The role of post-sunset vertical drifts at the equator in predicting the onset of VHF scintillations during high and low sunspot activity years

The day-to-day variability in the occurrence of ionospheric scintillations, which are of serious concern in the trans-ionospheric communications, makes their prediction still a challenging problem. This paper reports on a systematic study in quantitatively identifying the precursors responsible,...

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Main Authors: S. Tulasi Ram, P. V. S. Rama Rao, K. Niranjan, D. S. V. V. D. Prasad, R. Sridharan, C. V. Devasia, S. Ravindran
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Copernicus Publications 2006-07-01
Series:Annales Geophysicae
Online Access:https://www.ann-geophys.net/24/1609/2006/angeo-24-1609-2006.pdf
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author S. Tulasi Ram
P. V. S. Rama Rao
K. Niranjan
D. S. V. V. D. Prasad
R. Sridharan
C. V. Devasia
S. Ravindran
author_facet S. Tulasi Ram
P. V. S. Rama Rao
K. Niranjan
D. S. V. V. D. Prasad
R. Sridharan
C. V. Devasia
S. Ravindran
author_sort S. Tulasi Ram
collection DOAJ
description The day-to-day variability in the occurrence of ionospheric scintillations, which are of serious concern in the trans-ionospheric communications, makes their prediction still a challenging problem. This paper reports on a systematic study in quantitatively identifying the precursors responsible, such as pre-reversal <i><b>E</b></i>&times;<i><b>B</b></i> drift velocity, geo-magnetic activity index (<i>K<sub>p</sub></i>) and the Equatorial Ionization Anomaly (EIA) gradient, for the onset of VHF scintillations over a low-latitude station, Waltair (20&deg; N dip), during high (2001) and low (2004) sunspot activity years. The percentage of occurrences of VHF scintillations over Waltair show a good correlation with the monthly mean post-sunset vertical drift velocities at the equator, during both the high and low sunspot activity years. During the days on which intense (&gt;10 dB) scintillations occur, the ionization anomaly gradient (dN/dL), measured from ionosonde data of an equatorial (Trivandrum, 0.9&deg; N dip) and an off-equatorial station (Waltair, 20&deg; N dip) shows an enhancement in the gradient prior to the onset of the scintillations. However, this enhancement is not seen on days when the scintillations are weak (&lt;10 dB) or absent. The day-to-day post sunset enhancement in the <i><b>E</b></i>&times;<i><b>B</b></i> drift is found to decrease with increasing <i>K<sub>p</sub></i>-index and this decrease is more prominent in the equinoxes, less in winter and insignificant in the summer months. On a day-to-day basis, it is found that the value of the upward drift velocity at the equator should be &ge;30 m/s for the onset of strong scintillations over Waltair for magnetically quiet days with average <i>K<sub>p</sub></i>&le;2 (6 h prior to the local sunset) during the high sunspot year, 2001. This threshold value of the upward drift reduces to 20 m/s with the decrease in the sunspot activity during 2004. Further, these conditions for the onset of intense scintillations is well defined in equinoxes, less in winter and least in the summer solstices.
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spelling doaj.art-610039b5eed44957ab738abde028fc8f2022-12-22T00:48:42ZengCopernicus PublicationsAnnales Geophysicae0992-76891432-05762006-07-01241609161610.5194/angeo-24-1609-2006The role of post-sunset vertical drifts at the equator in predicting the onset of VHF scintillations during high and low sunspot activity yearsS. Tulasi Ram0P. V. S. Rama Rao1K. Niranjan2D. S. V. V. D. Prasad3R. Sridharan4C. V. Devasia5S. Ravindran6Space Physics Laboratories, Department of Physics, Andhra University, Visakhapatnam, IndiaSpace Physics Laboratories, Department of Physics, Andhra University, Visakhapatnam, IndiaSpace Physics Laboratories, Department of Physics, Andhra University, Visakhapatnam, IndiaSpace Physics Laboratories, Department of Physics, Andhra University, Visakhapatnam, IndiaSpace Physics Laboratory, VSSC, Trivandrum, IndiaSpace Physics Laboratory, VSSC, Trivandrum, IndiaSpace Physics Laboratory, VSSC, Trivandrum, IndiaThe day-to-day variability in the occurrence of ionospheric scintillations, which are of serious concern in the trans-ionospheric communications, makes their prediction still a challenging problem. This paper reports on a systematic study in quantitatively identifying the precursors responsible, such as pre-reversal <i><b>E</b></i>&times;<i><b>B</b></i> drift velocity, geo-magnetic activity index (<i>K<sub>p</sub></i>) and the Equatorial Ionization Anomaly (EIA) gradient, for the onset of VHF scintillations over a low-latitude station, Waltair (20&deg; N dip), during high (2001) and low (2004) sunspot activity years. The percentage of occurrences of VHF scintillations over Waltair show a good correlation with the monthly mean post-sunset vertical drift velocities at the equator, during both the high and low sunspot activity years. During the days on which intense (&gt;10 dB) scintillations occur, the ionization anomaly gradient (dN/dL), measured from ionosonde data of an equatorial (Trivandrum, 0.9&deg; N dip) and an off-equatorial station (Waltair, 20&deg; N dip) shows an enhancement in the gradient prior to the onset of the scintillations. However, this enhancement is not seen on days when the scintillations are weak (&lt;10 dB) or absent. The day-to-day post sunset enhancement in the <i><b>E</b></i>&times;<i><b>B</b></i> drift is found to decrease with increasing <i>K<sub>p</sub></i>-index and this decrease is more prominent in the equinoxes, less in winter and insignificant in the summer months. On a day-to-day basis, it is found that the value of the upward drift velocity at the equator should be &ge;30 m/s for the onset of strong scintillations over Waltair for magnetically quiet days with average <i>K<sub>p</sub></i>&le;2 (6 h prior to the local sunset) during the high sunspot year, 2001. This threshold value of the upward drift reduces to 20 m/s with the decrease in the sunspot activity during 2004. Further, these conditions for the onset of intense scintillations is well defined in equinoxes, less in winter and least in the summer solstices.https://www.ann-geophys.net/24/1609/2006/angeo-24-1609-2006.pdf
spellingShingle S. Tulasi Ram
P. V. S. Rama Rao
K. Niranjan
D. S. V. V. D. Prasad
R. Sridharan
C. V. Devasia
S. Ravindran
The role of post-sunset vertical drifts at the equator in predicting the onset of VHF scintillations during high and low sunspot activity years
Annales Geophysicae
title The role of post-sunset vertical drifts at the equator in predicting the onset of VHF scintillations during high and low sunspot activity years
title_full The role of post-sunset vertical drifts at the equator in predicting the onset of VHF scintillations during high and low sunspot activity years
title_fullStr The role of post-sunset vertical drifts at the equator in predicting the onset of VHF scintillations during high and low sunspot activity years
title_full_unstemmed The role of post-sunset vertical drifts at the equator in predicting the onset of VHF scintillations during high and low sunspot activity years
title_short The role of post-sunset vertical drifts at the equator in predicting the onset of VHF scintillations during high and low sunspot activity years
title_sort role of post sunset vertical drifts at the equator in predicting the onset of vhf scintillations during high and low sunspot activity years
url https://www.ann-geophys.net/24/1609/2006/angeo-24-1609-2006.pdf
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