Framework of 2D KDE and LSTM-Based Forecasting for Cost-Effective Inventory Management in Smart Manufacturing

Over the last decade, the development of machine-learning models has enabled the design of sophisticated regression models. For this reason, studies have been conducted to design predictive models using machine learning in various industries. In particular, in terms of inventory management, forecast...

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Main Authors: Myungsoo Kim, Jaehyeong Lee, Chaegyu Lee, Jongpil Jeong
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2022-02-01
Series:Applied Sciences
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2076-3417/12/5/2380
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author Myungsoo Kim
Jaehyeong Lee
Chaegyu Lee
Jongpil Jeong
author_facet Myungsoo Kim
Jaehyeong Lee
Chaegyu Lee
Jongpil Jeong
author_sort Myungsoo Kim
collection DOAJ
description Over the last decade, the development of machine-learning models has enabled the design of sophisticated regression models. For this reason, studies have been conducted to design predictive models using machine learning in various industries. In particular, in terms of inventory management, forecasting models predict historical market demand, predict future demand, and enable systematic inventory management. However, in most small and medium enterprise (SMEs), there is no systematic management of data, and because of the lack of data and the volatility of random data, it is difficult for prediction models to work well. Since the predictive model is a core function derived from the management of the enterprise’s inventory data, the poor performance of the model causes the company’s inventory data-management system to be degraded. Companies that have poor inventory data because of this vicious cycle will continue to have difficulty introducing data-management systems. In this paper, we propose a framework that can reliably predict the inventory data of a firm by modeling the volatility of a firm stochastically. The framework makes the prediction using the point prediction model by means of LSTM(Long Short Term Memory), the 2D kernel density function, and the prediction result reflecting inventory-management cost. Through various experiments, the necessity of interval prediction in demand prediction and the validity of the cost-effective prediction model through the readjustment function were shown.
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spelling doaj.art-5ff991118a0b443baf3ad0cf3f0162b22023-11-23T22:39:48ZengMDPI AGApplied Sciences2076-34172022-02-01125238010.3390/app12052380Framework of 2D KDE and LSTM-Based Forecasting for Cost-Effective Inventory Management in Smart ManufacturingMyungsoo Kim0Jaehyeong Lee1Chaegyu Lee2Jongpil Jeong3Department of Smart Factory Convergence, Sungkyunkwan University, 2066 Seobu-ro, Jangan-gu, Suwon 16419, KoreaDepartment of Smart Factory Convergence, Sungkyunkwan University, 2066 Seobu-ro, Jangan-gu, Suwon 16419, KoreaDepartment of Smart Factory Convergence, Sungkyunkwan University, 2066 Seobu-ro, Jangan-gu, Suwon 16419, KoreaDepartment of Smart Factory Convergence, Sungkyunkwan University, 2066 Seobu-ro, Jangan-gu, Suwon 16419, KoreaOver the last decade, the development of machine-learning models has enabled the design of sophisticated regression models. For this reason, studies have been conducted to design predictive models using machine learning in various industries. In particular, in terms of inventory management, forecasting models predict historical market demand, predict future demand, and enable systematic inventory management. However, in most small and medium enterprise (SMEs), there is no systematic management of data, and because of the lack of data and the volatility of random data, it is difficult for prediction models to work well. Since the predictive model is a core function derived from the management of the enterprise’s inventory data, the poor performance of the model causes the company’s inventory data-management system to be degraded. Companies that have poor inventory data because of this vicious cycle will continue to have difficulty introducing data-management systems. In this paper, we propose a framework that can reliably predict the inventory data of a firm by modeling the volatility of a firm stochastically. The framework makes the prediction using the point prediction model by means of LSTM(Long Short Term Memory), the 2D kernel density function, and the prediction result reflecting inventory-management cost. Through various experiments, the necessity of interval prediction in demand prediction and the validity of the cost-effective prediction model through the readjustment function were shown.https://www.mdpi.com/2076-3417/12/5/2380LSTM2D kernel density estimationforecasting frameworksmart manufacturing
spellingShingle Myungsoo Kim
Jaehyeong Lee
Chaegyu Lee
Jongpil Jeong
Framework of 2D KDE and LSTM-Based Forecasting for Cost-Effective Inventory Management in Smart Manufacturing
Applied Sciences
LSTM
2D kernel density estimation
forecasting framework
smart manufacturing
title Framework of 2D KDE and LSTM-Based Forecasting for Cost-Effective Inventory Management in Smart Manufacturing
title_full Framework of 2D KDE and LSTM-Based Forecasting for Cost-Effective Inventory Management in Smart Manufacturing
title_fullStr Framework of 2D KDE and LSTM-Based Forecasting for Cost-Effective Inventory Management in Smart Manufacturing
title_full_unstemmed Framework of 2D KDE and LSTM-Based Forecasting for Cost-Effective Inventory Management in Smart Manufacturing
title_short Framework of 2D KDE and LSTM-Based Forecasting for Cost-Effective Inventory Management in Smart Manufacturing
title_sort framework of 2d kde and lstm based forecasting for cost effective inventory management in smart manufacturing
topic LSTM
2D kernel density estimation
forecasting framework
smart manufacturing
url https://www.mdpi.com/2076-3417/12/5/2380
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