Urban form strongly mediates the allometric scaling of airshed pollution concentrations

We present allometric-scaling relationships between non-point-source emissions of air pollutants and settlement population, using 3030 urban settlements in Great Britain (home to ca. 80% of the population of that region). Sub-linear scalings (slope < 1.0; standard error on slope ∼0.01; r ^2  >...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: A R MacKenzie, J D Whyatt, M J Barnes, G Davies, C N Hewitt
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: IOP Publishing 2019-01-01
Series:Environmental Research Letters
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ab50e3
_version_ 1797747926717431808
author A R MacKenzie
J D Whyatt
M J Barnes
G Davies
C N Hewitt
author_facet A R MacKenzie
J D Whyatt
M J Barnes
G Davies
C N Hewitt
author_sort A R MacKenzie
collection DOAJ
description We present allometric-scaling relationships between non-point-source emissions of air pollutants and settlement population, using 3030 urban settlements in Great Britain (home to ca. 80% of the population of that region). Sub-linear scalings (slope < 1.0; standard error on slope ∼0.01; r ^2  > 0.6) were found for the oxides of nitrogen (NO _x ) and microscopic airborne particles (PM _10  and PM _2.5 ). That is, emissions of these pollutants from larger cities are lower per capita than would be expected when compared to the same population dispersed in smaller settlements. The scalings of traffic-related emissions are disaggregated into a component due to under-use of roads in small settlements and a fraction due to congestion in large settlements. We use these scalings of emissions, along with a scaling related to urban form, to explain quantitatively how and why urban airshed-average air pollutant concentrations also scale with population. Our predicted concentration scaling with population is strongly sub-linear, with a slope about half that of the emissions scaling, consistent with satellite measurements of NO _2  columns over large cities across Europe. We demonstrate that the urban form of a particular settlement can result in the airshed-average air pollution of that settlement being much larger or smaller than expected. We extend our analysis to predict that the likelihood of occurrence of local air pollution hotspots will scale super-linearly with population, a testable hypothesis that awaits suitable data. Our analysis suggests that coordinated management of emissions and urban form would strongly reduce the likelihood of local pollutant hotspots occurring whilst also ameliorating the urban heat island effect under climate change.
first_indexed 2024-03-12T15:57:39Z
format Article
id doaj.art-5f18147b31f648f2862ec6744d055bd0
institution Directory Open Access Journal
issn 1748-9326
language English
last_indexed 2024-03-12T15:57:39Z
publishDate 2019-01-01
publisher IOP Publishing
record_format Article
series Environmental Research Letters
spelling doaj.art-5f18147b31f648f2862ec6744d055bd02023-08-09T14:46:54ZengIOP PublishingEnvironmental Research Letters1748-93262019-01-01141212407810.1088/1748-9326/ab50e3Urban form strongly mediates the allometric scaling of airshed pollution concentrationsA R MacKenzie0https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8227-742XJ D Whyatt1https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9329-4367M J Barnes2G Davies3C N Hewitt4https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7973-2666School of Geography, Earth and Environmental Sciences, University of Birmingham , Birmingham B15 2TT, United Kingdom; Birmingham Institute of Forest Research, University of Birmingham , Birmingham, B15 2TT, United KingdomLancaster Environment Centre, Lancaster University , Lancaster LA1 4YQ, United KingdomLancaster Environment Centre, Lancaster University , Lancaster LA1 4YQ, United KingdomLancaster Environment Centre, Lancaster University , Lancaster LA1 4YQ, United KingdomLancaster Environment Centre, Lancaster University , Lancaster LA1 4YQ, United KingdomWe present allometric-scaling relationships between non-point-source emissions of air pollutants and settlement population, using 3030 urban settlements in Great Britain (home to ca. 80% of the population of that region). Sub-linear scalings (slope < 1.0; standard error on slope ∼0.01; r ^2  > 0.6) were found for the oxides of nitrogen (NO _x ) and microscopic airborne particles (PM _10  and PM _2.5 ). That is, emissions of these pollutants from larger cities are lower per capita than would be expected when compared to the same population dispersed in smaller settlements. The scalings of traffic-related emissions are disaggregated into a component due to under-use of roads in small settlements and a fraction due to congestion in large settlements. We use these scalings of emissions, along with a scaling related to urban form, to explain quantitatively how and why urban airshed-average air pollutant concentrations also scale with population. Our predicted concentration scaling with population is strongly sub-linear, with a slope about half that of the emissions scaling, consistent with satellite measurements of NO _2  columns over large cities across Europe. We demonstrate that the urban form of a particular settlement can result in the airshed-average air pollution of that settlement being much larger or smaller than expected. We extend our analysis to predict that the likelihood of occurrence of local air pollution hotspots will scale super-linearly with population, a testable hypothesis that awaits suitable data. Our analysis suggests that coordinated management of emissions and urban form would strongly reduce the likelihood of local pollutant hotspots occurring whilst also ameliorating the urban heat island effect under climate change.https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ab50e3urban air qualitynitrogen dioxideair pollutant emissionsair pollution managementurban planning
spellingShingle A R MacKenzie
J D Whyatt
M J Barnes
G Davies
C N Hewitt
Urban form strongly mediates the allometric scaling of airshed pollution concentrations
Environmental Research Letters
urban air quality
nitrogen dioxide
air pollutant emissions
air pollution management
urban planning
title Urban form strongly mediates the allometric scaling of airshed pollution concentrations
title_full Urban form strongly mediates the allometric scaling of airshed pollution concentrations
title_fullStr Urban form strongly mediates the allometric scaling of airshed pollution concentrations
title_full_unstemmed Urban form strongly mediates the allometric scaling of airshed pollution concentrations
title_short Urban form strongly mediates the allometric scaling of airshed pollution concentrations
title_sort urban form strongly mediates the allometric scaling of airshed pollution concentrations
topic urban air quality
nitrogen dioxide
air pollutant emissions
air pollution management
urban planning
url https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ab50e3
work_keys_str_mv AT armackenzie urbanformstronglymediatestheallometricscalingofairshedpollutionconcentrations
AT jdwhyatt urbanformstronglymediatestheallometricscalingofairshedpollutionconcentrations
AT mjbarnes urbanformstronglymediatestheallometricscalingofairshedpollutionconcentrations
AT gdavies urbanformstronglymediatestheallometricscalingofairshedpollutionconcentrations
AT cnhewitt urbanformstronglymediatestheallometricscalingofairshedpollutionconcentrations