An investigation into the changing relationship between the gold price and South African gold mining industry returns

Background: It is accepted that the gold price impacts on the value of gold mining companies. Previous studies have shown that, in financial crises, gold is considered a ‘safe haven’ investment in developed markets.   Aim: The aim of the study is to investigate whether an investment in gold mining...

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Main Authors: Jan J. Szczygielski, Zack Enslin, Elda du Toit
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: AOSIS 2018-08-01
Series:South African Journal of Business Management
Subjects:
Online Access:https://sajbm.org/index.php/sajbm/article/view/232
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author Jan J. Szczygielski
Zack Enslin
Elda du Toit
author_facet Jan J. Szczygielski
Zack Enslin
Elda du Toit
author_sort Jan J. Szczygielski
collection DOAJ
description Background: It is accepted that the gold price impacts on the value of gold mining companies. Previous studies have shown that, in financial crises, gold is considered a ‘safe haven’ investment in developed markets.   Aim: The aim of the study is to investigate whether an investment in gold mining stocks do provide gold price-linked safe haven benefits to investors in an emerging economy. An understanding of the possible safe haven benefits of their companies’ stocks and the variables that influence these benefits would be valuable to managers of gold companies when endeavouring to maximise shareholders’ wealth through hedging and investment decisions.   Methods: Regression analysis is applied to investigate the relationship between gold mining returns, the gold price and the rand–dollar exchange rate within a multifactor model motivated by the arbitrage pricing theory.   Results: The results indicate that there is a strong, yet changing, relationship between the gold price, the rand–dollar exchange rate and gold mining returns.   Conclusion: This study extends the understanding of the changing South African gold mining industry in a world that is still recovering from the global financial crisis.
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spelling doaj.art-607e84dd486c4773a91ce839afe655c52022-12-22T02:24:15ZengAOSISSouth African Journal of Business Management2078-55852078-59762018-08-01491e1e1110.4102/sajbm.v49i1.232190An investigation into the changing relationship between the gold price and South African gold mining industry returnsJan J. Szczygielski0Zack Enslin1Elda du Toit2Department of Financial Management, University of PretoriaDepartment of Financial Management, University of PretoriaDepartment of Financial Management, University of PretoriaBackground: It is accepted that the gold price impacts on the value of gold mining companies. Previous studies have shown that, in financial crises, gold is considered a ‘safe haven’ investment in developed markets.   Aim: The aim of the study is to investigate whether an investment in gold mining stocks do provide gold price-linked safe haven benefits to investors in an emerging economy. An understanding of the possible safe haven benefits of their companies’ stocks and the variables that influence these benefits would be valuable to managers of gold companies when endeavouring to maximise shareholders’ wealth through hedging and investment decisions.   Methods: Regression analysis is applied to investigate the relationship between gold mining returns, the gold price and the rand–dollar exchange rate within a multifactor model motivated by the arbitrage pricing theory.   Results: The results indicate that there is a strong, yet changing, relationship between the gold price, the rand–dollar exchange rate and gold mining returns.   Conclusion: This study extends the understanding of the changing South African gold mining industry in a world that is still recovering from the global financial crisis.https://sajbm.org/index.php/sajbm/article/view/232gold pricegold mining company stock pricesmetals boomglobal financial crisis
spellingShingle Jan J. Szczygielski
Zack Enslin
Elda du Toit
An investigation into the changing relationship between the gold price and South African gold mining industry returns
South African Journal of Business Management
gold price
gold mining company stock prices
metals boom
global financial crisis
title An investigation into the changing relationship between the gold price and South African gold mining industry returns
title_full An investigation into the changing relationship between the gold price and South African gold mining industry returns
title_fullStr An investigation into the changing relationship between the gold price and South African gold mining industry returns
title_full_unstemmed An investigation into the changing relationship between the gold price and South African gold mining industry returns
title_short An investigation into the changing relationship between the gold price and South African gold mining industry returns
title_sort investigation into the changing relationship between the gold price and south african gold mining industry returns
topic gold price
gold mining company stock prices
metals boom
global financial crisis
url https://sajbm.org/index.php/sajbm/article/view/232
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