A theoretical model of the evolution of virulence in sexually transmitted HIV/AIDS

INTRODUCTION: The evolution of virulence in host-parasite relationships has been the subject of several publications. In the case of HIV virulence, some authors suggest that the evolution of HIV virulence correlates with the rate of acquisition of new sexual partners. In contrast some other authors...

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Main Authors: Coutinho FAB, Massad E, Menezes RX, Burattini MN
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Universidade de São Paulo 1999-01-01
Series:Revista de Saúde Pública
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.scielosp.org/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S0034-89101999000400002
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author Coutinho FAB
Massad E
Menezes RX
Burattini MN
author_facet Coutinho FAB
Massad E
Menezes RX
Burattini MN
author_sort Coutinho FAB
collection DOAJ
description INTRODUCTION: The evolution of virulence in host-parasite relationships has been the subject of several publications. In the case of HIV virulence, some authors suggest that the evolution of HIV virulence correlates with the rate of acquisition of new sexual partners. In contrast some other authors argue that the level of HIV virulence is independent of the sexual activity of the host population. METHODS: Provide a mathematical model for the study of the potential influence of human sexual behaviour on the evolution of virulence of HIV is provided. RESULTS: The results indicated that, when the probability of acquisition of infection is a function both of the sexual activity and of the virulence level of HIV strains, the evolution of HIV virulence correlates positively with the rate of acquisition of new sexual partners. CONCLUSION: It is concluded that in the case of a host population with a low (high) rate of exchange of sexual partners the evolution of HIV virulence is such that the less (more) virulent strain prevails.
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spelling doaj.art-6080efd487bf42098a0e52a78e8b3f312022-12-22T01:45:47ZengUniversidade de São PauloRevista de Saúde Pública0034-89101518-87871999-01-01334329333A theoretical model of the evolution of virulence in sexually transmitted HIV/AIDSCoutinho FABMassad EMenezes RXBurattini MNINTRODUCTION: The evolution of virulence in host-parasite relationships has been the subject of several publications. In the case of HIV virulence, some authors suggest that the evolution of HIV virulence correlates with the rate of acquisition of new sexual partners. In contrast some other authors argue that the level of HIV virulence is independent of the sexual activity of the host population. METHODS: Provide a mathematical model for the study of the potential influence of human sexual behaviour on the evolution of virulence of HIV is provided. RESULTS: The results indicated that, when the probability of acquisition of infection is a function both of the sexual activity and of the virulence level of HIV strains, the evolution of HIV virulence correlates positively with the rate of acquisition of new sexual partners. CONCLUSION: It is concluded that in the case of a host population with a low (high) rate of exchange of sexual partners the evolution of HIV virulence is such that the less (more) virulent strain prevails.http://www.scielosp.org/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S0034-89101999000400002Acquired Inmunodeficiency SyndromeVirulenceModels, statistical
spellingShingle Coutinho FAB
Massad E
Menezes RX
Burattini MN
A theoretical model of the evolution of virulence in sexually transmitted HIV/AIDS
Revista de Saúde Pública
Acquired Inmunodeficiency Syndrome
Virulence
Models, statistical
title A theoretical model of the evolution of virulence in sexually transmitted HIV/AIDS
title_full A theoretical model of the evolution of virulence in sexually transmitted HIV/AIDS
title_fullStr A theoretical model of the evolution of virulence in sexually transmitted HIV/AIDS
title_full_unstemmed A theoretical model of the evolution of virulence in sexually transmitted HIV/AIDS
title_short A theoretical model of the evolution of virulence in sexually transmitted HIV/AIDS
title_sort theoretical model of the evolution of virulence in sexually transmitted hiv aids
topic Acquired Inmunodeficiency Syndrome
Virulence
Models, statistical
url http://www.scielosp.org/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S0034-89101999000400002
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