Original research: initial development of a pragmatic tool to estimate cognitive decline risk focusing on potentially modifiable factors in Parkinson’s disease

IntroductionCognitive decline is common in Parkinson’s disease (PD). Calculating personalized risk of cognitive decline in PD would allow for appropriate counseling, early intervention with available treatments, and inclusion in disease-modifying trials.MethodsData were from the Parkinson’s Progress...

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Main Authors: Tara C. Carlisle, Luis D. Medina, Samantha K. Holden
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Frontiers Media S.A. 2023-10-01
Series:Frontiers in Neuroscience
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fnins.2023.1278817/full
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author Tara C. Carlisle
Tara C. Carlisle
Tara C. Carlisle
Luis D. Medina
Samantha K. Holden
Samantha K. Holden
Samantha K. Holden
Samantha K. Holden
author_facet Tara C. Carlisle
Tara C. Carlisle
Tara C. Carlisle
Luis D. Medina
Samantha K. Holden
Samantha K. Holden
Samantha K. Holden
Samantha K. Holden
author_sort Tara C. Carlisle
collection DOAJ
description IntroductionCognitive decline is common in Parkinson’s disease (PD). Calculating personalized risk of cognitive decline in PD would allow for appropriate counseling, early intervention with available treatments, and inclusion in disease-modifying trials.MethodsData were from the Parkinson’s Progression Markers Initiative de novo cohort. Baseline scores were calculated for Lifestyle for Brain Health (LIBRA) and the Montreal Parkinson Risk of Dementia Scale (MoPaRDS) per prior literature and preliminary Parkinson’s disease Risk Estimator for Decline In Cognition Tool (pPREDICT) by attributing a point for fourteen posited risk factors. Baseline and 5-year follow-up composite cognitive scores (CCSs) were calculated from a neuropsychological battery and used to define cognitive decliners (PD-decline) versus maintainers (PD-maintain).ResultsThe PD-decline group (n = 44) had higher LIBRA (6.76 ± 0.57, p < 0.05), MoPaRDS (2.45 ± 1.41, p < 0.05) and pPREDICT (4.52 ± 1.66, p < 0.05) scores compared to the PD-maintain group (n = 263; LIBRA 4.98 ± 0.20, MoPaRDS 1.68 ± 1.16, pPREDICT 3.38 ± 1.69). Area-under-the-curve (AUC) for LIBRA was 0.64 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.55–0.73), MoPaRDS was 0.66 (95% CI, 0.58–0.75) and for pPREDICT was 0.68 (95% CI, 0.61–0.76). In linear regression analyses, LIBRA (p < 0.05), MoPaRDS (p < 0.05) and pPREDICT (p < 0.05) predicted change in CCS. Only age stratified by sex (p < 0.05) contributed significantly to the model for LIBRA. Age and presence of hallucinations (p < 0.05) contributed significantly to the model for MoPaRDS. Male sex, older age, excessive daytime sleepiness, and moderate–severe motor symptoms (all p < 0.05) contributed significantly to the model for pPREDICT.ConclusionAlthough MoPaRDS is a PD-specific tool for predicting cognitive decline relying on only clinical features, it does not focus on potentially modifiable risk factors. LIBRA does focus on potentially modifiable risk factors and is associated with prediction of all-cause dementia in some populations, but pPREDICT potentially demonstrates improved performance in cognitive decline risk calculation in individuals with PD and may identify actionable risk factors. As pPREDICT incorporates multiple potentially modifiable risk factors that can be obtained easily in the clinical setting, it is a first step in developing an easily assessable tool for a personalized approach to reduce dementia risk in people with PD.
