Industrial structure optimization, population agglomeration, and carbon emissions—Empirical evidence from 30 provinces in China

The sustainability of the ecological environment has been greatly threatened. Based on carbon emissions and combined with the panel data of 30 provinces in China from 2003 to 2020, this paper studied the various mechanisms of industrial structure optimization and population agglomeration on carbon e...

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Main Authors: Lei Liang, Chongzhen Huang, Zixu Hu
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Frontiers Media S.A. 2023-01-01
Series:Frontiers in Environmental Science
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fenvs.2022.1078319/full
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author Lei Liang
Chongzhen Huang
Zixu Hu
author_facet Lei Liang
Chongzhen Huang
Zixu Hu
author_sort Lei Liang
collection DOAJ
description The sustainability of the ecological environment has been greatly threatened. Based on carbon emissions and combined with the panel data of 30 provinces in China from 2003 to 2020, this paper studied the various mechanisms of industrial structure optimization and population agglomeration on carbon emissions. The fixed effect model, panel threshold model and spatial spillover model are used to study the direct and indirect effects of industrial structure optimization and population agglomeration on carbon emissions, and the robustness of the results is tested in various ways. In terms of direct effects, the industrial structure optimization has a significant negative effect on carbon emissions, and the significance level is 1%. Population agglomeration has a significant positive effect on carbon emissions, with a significance level of 1%. In terms of indirect effects, 1) by adding the cross term of industrial structure optimization and population agglomeration, it is proved that population agglomeration can promote the carbon emission reduction effect of industrial structure optimization. 2) Population agglomeration was used as the threshold variable to verify the interval effect of industrial structure optimization on carbon emission reduction. The results show that the industrial structure optimization has a double threshold effect of population agglomeration on carbon emissions, and the threshold values are 2.1137 and 5.9263, respectively. And the larger the population agglomeration interval, the weaker the inhibition effect of industrial structure optimization on carbon emissions. 3) The industrial structure optimization, population agglomeration and carbon emissions have significant spatial spillover effects. The industrial structure optimization in neighboring areas has a significant inhibitory effect on carbon emissions, and the population agglomeration in neighboring areas has a significant promoting effect on carbon emissions.
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spelling doaj.art-60707ffc8351470aba375edcaceaacc22023-01-12T04:58:06ZengFrontiers Media S.A.Frontiers in Environmental Science2296-665X2023-01-011010.3389/fenvs.2022.10783191078319Industrial structure optimization, population agglomeration, and carbon emissions—Empirical evidence from 30 provinces in ChinaLei Liang0Chongzhen Huang1Zixu Hu2School of Economics and Business Administration, Heilongjiang University, Harbin, ChinaSchool of Economics and Management, Harbin Engineering University, Harbin, ChinaSchool of Economics and Business Administration, Heilongjiang University, Harbin, ChinaThe sustainability of the ecological environment has been greatly threatened. Based on carbon emissions and combined with the panel data of 30 provinces in China from 2003 to 2020, this paper studied the various mechanisms of industrial structure optimization and population agglomeration on carbon emissions. The fixed effect model, panel threshold model and spatial spillover model are used to study the direct and indirect effects of industrial structure optimization and population agglomeration on carbon emissions, and the robustness of the results is tested in various ways. In terms of direct effects, the industrial structure optimization has a significant negative effect on carbon emissions, and the significance level is 1%. Population agglomeration has a significant positive effect on carbon emissions, with a significance level of 1%. In terms of indirect effects, 1) by adding the cross term of industrial structure optimization and population agglomeration, it is proved that population agglomeration can promote the carbon emission reduction effect of industrial structure optimization. 2) Population agglomeration was used as the threshold variable to verify the interval effect of industrial structure optimization on carbon emission reduction. The results show that the industrial structure optimization has a double threshold effect of population agglomeration on carbon emissions, and the threshold values are 2.1137 and 5.9263, respectively. And the larger the population agglomeration interval, the weaker the inhibition effect of industrial structure optimization on carbon emissions. 3) The industrial structure optimization, population agglomeration and carbon emissions have significant spatial spillover effects. The industrial structure optimization in neighboring areas has a significant inhibitory effect on carbon emissions, and the population agglomeration in neighboring areas has a significant promoting effect on carbon emissions.https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fenvs.2022.1078319/fullindustrial structure optimizationprovincemechanismpopulation agglomerationcarbon emissions
spellingShingle Lei Liang
Chongzhen Huang
Zixu Hu
Industrial structure optimization, population agglomeration, and carbon emissions—Empirical evidence from 30 provinces in China
Frontiers in Environmental Science
industrial structure optimization
province
mechanism
population agglomeration
carbon emissions
title Industrial structure optimization, population agglomeration, and carbon emissions—Empirical evidence from 30 provinces in China
title_full Industrial structure optimization, population agglomeration, and carbon emissions—Empirical evidence from 30 provinces in China
title_fullStr Industrial structure optimization, population agglomeration, and carbon emissions—Empirical evidence from 30 provinces in China
title_full_unstemmed Industrial structure optimization, population agglomeration, and carbon emissions—Empirical evidence from 30 provinces in China
title_short Industrial structure optimization, population agglomeration, and carbon emissions—Empirical evidence from 30 provinces in China
title_sort industrial structure optimization population agglomeration and carbon emissions empirical evidence from 30 provinces in china
topic industrial structure optimization
province
mechanism
population agglomeration
carbon emissions
url https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fenvs.2022.1078319/full
work_keys_str_mv AT leiliang industrialstructureoptimizationpopulationagglomerationandcarbonemissionsempiricalevidencefrom30provincesinchina
AT chongzhenhuang industrialstructureoptimizationpopulationagglomerationandcarbonemissionsempiricalevidencefrom30provincesinchina
AT zixuhu industrialstructureoptimizationpopulationagglomerationandcarbonemissionsempiricalevidencefrom30provincesinchina