytorch and Auto-Keras, according to three performance metrics: MAE, RMSE and MAPE. AutoPytorch and Auto-Keras have similar performance and are not easy to compare.https://www.e3s-conferences.org/articles/e3sconf/pdf/2022/25/e3sconf_gesd2022_02045.pdfautomated machine learningload forecastingdeep learning
spellingShingle Meng Zhaorui
Xie Xiaozhu
Xie Yanqi
Sun Jinhua
A Comparative Study of AutoML Approaches for Short-Term Electric Load Forecasting
E3S Web of Conferences
automated machine learning
load forecasting
deep learning
title A Comparative Study of AutoML Approaches for Short-Term Electric Load Forecasting
title_full A Comparative Study of AutoML Approaches for Short-Term Electric Load Forecasting
title_fullStr A Comparative Study of AutoML Approaches for Short-Term Electric Load Forecasting
title_full_unstemmed A Comparative Study of AutoML Approaches for Short-Term Electric Load Forecasting
title_short A Comparative Study of AutoML Approaches for Short-Term Electric Load Forecasting
title_sort comparative study of automl approaches for short term electric load forecasting
topic automated machine learning
load forecasting
deep learning
url https://www.e3s-conferences.org/articles/e3sconf/pdf/2022/25/e3sconf_gesd2022_02045.pdf
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