Inferring temporal dynamics from cross-sectional data using Langevin dynamics

Cross-sectional studies are widely prevalent since they are more feasible to conduct compared with longitudinal studies. However, cross-sectional data lack the temporal information required to study the evolution of the underlying dynamics. This temporal information is essential to develop predictiv...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Pritha Dutta, Rick Quax, Loes Crielaard, Luca Badiali, Peter M. A. Sloot
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: The Royal Society 2021-11-01
Series:Royal Society Open Science
Subjects:
Online Access:https://royalsocietypublishing.org/doi/10.1098/rsos.211374
_version_ 1818433369321504768
author Pritha Dutta
Rick Quax
Loes Crielaard
Luca Badiali
Peter M. A. Sloot
author_facet Pritha Dutta
Rick Quax
Loes Crielaard
Luca Badiali
Peter M. A. Sloot
author_sort Pritha Dutta
collection DOAJ
description Cross-sectional studies are widely prevalent since they are more feasible to conduct compared with longitudinal studies. However, cross-sectional data lack the temporal information required to study the evolution of the underlying dynamics. This temporal information is essential to develop predictive computational models, which is the first step towards causal modelling. We propose a method for inferring computational models from cross-sectional data using Langevin dynamics. This method can be applied to any system where the data-points are influenced by equal forces and are in (local) equilibrium. The inferred model will be valid for the time span during which this set of forces remains unchanged. The result is a set of stochastic differential equations that capture the temporal dynamics, by assuming that groups of data-points are subject to the same free energy landscape and amount of noise. This is a ‘baseline’ method that initiates the development of computational models and can be iteratively enhanced through the inclusion of domain expert knowledge as demonstrated in our results. Our method shows significant predictive power when compared against two population-based longitudinal datasets. The proposed method can facilitate the use of cross-sectional datasets to obtain an initial estimate of the underlying dynamics of the respective systems.
first_indexed 2024-12-14T16:20:00Z
format Article
id doaj.art-60c7c0dabd9547d28fbb9d82a7ab112f
institution Directory Open Access Journal
issn 2054-5703
language English
last_indexed 2024-12-14T16:20:00Z
publishDate 2021-11-01
publisher The Royal Society
record_format Article
series Royal Society Open Science
spelling doaj.art-60c7c0dabd9547d28fbb9d82a7ab112f2022-12-21T22:54:49ZengThe Royal SocietyRoyal Society Open Science2054-57032021-11-0181110.1098/rsos.211374Inferring temporal dynamics from cross-sectional data using Langevin dynamicsPritha Dutta0Rick Quax1Loes Crielaard2Luca Badiali3Peter M. A. Sloot4Interdisciplinary Graduate Programme, Nanyang Technological University, SingaporeInstitute for Advanced Study, University of Amsterdam, Amsterdam, The NetherlandsInstitute for Advanced Study, University of Amsterdam, Amsterdam, The NetherlandsComputational Science Lab, University of Amsterdam, Amsterdam, The NetherlandsInstitute for Advanced Study, University of Amsterdam, Amsterdam, The NetherlandsCross-sectional studies are widely prevalent since they are more feasible to conduct compared with longitudinal studies. However, cross-sectional data lack the temporal information required to study the evolution of the underlying dynamics. This temporal information is essential to develop predictive computational models, which is the first step towards causal modelling. We propose a method for inferring computational models from cross-sectional data using Langevin dynamics. This method can be applied to any system where the data-points are influenced by equal forces and are in (local) equilibrium. The inferred model will be valid for the time span during which this set of forces remains unchanged. The result is a set of stochastic differential equations that capture the temporal dynamics, by assuming that groups of data-points are subject to the same free energy landscape and amount of noise. This is a ‘baseline’ method that initiates the development of computational models and can be iteratively enhanced through the inclusion of domain expert knowledge as demonstrated in our results. Our method shows significant predictive power when compared against two population-based longitudinal datasets. The proposed method can facilitate the use of cross-sectional datasets to obtain an initial estimate of the underlying dynamics of the respective systems.https://royalsocietypublishing.org/doi/10.1098/rsos.211374cross-sectional datapredictive computational modelspseudo-longitudinal dataLangevin dynamics
spellingShingle Pritha Dutta
Rick Quax
Loes Crielaard
Luca Badiali
Peter M. A. Sloot
Inferring temporal dynamics from cross-sectional data using Langevin dynamics
Royal Society Open Science
cross-sectional data
predictive computational models
pseudo-longitudinal data
Langevin dynamics
title Inferring temporal dynamics from cross-sectional data using Langevin dynamics
title_full Inferring temporal dynamics from cross-sectional data using Langevin dynamics
title_fullStr Inferring temporal dynamics from cross-sectional data using Langevin dynamics
title_full_unstemmed Inferring temporal dynamics from cross-sectional data using Langevin dynamics
title_short Inferring temporal dynamics from cross-sectional data using Langevin dynamics
title_sort inferring temporal dynamics from cross sectional data using langevin dynamics
topic cross-sectional data
predictive computational models
pseudo-longitudinal data
Langevin dynamics
url https://royalsocietypublishing.org/doi/10.1098/rsos.211374
work_keys_str_mv AT prithadutta inferringtemporaldynamicsfromcrosssectionaldatausinglangevindynamics
AT rickquax inferringtemporaldynamicsfromcrosssectionaldatausinglangevindynamics
AT loescrielaard inferringtemporaldynamicsfromcrosssectionaldatausinglangevindynamics
AT lucabadiali inferringtemporaldynamicsfromcrosssectionaldatausinglangevindynamics
AT petermasloot inferringtemporaldynamicsfromcrosssectionaldatausinglangevindynamics