Spesa pensionistica:quanto conta la crescita economica? (Paying for Pensions: How Important Is Economic Growth? )

This paper focuses on the scope for a higher level of output and faster productivity growth to ease future fiscal pressures stemming from demographic developments in OECD countries over the next fifty years. After concluding that, without substantial reforms, pressure on government spending linked...

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Main Author: Ignazio Visco
Format: Article
Language:Italian
Published: Associazione Economia civile 2012-04-01
Series:Moneta e Credito
Subjects:
Online Access:https://rosa.uniroma1.it/rosa04/moneta_e_credito/article/view/9776
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author Ignazio Visco
author_facet Ignazio Visco
author_sort Ignazio Visco
collection DOAJ
description This paper focuses on the scope for a higher level of output and faster productivity growth to ease future fiscal pressures stemming from demographic developments in OECD countries over the next fifty years. After concluding that, without substantial reforms, pressure on government spending linked to ageing populations (both on pensions and health expenditures), will in general result in significant increases in expenditures to GDP ratios, the paper examines how these pressures might be redressed. Responses which focus on achieving an increase in the average number of years individuals spend active in the labour force and raising the level as well as widening the sources of individual provision of retirement income are recommended. Increasing output (through lower structural unemployment and higher female and elderly workers' participation rates) and its rate of growth (through gains in productivity) are seen as offering a complementary, though limited, response.            JEL Codes: H55, O40, J14, J11, J26 Keywords: Ageing, Demographics, Expenditure, Growth, Pension, Population
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spelling doaj.art-5fe6bbebce8a431aad5a0138e4909f622023-02-03T16:36:16ZitaAssociazione Economia civileMoneta e Credito2037-36512012-04-015421510.13133/2037-3651/9776Spesa pensionistica:quanto conta la crescita economica? (Paying for Pensions: How Important Is Economic Growth? )Ignazio Visco This paper focuses on the scope for a higher level of output and faster productivity growth to ease future fiscal pressures stemming from demographic developments in OECD countries over the next fifty years. After concluding that, without substantial reforms, pressure on government spending linked to ageing populations (both on pensions and health expenditures), will in general result in significant increases in expenditures to GDP ratios, the paper examines how these pressures might be redressed. Responses which focus on achieving an increase in the average number of years individuals spend active in the labour force and raising the level as well as widening the sources of individual provision of retirement income are recommended. Increasing output (through lower structural unemployment and higher female and elderly workers' participation rates) and its rate of growth (through gains in productivity) are seen as offering a complementary, though limited, response.            JEL Codes: H55, O40, J14, J11, J26 Keywords: Ageing, Demographics, Expenditure, Growth, Pension, Population https://rosa.uniroma1.it/rosa04/moneta_e_credito/article/view/9776AgeingDemographicsExpenditureGrowthPensionPopulation
spellingShingle Ignazio Visco
Spesa pensionistica:quanto conta la crescita economica? (Paying for Pensions: How Important Is Economic Growth? )
Moneta e Credito
Ageing
Demographics
Expenditure
Growth
Pension
Population
title Spesa pensionistica:quanto conta la crescita economica? (Paying for Pensions: How Important Is Economic Growth? )
title_full Spesa pensionistica:quanto conta la crescita economica? (Paying for Pensions: How Important Is Economic Growth? )
title_fullStr Spesa pensionistica:quanto conta la crescita economica? (Paying for Pensions: How Important Is Economic Growth? )
title_full_unstemmed Spesa pensionistica:quanto conta la crescita economica? (Paying for Pensions: How Important Is Economic Growth? )
title_short Spesa pensionistica:quanto conta la crescita economica? (Paying for Pensions: How Important Is Economic Growth? )
title_sort spesa pensionistica quanto conta la crescita economica paying for pensions how important is economic growth
topic Ageing
Demographics
Expenditure
Growth
Pension
Population
url https://rosa.uniroma1.it/rosa04/moneta_e_credito/article/view/9776
work_keys_str_mv AT ignaziovisco spesapensionisticaquantocontalacrescitaeconomicapayingforpensionshowimportantiseconomicgrowth