Effect of the Rise in Online Motorcycle Taxi Services on the Number of Motorcycles using the Interrupted Time Series Method

The substantial growth of motorcycle users in Indonesia is hypothesized to be influenced by a government policy on motorcycle purchase waivers and the massive growth of online motorcycle taxis. This study aims to analyse the relationship between the emergence of online motorcycle taxis and governme...

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Main Authors: Yovita Fabriska Laras Anindityas, M. Rizki, T.B. Joewono
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Petra Christian University 2021-10-01
Series:Civil Engineering Dimension
Subjects:
Online Access:https://ced.petra.ac.id/index.php/civ/article/view/23728
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author Yovita Fabriska Laras Anindityas
M. Rizki
T.B. Joewono
author_facet Yovita Fabriska Laras Anindityas
M. Rizki
T.B. Joewono
author_sort Yovita Fabriska Laras Anindityas
collection DOAJ
description The substantial growth of motorcycle users in Indonesia is hypothesized to be influenced by a government policy on motorcycle purchase waivers and the massive growth of online motorcycle taxis. This study aims to analyse the relationship between the emergence of online motorcycle taxis and government policy changes towards the number of motorcycles and compare the estimation model seen from the consumer and sales sides. The data were collected from the Indonesian Bureau of Statistics, Motorcycle Industry Association, and World Bank. Several estimation models were built using the interrupted time series method. The results showed that changes in government policy and income per capita significantly increased the number of motorcycles. However, the emergence of online motorcycle taxis negatively affected the increasing number of motorcycles. The results also showed that models with data representing motorcycle usage behavior provided better results than the model with motorcycle sales.
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spelling doaj.art-60cc74070a184f9a91e4476b9b888d702022-12-22T00:26:52ZengPetra Christian UniversityCivil Engineering Dimension1410-95301979-570X2021-10-0123210.9744/ced.23.2.123-130Effect of the Rise in Online Motorcycle Taxi Services on the Number of Motorcycles using the Interrupted Time Series MethodYovita Fabriska Laras Anindityas0M. Rizki1T.B. Joewono2Parahyangan Catholic UniversityInstitut Teknologi Nasional BandungParahyangan Catholic University The substantial growth of motorcycle users in Indonesia is hypothesized to be influenced by a government policy on motorcycle purchase waivers and the massive growth of online motorcycle taxis. This study aims to analyse the relationship between the emergence of online motorcycle taxis and government policy changes towards the number of motorcycles and compare the estimation model seen from the consumer and sales sides. The data were collected from the Indonesian Bureau of Statistics, Motorcycle Industry Association, and World Bank. Several estimation models were built using the interrupted time series method. The results showed that changes in government policy and income per capita significantly increased the number of motorcycles. However, the emergence of online motorcycle taxis negatively affected the increasing number of motorcycles. The results also showed that models with data representing motorcycle usage behavior provided better results than the model with motorcycle sales. https://ced.petra.ac.id/index.php/civ/article/view/23728number of motorcyclesgovernment policyonline motorcycle taxisinterrupted time series method
spellingShingle Yovita Fabriska Laras Anindityas
M. Rizki
T.B. Joewono
Effect of the Rise in Online Motorcycle Taxi Services on the Number of Motorcycles using the Interrupted Time Series Method
Civil Engineering Dimension
number of motorcycles
government policy
online motorcycle taxis
interrupted time series method
title Effect of the Rise in Online Motorcycle Taxi Services on the Number of Motorcycles using the Interrupted Time Series Method
title_full Effect of the Rise in Online Motorcycle Taxi Services on the Number of Motorcycles using the Interrupted Time Series Method
title_fullStr Effect of the Rise in Online Motorcycle Taxi Services on the Number of Motorcycles using the Interrupted Time Series Method
title_full_unstemmed Effect of the Rise in Online Motorcycle Taxi Services on the Number of Motorcycles using the Interrupted Time Series Method
title_short Effect of the Rise in Online Motorcycle Taxi Services on the Number of Motorcycles using the Interrupted Time Series Method
title_sort effect of the rise in online motorcycle taxi services on the number of motorcycles using the interrupted time series method
topic number of motorcycles
government policy
online motorcycle taxis
interrupted time series method
url https://ced.petra.ac.id/index.php/civ/article/view/23728
work_keys_str_mv AT yovitafabriskalarasanindityas effectoftheriseinonlinemotorcycletaxiservicesonthenumberofmotorcyclesusingtheinterruptedtimeseriesmethod
AT mrizki effectoftheriseinonlinemotorcycletaxiservicesonthenumberofmotorcyclesusingtheinterruptedtimeseriesmethod
AT tbjoewono effectoftheriseinonlinemotorcycletaxiservicesonthenumberofmotorcyclesusingtheinterruptedtimeseriesmethod