Factors Affecting the Visitation to National Parks Using Machine Learning Techniques: The Case of National Parks in Rwanda

The current study set out to identify factors affecting the number of visitors to national parks using machine learning techniques. The results of different linear regression and random forest models on both the train and test sets were compared using RMSE and R2 . Taken together, both random forest...

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Main Authors: Musonera Abdou, Edouard Musabanganji, Herman Musahara
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: AfricaJournals 2022-05-01
Series:African Journal of Hospitality, Tourism and Leisure
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.ajhtl.com/uploads/7/1/6/3/7163688/article_6_11_2_457-474.pdf
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author Musonera Abdou
Edouard Musabanganji
Herman Musahara
author_facet Musonera Abdou
Edouard Musabanganji
Herman Musahara
author_sort Musonera Abdou
collection DOAJ
description The current study set out to identify factors affecting the number of visitors to national parks using machine learning techniques. The results of different linear regression and random forest models on both the train and test sets were compared using RMSE and R2 . Taken together, both random forest and linear regression models were able to predict better on the train set, but all failed to make better predictions on the test set. Both linear regression and random forest models performed better using data from Akagera National Park than Volcanoes and Nyungwe National Parks. The most important features to explain the number of visits to national parks include price, parkspecific characteristics, and different months of the year whose features tend to vary from one park to another. This implies that forecasting future visits to different national parks will not only allow policy makers and the park management to make effective planning and efficient allocation of resources, but will also provide valuable information to various people as they plan to visit various national parks.
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spelling doaj.art-5fa52612bd854134b28b9a2eb084d65c2022-12-22T01:54:20ZengAfricaJournalsAfrican Journal of Hospitality, Tourism and Leisure2223-814X2022-05-01112457474https://doi.org/10.46222/ajhtl.19770720.236Factors Affecting the Visitation to National Parks Using Machine Learning Techniques: The Case of National Parks in RwandaMusonera Abdou0Edouard Musabanganji1Herman Musahara2African Centre of Excellence in Data Science, College of Business and Economics, University of RwandaSchool of Economics, College of Business and Economics University of RwandaSchool of Economics, College of Business and Economics University of RwandaThe current study set out to identify factors affecting the number of visitors to national parks using machine learning techniques. The results of different linear regression and random forest models on both the train and test sets were compared using RMSE and R2 . Taken together, both random forest and linear regression models were able to predict better on the train set, but all failed to make better predictions on the test set. Both linear regression and random forest models performed better using data from Akagera National Park than Volcanoes and Nyungwe National Parks. The most important features to explain the number of visits to national parks include price, parkspecific characteristics, and different months of the year whose features tend to vary from one park to another. This implies that forecasting future visits to different national parks will not only allow policy makers and the park management to make effective planning and efficient allocation of resources, but will also provide valuable information to various people as they plan to visit various national parks. https://www.ajhtl.com/uploads/7/1/6/3/7163688/article_6_11_2_457-474.pdfmachine learninggorillasakageranyungwerondom forest
spellingShingle Musonera Abdou
Edouard Musabanganji
Herman Musahara
Factors Affecting the Visitation to National Parks Using Machine Learning Techniques: The Case of National Parks in Rwanda
African Journal of Hospitality, Tourism and Leisure
machine learning
gorillas
akagera
nyungwe
rondom forest
title Factors Affecting the Visitation to National Parks Using Machine Learning Techniques: The Case of National Parks in Rwanda
title_full Factors Affecting the Visitation to National Parks Using Machine Learning Techniques: The Case of National Parks in Rwanda
title_fullStr Factors Affecting the Visitation to National Parks Using Machine Learning Techniques: The Case of National Parks in Rwanda
title_full_unstemmed Factors Affecting the Visitation to National Parks Using Machine Learning Techniques: The Case of National Parks in Rwanda
title_short Factors Affecting the Visitation to National Parks Using Machine Learning Techniques: The Case of National Parks in Rwanda
title_sort factors affecting the visitation to national parks using machine learning techniques the case of national parks in rwanda
topic machine learning
gorillas
akagera
nyungwe
rondom forest
url https://www.ajhtl.com/uploads/7/1/6/3/7163688/article_6_11_2_457-474.pdf
work_keys_str_mv AT musoneraabdou factorsaffectingthevisitationtonationalparksusingmachinelearningtechniquesthecaseofnationalparksinrwanda
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AT hermanmusahara factorsaffectingthevisitationtonationalparksusingmachinelearningtechniquesthecaseofnationalparksinrwanda