Key role of China and its agriculture in global sustainable phosphorus management

Growing global demand for food leads to increased pressure on phosphorus (P), a finite and dwindling resource. China is the largest producer and consumer of P fertilizer in the world. A mass balance analysis of historical P use on China’s arable land shows that P input substantially exceeds crop P u...

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Main Authors: S Z Sattari, M K van Ittersum, K E Giller, F Zhang, A F Bouwman
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: IOP Publishing 2014-01-01
Series:Environmental Research Letters
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/9/5/054003
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author S Z Sattari
M K van Ittersum
K E Giller
F Zhang
A F Bouwman
author_facet S Z Sattari
M K van Ittersum
K E Giller
F Zhang
A F Bouwman
author_sort S Z Sattari
collection DOAJ
description Growing global demand for food leads to increased pressure on phosphorus (P), a finite and dwindling resource. China is the largest producer and consumer of P fertilizer in the world. A mass balance analysis of historical P use on China’s arable land shows that P input substantially exceeds crop P uptake leading to the accumulation of residual soil P. A Dynamic P Pool Simulator (DPPS) model is applied to estimate future P demand in China’s arable land. Our simulations show that more sustainable use of P accounting for the residual P can save ca. 20% of the P fertilizer needed until 2050 in China relative to the Rio + 20 Trend scenario. This saving would be equivalent to half of the P required in Africa or sufficient for Western Europe to achieve target crop P uptake in 2050.
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spelling doaj.art-608a412cbceb460e8657782f273ce45e2023-08-09T14:43:29ZengIOP PublishingEnvironmental Research Letters1748-93262014-01-019505400310.1088/1748-9326/9/5/054003Key role of China and its agriculture in global sustainable phosphorus managementS Z Sattari0M K van Ittersum1K E Giller2F Zhang3A F Bouwman4Plant Production Systems Group, Wageningen University , PO Box 430, 6700 AK Wageningen, The NetherlandsPlant Production Systems Group, Wageningen University , PO Box 430, 6700 AK Wageningen, The NetherlandsPlant Production Systems Group, Wageningen University , PO Box 430, 6700 AK Wageningen, The NetherlandsCentre for Resource, Environment and Food Security, China Agricultural University , Beijing 10093, People’s Republic of ChinaDepartment of Earth Sciences–Geochemistry, Faculty of Geosciences, Utrecht University , PO Box 80021, 3508 TA, Utrecht, The Netherlands; Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency (PBL), PO Box 303, 3720 AH, Bilthoven, The NetherlandsGrowing global demand for food leads to increased pressure on phosphorus (P), a finite and dwindling resource. China is the largest producer and consumer of P fertilizer in the world. A mass balance analysis of historical P use on China’s arable land shows that P input substantially exceeds crop P uptake leading to the accumulation of residual soil P. A Dynamic P Pool Simulator (DPPS) model is applied to estimate future P demand in China’s arable land. Our simulations show that more sustainable use of P accounting for the residual P can save ca. 20% of the P fertilizer needed until 2050 in China relative to the Rio + 20 Trend scenario. This saving would be equivalent to half of the P required in Africa or sufficient for Western Europe to achieve target crop P uptake in 2050.https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/9/5/054003phosphorus reservesfood securitycropagricultureChina
spellingShingle S Z Sattari
M K van Ittersum
K E Giller
F Zhang
A F Bouwman
Key role of China and its agriculture in global sustainable phosphorus management
Environmental Research Letters
phosphorus reserves
food security
crop
agriculture
China
title Key role of China and its agriculture in global sustainable phosphorus management
title_full Key role of China and its agriculture in global sustainable phosphorus management
title_fullStr Key role of China and its agriculture in global sustainable phosphorus management
title_full_unstemmed Key role of China and its agriculture in global sustainable phosphorus management
title_short Key role of China and its agriculture in global sustainable phosphorus management
title_sort key role of china and its agriculture in global sustainable phosphorus management
topic phosphorus reserves
food security
crop
agriculture
China
url https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/9/5/054003
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AT kegiller keyroleofchinaanditsagricultureinglobalsustainablephosphorusmanagement
AT fzhang keyroleofchinaanditsagricultureinglobalsustainablephosphorusmanagement
AT afbouwman keyroleofchinaanditsagricultureinglobalsustainablephosphorusmanagement