The Interaction Between Stock Dynamics, Fishing and Climate Caused the Collapse of the Jack Mackerel Stock at Humboldt Current Ecosystem

The collapse of marine fisheries had caused a cascade of ecological, social and economic consequences. Recognizing the complex nature of the fisheries collapses is essential for understanding the impact of human activities on natural systems. The rapid and abrupt shifts in abundance exhibited by som...

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Main Authors: Mauricio Lima, T. Mariella Canales, Rodrigo Wiff, José Montero
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Frontiers Media S.A. 2020-03-01
Series:Frontiers in Marine Science
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.frontiersin.org/article/10.3389/fmars.2020.00123/full
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author Mauricio Lima
Mauricio Lima
T. Mariella Canales
T. Mariella Canales
Rodrigo Wiff
Rodrigo Wiff
José Montero
José Montero
author_facet Mauricio Lima
Mauricio Lima
T. Mariella Canales
T. Mariella Canales
Rodrigo Wiff
Rodrigo Wiff
José Montero
José Montero
author_sort Mauricio Lima
collection DOAJ
description The collapse of marine fisheries had caused a cascade of ecological, social and economic consequences. Recognizing the complex nature of the fisheries collapses is essential for understanding the impact of human activities on natural systems. The rapid and abrupt shifts in abundance exhibited by some marine fish populations can be driven by the fishing fleet behaving like generalist predators. Here, we propose that fishing fleet has a s-shaped functional predator function that, combined with economic factors and ENSO variability could cause rapid and abrupt transitions in the of jack mackerel (Trachurus murphyi) fishery in the south-eastern Pacific. Our results showed that fishing fleet predator functional response is well described by a s-shaped function, where ENSO variability (El Niño/La Niña years) appears to decrease/increase the fishing rate. Our model predictions were able to accurately forecast independent data of jack-mackerel acoustic survey estimates. We show that the population trend and collapse of jack mackerel stock at the Humboldt Current Ecosystem (HCE) can be explained by the changes in fishing effort, which seem to be driven by economic forces and El Niño climatic variability. Our simple model allows us to explore some management responses in a heuristic manner. The most critical element seems to be the combination of an n-shaped isocline for fish stock growth, modulated by ENSO variability, and a horizontal isocline of fishing effort which is highly sensitive to changes in the profitability of the fishery. Therefore, the implementation of management policies based on simple theoretical models will be increasingly required to harvest fish stocks in these times of growing demographic demands and climate change.
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spelling doaj.art-5f1edb92d1b1427ab7c628eb974bb0942022-12-21T18:22:18ZengFrontiers Media S.A.Frontiers in Marine Science2296-77452020-03-01710.3389/fmars.2020.00123486114The Interaction Between Stock Dynamics, Fishing and Climate Caused the Collapse of the Jack Mackerel Stock at Humboldt Current EcosystemMauricio Lima0Mauricio Lima1T. Mariella Canales2T. Mariella Canales3Rodrigo Wiff4Rodrigo Wiff5José Montero6José Montero7Departamento de Ecología, Facultad de Ciencias Biológicas, Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile, Santiago, ChileCenter of Applied Ecology and Sustainability (CAPES), Santiago, ChileDepartamento de Ecología, Facultad de Ciencias Biológicas, Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile, Santiago, ChileCenter of Applied Ecology and Sustainability (CAPES), Santiago, ChileDepartamento de Ecología, Facultad de Ciencias Biológicas, Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile, Santiago, ChileCenter of Applied Ecology and Sustainability (CAPES), Santiago, ChileDepartamento de Ecología, Facultad de Ciencias Biológicas, Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile, Santiago, ChileCenter of Applied Ecology and Sustainability (CAPES), Santiago, ChileThe collapse of marine fisheries had caused a cascade of ecological, social and economic consequences. Recognizing the complex nature of the fisheries collapses is essential for understanding the impact of human activities on natural systems. The rapid and abrupt shifts in abundance exhibited by some marine fish populations can be driven by the fishing fleet behaving like generalist predators. Here, we propose that fishing fleet has a s-shaped functional predator function that, combined with economic factors and ENSO variability could cause rapid and abrupt transitions in the of jack mackerel (Trachurus murphyi) fishery in the south-eastern Pacific. Our results showed that fishing fleet predator functional response is well described by a s-shaped function, where ENSO variability (El Niño/La Niña years) appears to decrease/increase the fishing rate. Our model predictions were able to accurately forecast independent data of jack-mackerel acoustic survey estimates. We show that the population trend and collapse of jack mackerel stock at the Humboldt Current Ecosystem (HCE) can be explained by the changes in fishing effort, which seem to be driven by economic forces and El Niño climatic variability. Our simple model allows us to explore some management responses in a heuristic manner. The most critical element seems to be the combination of an n-shaped isocline for fish stock growth, modulated by ENSO variability, and a horizontal isocline of fishing effort which is highly sensitive to changes in the profitability of the fishery. Therefore, the implementation of management policies based on simple theoretical models will be increasingly required to harvest fish stocks in these times of growing demographic demands and climate change.https://www.frontiersin.org/article/10.3389/fmars.2020.00123/fullpopulation dynamicsENSOjack-mackerelcollapseabrupt shifts
spellingShingle Mauricio Lima
Mauricio Lima
T. Mariella Canales
T. Mariella Canales
Rodrigo Wiff
Rodrigo Wiff
José Montero
José Montero
The Interaction Between Stock Dynamics, Fishing and Climate Caused the Collapse of the Jack Mackerel Stock at Humboldt Current Ecosystem
Frontiers in Marine Science
population dynamics
ENSO
jack-mackerel
collapse
abrupt shifts
title The Interaction Between Stock Dynamics, Fishing and Climate Caused the Collapse of the Jack Mackerel Stock at Humboldt Current Ecosystem
title_full The Interaction Between Stock Dynamics, Fishing and Climate Caused the Collapse of the Jack Mackerel Stock at Humboldt Current Ecosystem
title_fullStr The Interaction Between Stock Dynamics, Fishing and Climate Caused the Collapse of the Jack Mackerel Stock at Humboldt Current Ecosystem
title_full_unstemmed The Interaction Between Stock Dynamics, Fishing and Climate Caused the Collapse of the Jack Mackerel Stock at Humboldt Current Ecosystem
title_short The Interaction Between Stock Dynamics, Fishing and Climate Caused the Collapse of the Jack Mackerel Stock at Humboldt Current Ecosystem
title_sort interaction between stock dynamics fishing and climate caused the collapse of the jack mackerel stock at humboldt current ecosystem
topic population dynamics
ENSO
jack-mackerel
collapse
abrupt shifts
url https://www.frontiersin.org/article/10.3389/fmars.2020.00123/full
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