Overall and cause-specific hospitalisation and death after COVID-19 hospitalisation in England: A cohort study using linked primary care, secondary care, and death registration data in the OpenSAFELY platform.

<h4>Background</h4>There is concern about medium to long-term adverse outcomes following acute Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19), but little relevant evidence exists. We aimed to investigate whether risks of hospital admission and death, overall and by specific cause, are raised follow...

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Main Authors: Krishnan Bhaskaran, Christopher T Rentsch, George Hickman, William J Hulme, Anna Schultze, Helen J Curtis, Kevin Wing, Charlotte Warren-Gash, Laurie Tomlinson, Chris J Bates, Rohini Mathur, Brian MacKenna, Viyaasan Mahalingasivam, Angel Wong, Alex J Walker, Caroline E Morton, Daniel Grint, Amir Mehrkar, Rosalind M Eggo, Peter Inglesby, Ian J Douglas, Helen I McDonald, Jonathan Cockburn, Elizabeth J Williamson, David Evans, John Parry, Frank Hester, Sam Harper, Stephen Jw Evans, Sebastian Bacon, Liam Smeeth, Ben Goldacre
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Public Library of Science (PLoS) 2022-01-01
Series:PLoS Medicine
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pmed.1003871
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author Krishnan Bhaskaran
Christopher T Rentsch
George Hickman
William J Hulme
Anna Schultze
Helen J Curtis
Kevin Wing
Charlotte Warren-Gash
Laurie Tomlinson
Chris J Bates
Rohini Mathur
Brian MacKenna
Viyaasan Mahalingasivam
Angel Wong
Alex J Walker
Caroline E Morton
Daniel Grint
Amir Mehrkar
Rosalind M Eggo
Peter Inglesby
Ian J Douglas
Helen I McDonald
Jonathan Cockburn
Elizabeth J Williamson
David Evans
John Parry
Frank Hester
Sam Harper
Stephen Jw Evans
Sebastian Bacon
Liam Smeeth
Ben Goldacre
author_facet Krishnan Bhaskaran
Christopher T Rentsch
George Hickman
William J Hulme
Anna Schultze
Helen J Curtis
Kevin Wing
Charlotte Warren-Gash
Laurie Tomlinson
Chris J Bates
Rohini Mathur
Brian MacKenna
Viyaasan Mahalingasivam
Angel Wong
Alex J Walker
Caroline E Morton
Daniel Grint
Amir Mehrkar
Rosalind M Eggo
Peter Inglesby
Ian J Douglas
Helen I McDonald
Jonathan Cockburn
Elizabeth J Williamson
David Evans
John Parry
Frank Hester
Sam Harper
Stephen Jw Evans
Sebastian Bacon
Liam Smeeth
Ben Goldacre
author_sort Krishnan Bhaskaran
collection DOAJ
description <h4>Background</h4>There is concern about medium to long-term adverse outcomes following acute Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19), but little relevant evidence exists. We aimed to investigate whether risks of hospital admission and death, overall and by specific cause, are raised following discharge from a COVID-19 hospitalisation.<h4>Methods and findings</h4>With the approval of NHS-England, we conducted a cohort study, using linked primary care and hospital data in OpenSAFELY to compare risks of hospital admission and death, overall and by specific cause, between people discharged from COVID-19 hospitalisation (February to December 2020) and surviving at least 1 week, and (i) demographically matched controls from the 2019 general population; and (ii) people discharged from influenza hospitalisation in 2017 to 2019. We used Cox regression adjusted for age, sex, ethnicity, obesity, smoking status, deprivation, and comorbidities considered potential risk factors for severe COVID-19 outcomes. We included 24,673 postdischarge COVID-19 patients, 123,362 general population controls, and 16,058 influenza controls, followed for ≤315 days. COVID-19 patients had median age of 66 years, 13,733 (56%) were male, and 19,061 (77%) were of white ethnicity. Overall risk of hospitalisation or death (30,968 events) was higher in the COVID-19 group than general population controls (fully adjusted hazard ratio [aHR] 2.22, 2.14 to 2.30, p < 0.001) but slightly lower than the influenza group (aHR 0.95, 0.91 to 0.98, p = 0.004). All-cause mortality (7,439 events) was highest in the COVID-19 group (aHR 4.82, 4.48 to 5.19 versus general population controls [p < 0.001] and 1.74, 1.61 to 1.88 versus influenza controls [p < 0.001]). Risks for cause-specific outcomes were higher in COVID-19 survivors than in general population controls and largely similar or lower in COVID-19 compared with influenza patients. However, COVID-19 patients were more likely than influenza patients to be readmitted or die due to their initial infection or other lower respiratory tract infection (aHR 1.37, 1.22 to 1.54, p < 0.001) and to experience mental health or cognitive-related admission or death (aHR 1.37, 1.02 to 1.84, p = 0.039); in particular, COVID-19 survivors with preexisting dementia had higher risk of dementia hospitalisation or death (age- and sex-adjusted HR 2.47, 1.37 to 4.44, p = 0.002). Limitations of our study were that reasons for hospitalisation or death may have been misclassified in some cases due to inconsistent use of codes, and we did not have data to distinguish COVID-19 variants.<h4>Conclusions</h4>In this study, we observed that people discharged from a COVID-19 hospital admission had markedly higher risks for rehospitalisation and death than the general population, suggesting a substantial extra burden on healthcare. Most risks were similar to those observed after influenza hospitalisations, but COVID-19 patients had higher risks of all-cause mortality, readmission or death due to the initial infection, and dementia death, highlighting the importance of postdischarge monitoring.