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spelling doaj.art-602fa9c249974944bb44deb5b94daa762023-10-25T08:35:41ZengFrontiers Media S.A.Frontiers in Neuroscience1662-453X2023-10-011710.3389/fnins.2023.12788171278817Original research: initial development of a pragmatic tool to estimate cognitive decline risk focusing on potentially modifiable factors in Parkinson’s diseaseTara C. Carlisle0Tara C. Carlisle1Tara C. Carlisle2Luis D. Medina3Samantha K. Holden4Samantha K. Holden5Samantha K. Holden6Samantha K. Holden7Department of Neurology, Behavioral Neurology Section, University of Colorado School of Medicine, Aurora, CO, United StatesUniversity of Colorado Alzheimer’s and Cognition Center, Aurora, CO, United StatesUniversity of Colorado Movement Disorders Center, Aurora, CO, United StatesDepartment of Psychology, University of Houston, Houston, TX, United StatesDepartment of Neurology, Behavioral Neurology Section, University of Colorado School of Medicine, Aurora, CO, United StatesUniversity of Colorado Alzheimer’s and Cognition Center, Aurora, CO, United StatesUniversity of Colorado Movement Disorders Center, Aurora, CO, United StatesDepartment of Neurology, Movement Disorders Section, University of Colorado School of Medicine, Aurora, CO, United StatesIntroductionCognitive decline is common in Parkinson’s disease (PD). Calculating personalized risk of cognitive decline in PD would allow for appropriate counseling, early intervention with available treatments, and inclusion in disease-modifying trials.MethodsData were from the Parkinson’s Progression Markers Initiative de novo cohort. Baseline scores were calculated for Lifestyle for Brain Health (LIBRA) and the Montreal Parkinson Risk of Dementia Scale (MoPaRDS) per prior literature and preliminary Parkinson’s disease Risk Estimator for Decline In Cognition Tool (pPREDICT) by attributing a point for fourteen posited risk factors. Baseline and 5-year follow-up composite cognitive scores (CCSs) were calculated from a neuropsychological battery and used to define cognitive decliners (PD-decline) versus maintainers (PD-maintain).ResultsThe PD-decline group (n = 44) had higher LIBRA (6.76 ± 0.57, p < 0.05), MoPaRDS (2.45 ± 1.41, p < 0.05) and pPREDICT (4.52 ± 1.66, p < 0.05) scores compared to the PD-maintain group (n = 263; LIBRA 4.98 ± 0.20, MoPaRDS 1.68 ± 1.16, pPREDICT 3.38 ± 1.69). Area-under-the-curve (AUC) for LIBRA was 0.64 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.55–0.73), MoPaRDS was 0.66 (95% CI, 0.58–0.75) and for pPREDICT was 0.68 (95% CI, 0.61–0.76). In linear regression analyses, LIBRA (p < 0.05), MoPaRDS (p < 0.05) and pPREDICT (p < 0.05) predicted change in CCS. Only age stratified by sex (p < 0.05) contributed significantly to the model for LIBRA. Age and presence of hallucinations (p < 0.05) contributed significantly to the model for MoPaRDS. Male sex, older age, excessive daytime sleepiness, and moderate–severe motor symptoms (all p < 0.05) contributed significantly to the model for pPREDICT.ConclusionAlthough MoPaRDS is a PD-specific tool for predicting cognitive decline relying on only clinical features, it does not focus on potentially modifiable risk factors. LIBRA does focus on potentially modifiable risk factors and is associated with prediction of all-cause dementia in some populations, but pPREDICT potentially demonstrates improved performance in cognitive decline risk calculation in individuals with PD and may identify actionable risk factors. As pPREDICT incorporates multiple potentially modifiable risk factors that can be obtained easily in the clinical setting, it is a first step in developing an easily assessable tool for a personalized approach to reduce dementia risk in people with PD.https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fnins.2023.1278817/fullParkinson diseasecognitive dysfunctiondementiamodifiable risk factorspredictor tool
spellingShingle Tara C. Carlisle
Tara C. Carlisle
Tara C. Carlisle
Luis D. Medina
Samantha K. Holden
Samantha K. Holden
Samantha K. Holden
Samantha K. Holden
Original research: initial development of a pragmatic tool to estimate cognitive decline risk focusing on potentially modifiable factors in Parkinson’s disease
Frontiers in Neuroscience
Parkinson disease
cognitive dysfunction
dementia
modifiable risk factors
predictor tool
title Original research: initial development of a pragmatic tool to estimate cognitive decline risk focusing on potentially modifiable factors in Parkinson’s disease
title_full Original research: initial development of a pragmatic tool to estimate cognitive decline risk focusing on potentially modifiable factors in Parkinson’s disease
title_fullStr Original research: initial development of a pragmatic tool to estimate cognitive decline risk focusing on potentially modifiable factors in Parkinson’s disease
title_full_unstemmed Original research: initial development of a pragmatic tool to estimate cognitive decline risk focusing on potentially modifiable factors in Parkinson’s disease
title_short Original research: initial development of a pragmatic tool to estimate cognitive decline risk focusing on potentially modifiable factors in Parkinson’s disease
title_sort original research initial development of a pragmatic tool to estimate cognitive decline risk focusing on potentially modifiable factors in parkinson s disease
topic Parkinson disease
cognitive dysfunction
dementia
modifiable risk factors
predictor tool
url https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fnins.2023.1278817/full
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