Impact of automation on long haul trucking operator-hours in the United States

Abstract Automated long haul trucking is being developed for commercial deployment in the United States. One possible mode of deployment for this technology is a “transfer-hub” model where the operationally less complex highway driving is automated, while human drivers drive the more complex urban s...

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Main Authors: Aniruddh Mohan, Parth Vaishnav
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Springer Nature 2022-03-01
Series:Humanities & Social Sciences Communications
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1057/s41599-022-01103-w
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author Aniruddh Mohan
Parth Vaishnav
author_facet Aniruddh Mohan
Parth Vaishnav
author_sort Aniruddh Mohan
collection DOAJ
description Abstract Automated long haul trucking is being developed for commercial deployment in the United States. One possible mode of deployment for this technology is a “transfer-hub” model where the operationally less complex highway driving is automated, while human drivers drive the more complex urban segment of the route. We study the possible net impacts on tractor-trailer operator-hours from this mode of deployment. Using data from the 2017 Commodity Flow Survey, we gather information on trucking shipments and the operator-hours required to fulfill those shipments. We find that up to 94% of long haul trucking operator-hours may be impacted as the technology improves to operate in all weather conditions. If the technology is however restricted to the southern states where the majority of companies are currently testing automated trucking, we find that only 10% of operator-hours are impacted. We conduct interviews with industry stakeholders including tractor-trailer operators on the feasibility of such a system of deployment. We find that an increase in short haul operation is unlikely to compensate for the loss in long haul operator-hours, despite public claims to this effect by the developers of the technology. Policymakers should consider the impact of different scenarios of deployment on the long haul trucking workforce.
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spelling doaj.art-608b9eefd31b4986ab3d9bcc1d6701b62022-12-21T23:56:25ZengSpringer NatureHumanities & Social Sciences Communications2662-99922022-03-019111010.1057/s41599-022-01103-wImpact of automation on long haul trucking operator-hours in the United StatesAniruddh Mohan0Parth Vaishnav1Department of Engineering and Public Policy, Carnegie Mellon UniversityDepartment of Engineering and Public Policy, Carnegie Mellon UniversityAbstract Automated long haul trucking is being developed for commercial deployment in the United States. One possible mode of deployment for this technology is a “transfer-hub” model where the operationally less complex highway driving is automated, while human drivers drive the more complex urban segment of the route. We study the possible net impacts on tractor-trailer operator-hours from this mode of deployment. Using data from the 2017 Commodity Flow Survey, we gather information on trucking shipments and the operator-hours required to fulfill those shipments. We find that up to 94% of long haul trucking operator-hours may be impacted as the technology improves to operate in all weather conditions. If the technology is however restricted to the southern states where the majority of companies are currently testing automated trucking, we find that only 10% of operator-hours are impacted. We conduct interviews with industry stakeholders including tractor-trailer operators on the feasibility of such a system of deployment. We find that an increase in short haul operation is unlikely to compensate for the loss in long haul operator-hours, despite public claims to this effect by the developers of the technology. Policymakers should consider the impact of different scenarios of deployment on the long haul trucking workforce.https://doi.org/10.1057/s41599-022-01103-w
spellingShingle Aniruddh Mohan
Parth Vaishnav
Impact of automation on long haul trucking operator-hours in the United States
Humanities & Social Sciences Communications
title Impact of automation on long haul trucking operator-hours in the United States
title_full Impact of automation on long haul trucking operator-hours in the United States
title_fullStr Impact of automation on long haul trucking operator-hours in the United States
title_full_unstemmed Impact of automation on long haul trucking operator-hours in the United States
title_short Impact of automation on long haul trucking operator-hours in the United States
title_sort impact of automation on long haul trucking operator hours in the united states
url https://doi.org/10.1057/s41599-022-01103-w
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