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spelling doaj.art-61356f1cd41b4cd4b2118d439abd79e52023-08-27T05:31:21ZengPublic Library of Science (PLoS)PLoS Medicine1549-12771549-16762022-01-01191e100387110.1371/journal.pmed.1003871Overall and cause-specific hospitalisation and death after COVID-19 hospitalisation in England: A cohort study using linked primary care, secondary care, and death registration data in the OpenSAFELY platform.Krishnan BhaskaranChristopher T RentschGeorge HickmanWilliam J HulmeAnna SchultzeHelen J CurtisKevin WingCharlotte Warren-GashLaurie TomlinsonChris J BatesRohini MathurBrian MacKennaViyaasan MahalingasivamAngel WongAlex J WalkerCaroline E MortonDaniel GrintAmir MehrkarRosalind M EggoPeter InglesbyIan J DouglasHelen I McDonaldJonathan CockburnElizabeth J WilliamsonDavid EvansJohn ParryFrank HesterSam HarperStephen Jw EvansSebastian BaconLiam SmeethBen Goldacre<h4>Background</h4>There is concern about medium to long-term adverse outcomes following acute Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19), but little relevant evidence exists. We aimed to investigate whether risks of hospital admission and death, overall and by specific cause, are raised following discharge from a COVID-19 hospitalisation.<h4>Methods and findings</h4>With the approval of NHS-England, we conducted a cohort study, using linked primary care and hospital data in OpenSAFELY to compare risks of hospital admission and death, overall and by specific cause, between people discharged from COVID-19 hospitalisation (February to December 2020) and surviving at least 1 week, and (i) demographically matched controls from the 2019 general population; and (ii) people discharged from influenza hospitalisation in 2017 to 2019. We used Cox regression adjusted for age, sex, ethnicity, obesity, smoking status, deprivation, and comorbidities considered potential risk factors for severe COVID-19 outcomes. We included 24,673 postdischarge COVID-19 patients, 123,362 general population controls, and 16,058 influenza controls, followed for ≤315 days. COVID-19 patients had median age of 66 years, 13,733 (56%) were male, and 19,061 (77%) were of white ethnicity. Overall risk of hospitalisation or death (30,968 events) was higher in the COVID-19 group than general population controls (fully adjusted hazard ratio [aHR] 2.22, 2.14 to 2.30, p < 0.001) but slightly lower than the influenza group (aHR 0.95, 0.91 to 0.98, p = 0.004). All-cause mortality (7,439 events) was highest in the COVID-19 group (aHR 4.82, 4.48 to 5.19 versus general population controls [p < 0.001] and 1.74, 1.61 to 1.88 versus influenza controls [p < 0.001]). Risks for cause-specific outcomes were higher in COVID-19 survivors than in general population controls and largely similar or lower in COVID-19 compared with influenza patients. However, COVID-19 patients were more likely than influenza patients to be readmitted or die due to their initial infection or other lower respiratory tract infection (aHR 1.37, 1.22 to 1.54, p < 0.001) and to experience mental health or cognitive-related admission or death (aHR 1.37, 1.02 to 1.84, p = 0.039); in particular, COVID-19 survivors with preexisting dementia had higher risk of dementia hospitalisation or death (age- and sex-adjusted HR 2.47, 1.37 to 4.44, p = 0.002). Limitations of our study were that reasons for hospitalisation or death may have been misclassified in some cases due to inconsistent use of codes, and we did not have data to distinguish COVID-19 variants.<h4>Conclusions</h4>In this study, we observed that people discharged from a COVID-19 hospital admission had markedly higher risks for rehospitalisation and death than the general population, suggesting a substantial extra burden on healthcare. Most risks were similar to those observed after influenza hospitalisations, but COVID-19 patients had higher risks of all-cause mortality, readmission or death due to the initial infection, and dementia death, highlighting the importance of postdischarge monitoring.https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pmed.1003871
spellingShingle Krishnan Bhaskaran
Christopher T Rentsch
George Hickman
William J Hulme
Anna Schultze
Helen J Curtis
Kevin Wing
Charlotte Warren-Gash
Laurie Tomlinson
Chris J Bates
Rohini Mathur
Brian MacKenna
Viyaasan Mahalingasivam
Angel Wong
Alex J Walker
Caroline E Morton
Daniel Grint
Amir Mehrkar
Rosalind M Eggo
Peter Inglesby
Ian J Douglas
Helen I McDonald
Jonathan Cockburn
Elizabeth J Williamson
David Evans
John Parry
Frank Hester
Sam Harper
Stephen Jw Evans
Sebastian Bacon
Liam Smeeth
Ben Goldacre
Overall and cause-specific hospitalisation and death after COVID-19 hospitalisation in England: A cohort study using linked primary care, secondary care, and death registration data in the OpenSAFELY platform.
PLoS Medicine
title Overall and cause-specific hospitalisation and death after COVID-19 hospitalisation in England: A cohort study using linked primary care, secondary care, and death registration data in the OpenSAFELY platform.
title_full Overall and cause-specific hospitalisation and death after COVID-19 hospitalisation in England: A cohort study using linked primary care, secondary care, and death registration data in the OpenSAFELY platform.
title_fullStr Overall and cause-specific hospitalisation and death after COVID-19 hospitalisation in England: A cohort study using linked primary care, secondary care, and death registration data in the OpenSAFELY platform.
title_full_unstemmed Overall and cause-specific hospitalisation and death after COVID-19 hospitalisation in England: A cohort study using linked primary care, secondary care, and death registration data in the OpenSAFELY platform.
title_short Overall and cause-specific hospitalisation and death after COVID-19 hospitalisation in England: A cohort study using linked primary care, secondary care, and death registration data in the OpenSAFELY platform.
title_sort overall and cause specific hospitalisation and death after covid 19 hospitalisation in england a cohort study using linked primary care secondary care and death registration data in the opensafely platform
url https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pmed.1003871
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