Applying FEATHERS for Travel Demand Analysis: Model Considerations

Activity-based models of travel demand have received considerable attention in transportation planning and forecasting over the last few decades. FEATHERS (The Forecasting Evolutionary Activity-Travel of Households and their Environmental Repercussions), developed by the Transportation Research Inst...

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Main Authors: Qiong Bao, Bruno Kochan, Yongjun Shen, Lieve Creemers, Tom Bellemans, Davy Janssens, Geert Wets
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2018-01-01
Series:Applied Sciences
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.mdpi.com/2076-3417/8/2/211
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author Qiong Bao
Bruno Kochan
Yongjun Shen
Lieve Creemers
Tom Bellemans
Davy Janssens
Geert Wets
author_facet Qiong Bao
Bruno Kochan
Yongjun Shen
Lieve Creemers
Tom Bellemans
Davy Janssens
Geert Wets
author_sort Qiong Bao
collection DOAJ
description Activity-based models of travel demand have received considerable attention in transportation planning and forecasting over the last few decades. FEATHERS (The Forecasting Evolutionary Activity-Travel of Households and their Environmental Repercussions), developed by the Transportation Research Institute of Hasselt University, Belgium, is a micro-simulation framework developed to facilitate the implementation of activity-based models for transport demand forecasting. In this paper, we focus on several model considerations when applying this framework. First, the way to apply FEATHERS on a more disaggregated geographical level is investigated, with the purpose of obtaining more detailed travel demand information. Next, to reduce the computation time when applying FEATHERS on a more detailed geographical level, an iteration approach is proposed to identify the minimum size of the study area needed. In addition, the effect of stochastic errors inherently included in the FEATHERS framework is investigated, and the concept of confidence intervals is applied to determine the minimum number of model runs needed to minimize this effect. In the application, the FEATHERS framework is used to investigate the potential impact of light rail initiatives on travel demand at a local network in Flanders, Belgium. In doing so, all the aforementioned model considerations are taken into account. The results indicate that by integrating a light rail network into the current public transport network, there would be a relatively positive impact on public transport-related trips, but a relatively negative impact on the non-motorized-mode trips in this area. However, no significant change is found for car-related trips.
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spelling doaj.art-5f12e74db1e64dc78156ecec49d597992022-12-21T17:33:31ZengMDPI AGApplied Sciences2076-34172018-01-018221110.3390/app8020211app8020211Applying FEATHERS for Travel Demand Analysis: Model ConsiderationsQiong Bao0Bruno Kochan1Yongjun Shen2Lieve Creemers3Tom Bellemans4Davy Janssens5Geert Wets6School of Transportation, Southeast University, Sipailou 2, Nanjing 210096, ChinaTransportation Research Institute (IMOB), Hasselt University, Wetenschapspark 5 bus 6, 3590 Diepenbeek, BelgiumSchool of Transportation, Southeast University, Sipailou 2, Nanjing 210096, ChinaTransportation Research Institute (IMOB), Hasselt University, Wetenschapspark 5 bus 6, 3590 Diepenbeek, BelgiumTransportation Research Institute (IMOB), Hasselt University, Wetenschapspark 5 bus 6, 3590 Diepenbeek, BelgiumTransportation Research Institute (IMOB), Hasselt University, Wetenschapspark 5 bus 6, 3590 Diepenbeek, BelgiumTransportation Research Institute (IMOB), Hasselt University, Wetenschapspark 5 bus 6, 3590 Diepenbeek, BelgiumActivity-based models of travel demand have received considerable attention in transportation planning and forecasting over the last few decades. FEATHERS (The Forecasting Evolutionary Activity-Travel of Households and their Environmental Repercussions), developed by the Transportation Research Institute of Hasselt University, Belgium, is a micro-simulation framework developed to facilitate the implementation of activity-based models for transport demand forecasting. In this paper, we focus on several model considerations when applying this framework. First, the way to apply FEATHERS on a more disaggregated geographical level is investigated, with the purpose of obtaining more detailed travel demand information. Next, to reduce the computation time when applying FEATHERS on a more detailed geographical level, an iteration approach is proposed to identify the minimum size of the study area needed. In addition, the effect of stochastic errors inherently included in the FEATHERS framework is investigated, and the concept of confidence intervals is applied to determine the minimum number of model runs needed to minimize this effect. In the application, the FEATHERS framework is used to investigate the potential impact of light rail initiatives on travel demand at a local network in Flanders, Belgium. In doing so, all the aforementioned model considerations are taken into account. The results indicate that by integrating a light rail network into the current public transport network, there would be a relatively positive impact on public transport-related trips, but a relatively negative impact on the non-motorized-mode trips in this area. However, no significant change is found for car-related trips.http://www.mdpi.com/2076-3417/8/2/211activity-based modelstravel demandFEATHERSgeographical levelstudy areastochastic errorslight rail network
spellingShingle Qiong Bao
Bruno Kochan
Yongjun Shen
Lieve Creemers
Tom Bellemans
Davy Janssens
Geert Wets
Applying FEATHERS for Travel Demand Analysis: Model Considerations
Applied Sciences
activity-based models
travel demand
FEATHERS
geographical level
study area
stochastic errors
light rail network
title Applying FEATHERS for Travel Demand Analysis: Model Considerations
title_full Applying FEATHERS for Travel Demand Analysis: Model Considerations
title_fullStr Applying FEATHERS for Travel Demand Analysis: Model Considerations
title_full_unstemmed Applying FEATHERS for Travel Demand Analysis: Model Considerations
title_short Applying FEATHERS for Travel Demand Analysis: Model Considerations
title_sort applying feathers for travel demand analysis model considerations
topic activity-based models
travel demand
FEATHERS
geographical level
study area
stochastic errors
light rail network
url http://www.mdpi.com/2076-3417/8/2/211
work_keys_str_mv AT qiongbao applyingfeathersfortraveldemandanalysismodelconsiderations
AT brunokochan applyingfeathersfortraveldemandanalysismodelconsiderations
AT yongjunshen applyingfeathersfortraveldemandanalysismodelconsiderations
AT lievecreemers applyingfeathersfortraveldemandanalysismodelconsiderations
AT tombellemans applyingfeathersfortraveldemandanalysismodelconsiderations
AT davyjanssens applyingfeathersfortraveldemandanalysismodelconsiderations
AT geertwets applyingfeathersfortraveldemandanalysismodelconsiderations