Study on potential trend forecact of severe convective weather by type on the south bank of Hangzhou-Bay(杭州湾南岸地区分类别强对流天气潜势预报研究)
根据地面观测和中尺度站资料,选取2007~2012年历史样本,利用杭州站探空资料和NCEP FNL分析资料计算各项对流指标,统计短时强降水和雷暴大风发生与各项对流指标的关系,分类别筛选出与其相关性较好的对流指标,在考虑对流指标季节变化特征的基础上,采用指数套叠法建立起分类别强对流天气潜势预报方程,并于2013年6~8月进行强对流天气试报,得到了较好的预报效果....
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Format: | Article |
Language: | zho |
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Zhejiang University Press
2014-12-01
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Series: | Zhejiang Daxue xuebao. Lixue ban |
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Online Access: | https://doi.org/10.3785/j.issn.1008-9497.2014.Supp.022 |
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author | JIANGLili(江丽俐) |
author_facet | JIANGLili(江丽俐) |
author_sort | JIANGLili(江丽俐) |
collection | DOAJ |
description | 根据地面观测和中尺度站资料,选取2007~2012年历史样本,利用杭州站探空资料和NCEP FNL分析资料计算各项对流指标,统计短时强降水和雷暴大风发生与各项对流指标的关系,分类别筛选出与其相关性较好的对流指标,在考虑对流指标季节变化特征的基础上,采用指数套叠法建立起分类别强对流天气潜势预报方程,并于2013年6~8月进行强对流天气试报,得到了较好的预报效果. |
first_indexed | 2024-04-24T16:55:32Z |
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id | doaj.art-6087bf8be9c0468ab56712cd301fc1b4 |
institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
issn | 1008-9497 |
language | zho |
last_indexed | 2024-04-24T16:55:32Z |
publishDate | 2014-12-01 |
publisher | Zhejiang University Press |
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series | Zhejiang Daxue xuebao. Lixue ban |
spelling | doaj.art-6087bf8be9c0468ab56712cd301fc1b42024-03-29T01:58:34ZzhoZhejiang University PressZhejiang Daxue xuebao. Lixue ban1008-94972014-12-0141Z114314910.3785/j.issn.1008-9497.2014.Supp.022Study on potential trend forecact of severe convective weather by type on the south bank of Hangzhou-Bay(杭州湾南岸地区分类别强对流天气潜势预报研究)JIANGLili(江丽俐)0Shaoxing Meteorologieal Observatory, Shaoxing 312000, Zhejiang Province, China(绍兴市气象台,浙江 绍兴 312000)根据地面观测和中尺度站资料,选取2007~2012年历史样本,利用杭州站探空资料和NCEP FNL分析资料计算各项对流指标,统计短时强降水和雷暴大风发生与各项对流指标的关系,分类别筛选出与其相关性较好的对流指标,在考虑对流指标季节变化特征的基础上,采用指数套叠法建立起分类别强对流天气潜势预报方程,并于2013年6~8月进行强对流天气试报,得到了较好的预报效果.https://doi.org/10.3785/j.issn.1008-9497.2014.Supp.022杭州湾南岸分类别强对流潜势预报 |
spellingShingle | JIANGLili(江丽俐) Study on potential trend forecact of severe convective weather by type on the south bank of Hangzhou-Bay(杭州湾南岸地区分类别强对流天气潜势预报研究) Zhejiang Daxue xuebao. Lixue ban 杭州湾南岸 分类别 强对流 潜势预报 |
title | Study on potential trend forecact of severe convective weather by type on the south bank of Hangzhou-Bay(杭州湾南岸地区分类别强对流天气潜势预报研究) |
title_full | Study on potential trend forecact of severe convective weather by type on the south bank of Hangzhou-Bay(杭州湾南岸地区分类别强对流天气潜势预报研究) |
title_fullStr | Study on potential trend forecact of severe convective weather by type on the south bank of Hangzhou-Bay(杭州湾南岸地区分类别强对流天气潜势预报研究) |
title_full_unstemmed | Study on potential trend forecact of severe convective weather by type on the south bank of Hangzhou-Bay(杭州湾南岸地区分类别强对流天气潜势预报研究) |
title_short | Study on potential trend forecact of severe convective weather by type on the south bank of Hangzhou-Bay(杭州湾南岸地区分类别强对流天气潜势预报研究) |
title_sort | study on potential trend forecact of severe convective weather by type on the south bank of hangzhou bay 杭州湾南岸地区分类别强对流天气潜势预报研究 |
topic | 杭州湾南岸 分类别 强对流 潜势预报 |
url | https://doi.org/10.3785/j.issn.1008-9497.2014.Supp.022 |
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