Sugarcane yield estimation through remote sensing time series and phenology metrics

Accurate agricultural yield prediction is a fundamental tool for sustainable agricultural planning and to ensure food security in regions critically affected by climate change and extreme weather events. Existing regression-based crop yield estimation approaches typically rely on a specific set of p...

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Main Authors: Dimo Dimov, Johannes H. Uhl, Fabian Löw, Gezahagn Negash Seboka
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Elsevier 2022-12-01
Series:Smart Agricultural Technology
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2772375522000132
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author Dimo Dimov
Johannes H. Uhl
Fabian Löw
Gezahagn Negash Seboka
author_facet Dimo Dimov
Johannes H. Uhl
Fabian Löw
Gezahagn Negash Seboka
author_sort Dimo Dimov
collection DOAJ
description Accurate agricultural yield prediction is a fundamental tool for sustainable agricultural planning and to ensure food security in regions critically affected by climate change and extreme weather events. Existing regression-based crop yield estimation approaches typically rely on a specific set of predictor variables, but have not been compared systematically. This paper demonstrates and compares the utilization and the combinatorial use of three different sets of object-based predictors for sugarcane yield estimation through the agricultural monitoring platform ag|knowledge which utilizes earth observation data of the Sentinel-2 satellites, captured between 2018 and 2019 for a study area of about 10,000 hectares in Ethopia. We compare several regression models using a range of different predictor variables, such as (i) multi-temporal variables (i.e., parcel-based vegetation index time series), (ii) time series descriptors (i.e., phenological metrics) and (iii) spatio-temporal variables. We achieve R² scores of up to 0.84 for the estimation of sugarcane yield and up to 0.82 for the estimation of sugar quantity through Random Forest regression, based on the combinatorial use of all predictor variables. Our experiments demonstrate that dimensionality-independent phenological metrics achieve good yield estimation results which could be a very useful variable set for model transfer and domain adaptation.
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spelling doaj.art-5f33beb913ea4f2c91abb14667f9b5b82022-12-22T00:26:28ZengElsevierSmart Agricultural Technology2772-37552022-12-012100046Sugarcane yield estimation through remote sensing time series and phenology metricsDimo Dimov0Johannes H. Uhl1Fabian Löw2Gezahagn Negash Seboka3Geocledian GmbH, Landshut, Germany; Corresponding author.Cooperative Institute for Research in Environmental Sciences (CIRES), University of Colorado Boulder, United StatesIndependent researcher, Rheinbach, GermanyEthiopian Sugar Corporation, Wonji Research Center, Wonji, EthiopiaAccurate agricultural yield prediction is a fundamental tool for sustainable agricultural planning and to ensure food security in regions critically affected by climate change and extreme weather events. Existing regression-based crop yield estimation approaches typically rely on a specific set of predictor variables, but have not been compared systematically. This paper demonstrates and compares the utilization and the combinatorial use of three different sets of object-based predictors for sugarcane yield estimation through the agricultural monitoring platform ag|knowledge which utilizes earth observation data of the Sentinel-2 satellites, captured between 2018 and 2019 for a study area of about 10,000 hectares in Ethopia. We compare several regression models using a range of different predictor variables, such as (i) multi-temporal variables (i.e., parcel-based vegetation index time series), (ii) time series descriptors (i.e., phenological metrics) and (iii) spatio-temporal variables. We achieve R² scores of up to 0.84 for the estimation of sugarcane yield and up to 0.82 for the estimation of sugar quantity through Random Forest regression, based on the combinatorial use of all predictor variables. Our experiments demonstrate that dimensionality-independent phenological metrics achieve good yield estimation results which could be a very useful variable set for model transfer and domain adaptation.http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2772375522000132Crop yield estimationPhenology metricsVegetation index time seriesRegression modelsRemote sensingCrop monitoring
spellingShingle Dimo Dimov
Johannes H. Uhl
Fabian Löw
Gezahagn Negash Seboka
Sugarcane yield estimation through remote sensing time series and phenology metrics
Smart Agricultural Technology
Crop yield estimation
Phenology metrics
Vegetation index time series
Regression models
Remote sensing
Crop monitoring
title Sugarcane yield estimation through remote sensing time series and phenology metrics
title_full Sugarcane yield estimation through remote sensing time series and phenology metrics
title_fullStr Sugarcane yield estimation through remote sensing time series and phenology metrics
title_full_unstemmed Sugarcane yield estimation through remote sensing time series and phenology metrics
title_short Sugarcane yield estimation through remote sensing time series and phenology metrics
title_sort sugarcane yield estimation through remote sensing time series and phenology metrics
topic Crop yield estimation
Phenology metrics
Vegetation index time series
Regression models
Remote sensing
Crop monitoring
url http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2772375522000132
work_keys_str_mv AT dimodimov sugarcaneyieldestimationthroughremotesensingtimeseriesandphenologymetrics
AT johanneshuhl sugarcaneyieldestimationthroughremotesensingtimeseriesandphenologymetrics
AT fabianlow sugarcaneyieldestimationthroughremotesensingtimeseriesandphenologymetrics
AT gezahagnnegashseboka sugarcaneyieldestimationthroughremotesensingtimeseriesandphenologymetrics