Optimizing Radar-Based Rainfall Estimation Using Machine Learning Models

Weather radar research has produced numerous radar-based rainfall estimators based on climate, rainfall intensity, a variety of ground-truthing instruments and sensors (e.g., rain gauges, disdrometers), and techniques. Although each research direction gives improvement, their collective application...

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Main Authors: Diar Hassan, George A. Isaac, Peter A. Taylor, Daniel Michelson
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2022-10-01
Series:Remote Sensing
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2072-4292/14/20/5188
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author Diar Hassan
George A. Isaac
Peter A. Taylor
Daniel Michelson
author_facet Diar Hassan
George A. Isaac
Peter A. Taylor
Daniel Michelson
author_sort Diar Hassan
collection DOAJ
description Weather radar research has produced numerous radar-based rainfall estimators based on climate, rainfall intensity, a variety of ground-truthing instruments and sensors (e.g., rain gauges, disdrometers), and techniques. Although each research direction gives improvement, their collective application in an operational sense still yields uncertainty in rainfall estimation at times. This study aims to explore the concept of implementing Machine Learning (ML) models in optimizing the radar-based rainfall estimations at the bin level from a group of estimator. The Canadian King City C-Band radar was used with a GEONOR T-200B rain gauge (a total of 263 sample points) to establish a group of polarimetric-based rainfall estimators (R(Z), R(Z, Z<sub>DR</sub>), R(KDP)). The estimators were used to train three ML models, namely Decision Tree, Random Forest, and Gradient Boost, to choose the optimal rainfall estimators based on radar variables (Z, Z<sub>DR</sub>, KDP). Data from the Canadian Exeter C-Band radar and a Texas Electronics TE525 tipping bucket gauge at a different location were used to verify the ML models and compare their results to the most commonly used Z-R relations. The verification process shows promising results for the ML models, specifically the Gradient Boost model. These encouraging results need to be further explored with more sample points to further refine the ML models.
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spelling doaj.art-6108ec117d8a4fe6b30f36589d25b9182023-11-24T02:21:00ZengMDPI AGRemote Sensing2072-42922022-10-011420518810.3390/rs14205188Optimizing Radar-Based Rainfall Estimation Using Machine Learning ModelsDiar Hassan0George A. Isaac1Peter A. Taylor2Daniel Michelson3WSP Global Inc., Ottawa, ON K2E 7K5, CanadaWeather Impacts Consulting Incorporated, Barrie, ON L4M 4Y8, CanadaCenter for Research in Earth and Space Science, York University, Toronto, ON M3J 1P3, CanadaEnvironment and Climate Change Canada, Toronto, ON L7B 1A3, CanadaWeather radar research has produced numerous radar-based rainfall estimators based on climate, rainfall intensity, a variety of ground-truthing instruments and sensors (e.g., rain gauges, disdrometers), and techniques. Although each research direction gives improvement, their collective application in an operational sense still yields uncertainty in rainfall estimation at times. This study aims to explore the concept of implementing Machine Learning (ML) models in optimizing the radar-based rainfall estimations at the bin level from a group of estimator. The Canadian King City C-Band radar was used with a GEONOR T-200B rain gauge (a total of 263 sample points) to establish a group of polarimetric-based rainfall estimators (R(Z), R(Z, Z<sub>DR</sub>), R(KDP)). The estimators were used to train three ML models, namely Decision Tree, Random Forest, and Gradient Boost, to choose the optimal rainfall estimators based on radar variables (Z, Z<sub>DR</sub>, KDP). Data from the Canadian Exeter C-Band radar and a Texas Electronics TE525 tipping bucket gauge at a different location were used to verify the ML models and compare their results to the most commonly used Z-R relations. The verification process shows promising results for the ML models, specifically the Gradient Boost model. These encouraging results need to be further explored with more sample points to further refine the ML models.https://www.mdpi.com/2072-4292/14/20/5188rainfall estimationradar QPEpolarimetric radarC-band radar algorithmsMachine LearningDecision Tree
spellingShingle Diar Hassan
George A. Isaac
Peter A. Taylor
Daniel Michelson
Optimizing Radar-Based Rainfall Estimation Using Machine Learning Models
Remote Sensing
rainfall estimation
radar QPE
polarimetric radar
C-band radar algorithms
Machine Learning
Decision Tree
title Optimizing Radar-Based Rainfall Estimation Using Machine Learning Models
title_full Optimizing Radar-Based Rainfall Estimation Using Machine Learning Models
title_fullStr Optimizing Radar-Based Rainfall Estimation Using Machine Learning Models
title_full_unstemmed Optimizing Radar-Based Rainfall Estimation Using Machine Learning Models
title_short Optimizing Radar-Based Rainfall Estimation Using Machine Learning Models
title_sort optimizing radar based rainfall estimation using machine learning models
topic rainfall estimation
radar QPE
polarimetric radar
C-band radar algorithms
Machine Learning
Decision Tree
url https://www.mdpi.com/2072-4292/14/20/5188
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AT danielmichelson optimizingradarbasedrainfallestimationusingmachinelearningmodels