Study on potential trend forecact of severe convective weather by type on the south bank of Hangzhou-Bay(杭州湾南岸地区分类别强对流天气潜势预报研究)

根据地面观测和中尺度站资料,选取2007~2012年历史样本,利用杭州站探空资料和NCEP FNL分析资料计算各项对流指标,统计短时强降水和雷暴大风发生与各项对流指标的关系,分类别筛选出与其相关性较好的对流指标,在考虑对流指标季节变化特征的基础上,采用指数套叠法建立起分类别强对流天气潜势预报方程,并于2013年6~8月进行强对流天气试报,得到了较好的预报效果....

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Author: JIANGLili(江丽俐)
Format: Article
Language:zho
Published: Zhejiang University Press 2014-12-01
Series:Zhejiang Daxue xuebao. Lixue ban
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.3785/j.issn.1008-9497.2014.Supp.022
_version_ 1797235914764713984
author JIANGLili(江丽俐)
author_facet JIANGLili(江丽俐)
author_sort JIANGLili(江丽俐)
collection DOAJ
description 根据地面观测和中尺度站资料,选取2007~2012年历史样本,利用杭州站探空资料和NCEP FNL分析资料计算各项对流指标,统计短时强降水和雷暴大风发生与各项对流指标的关系,分类别筛选出与其相关性较好的对流指标,在考虑对流指标季节变化特征的基础上,采用指数套叠法建立起分类别强对流天气潜势预报方程,并于2013年6~8月进行强对流天气试报,得到了较好的预报效果.
first_indexed 2024-04-24T16:55:32Z
format Article
id doaj.art-6087bf8be9c0468ab56712cd301fc1b4
institution Directory Open Access Journal
issn 1008-9497
language zho
last_indexed 2024-04-24T16:55:32Z
publishDate 2014-12-01
publisher Zhejiang University Press
record_format Article
series Zhejiang Daxue xuebao. Lixue ban
spelling doaj.art-6087bf8be9c0468ab56712cd301fc1b42024-03-29T01:58:34ZzhoZhejiang University PressZhejiang Daxue xuebao. Lixue ban1008-94972014-12-0141Z114314910.3785/j.issn.1008-9497.2014.Supp.022Study on potential trend forecact of severe convective weather by type on the south bank of Hangzhou-Bay(杭州湾南岸地区分类别强对流天气潜势预报研究)JIANGLili(江丽俐)0Shaoxing Meteorologieal Observatory, Shaoxing 312000, Zhejiang Province, China(绍兴市气象台,浙江 绍兴 312000)根据地面观测和中尺度站资料,选取2007~2012年历史样本,利用杭州站探空资料和NCEP FNL分析资料计算各项对流指标,统计短时强降水和雷暴大风发生与各项对流指标的关系,分类别筛选出与其相关性较好的对流指标,在考虑对流指标季节变化特征的基础上,采用指数套叠法建立起分类别强对流天气潜势预报方程,并于2013年6~8月进行强对流天气试报,得到了较好的预报效果.https://doi.org/10.3785/j.issn.1008-9497.2014.Supp.022杭州湾南岸分类别强对流潜势预报
spellingShingle JIANGLili(江丽俐)
Study on potential trend forecact of severe convective weather by type on the south bank of Hangzhou-Bay(杭州湾南岸地区分类别强对流天气潜势预报研究)
Zhejiang Daxue xuebao. Lixue ban
杭州湾南岸
分类别
强对流
潜势预报
title Study on potential trend forecact of severe convective weather by type on the south bank of Hangzhou-Bay(杭州湾南岸地区分类别强对流天气潜势预报研究)
title_full Study on potential trend forecact of severe convective weather by type on the south bank of Hangzhou-Bay(杭州湾南岸地区分类别强对流天气潜势预报研究)
title_fullStr Study on potential trend forecact of severe convective weather by type on the south bank of Hangzhou-Bay(杭州湾南岸地区分类别强对流天气潜势预报研究)
title_full_unstemmed Study on potential trend forecact of severe convective weather by type on the south bank of Hangzhou-Bay(杭州湾南岸地区分类别强对流天气潜势预报研究)
title_short Study on potential trend forecact of severe convective weather by type on the south bank of Hangzhou-Bay(杭州湾南岸地区分类别强对流天气潜势预报研究)
title_sort study on potential trend forecact of severe convective weather by type on the south bank of hangzhou bay 杭州湾南岸地区分类别强对流天气潜势预报研究
topic 杭州湾南岸
分类别
强对流
潜势预报
url https://doi.org/10.3785/j.issn.1008-9497.2014.Supp.022
work_keys_str_mv AT jianglilijiānglìlì studyonpotentialtrendforecactofsevereconvectiveweatherbytypeonthesouthbankofhangzhoubayhángzhōuwānnánàndeqūfēnlèibiéqiángduìliútiānqìqiánshìyùbàoyánjiū