Comparable prediction of breast cancer risk from a glimpse or a first impression of a mammogram

Abstract Expert radiologists can discern normal from abnormal mammograms with above-chance accuracy after brief (e.g. 500 ms) exposure. They can even predict cancer risk viewing currently normal images (priors) from women who will later develop cancer. This involves a rapid, global, non-selective pr...

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Main Authors: E. M. Raat, I. Farr, J. M. Wolfe, K. K. Evans
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: SpringerOpen 2021-11-01
Series:Cognitive Research
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1186/s41235-021-00339-5
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author E. M. Raat
I. Farr
J. M. Wolfe
K. K. Evans
author_facet E. M. Raat
I. Farr
J. M. Wolfe
K. K. Evans
author_sort E. M. Raat
collection DOAJ
description Abstract Expert radiologists can discern normal from abnormal mammograms with above-chance accuracy after brief (e.g. 500 ms) exposure. They can even predict cancer risk viewing currently normal images (priors) from women who will later develop cancer. This involves a rapid, global, non-selective process called “gist extraction”. It is not yet known whether prolonged exposure can strengthen the gist signal, or if it is available solely in the early exposure. This is of particular interest for the priors that do not contain any localizable signal of abnormality. The current study compared performance with brief (500 ms) or unlimited exposure for four types of mammograms (normal, abnormal, contralateral, priors). Groups of expert radiologists and untrained observers were tested. As expected, radiologists outperformed naïve participants. Replicating prior work, they exceeded chance performance though the gist signal was weak. However, we found no consistent performance differences in radiologists or naïves between timing conditions. Exposure time neither increased nor decreased ability to identify the gist of abnormality or predict cancer risk. If gist signals are to have a place in cancer risk assessments, more efforts should be made to strengthen the signal.
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spelling doaj.art-6166177c594d4b8b86f3012430dfa9772022-12-21T19:24:16ZengSpringerOpenCognitive Research2365-74642021-11-016111410.1186/s41235-021-00339-5Comparable prediction of breast cancer risk from a glimpse or a first impression of a mammogramE. M. Raat0I. Farr1J. M. Wolfe2K. K. Evans3University of YorkUniversity of YorkHarvard Medical School/Brigham and Women’s HospitalUniversity of YorkAbstract Expert radiologists can discern normal from abnormal mammograms with above-chance accuracy after brief (e.g. 500 ms) exposure. They can even predict cancer risk viewing currently normal images (priors) from women who will later develop cancer. This involves a rapid, global, non-selective process called “gist extraction”. It is not yet known whether prolonged exposure can strengthen the gist signal, or if it is available solely in the early exposure. This is of particular interest for the priors that do not contain any localizable signal of abnormality. The current study compared performance with brief (500 ms) or unlimited exposure for four types of mammograms (normal, abnormal, contralateral, priors). Groups of expert radiologists and untrained observers were tested. As expected, radiologists outperformed naïve participants. Replicating prior work, they exceeded chance performance though the gist signal was weak. However, we found no consistent performance differences in radiologists or naïves between timing conditions. Exposure time neither increased nor decreased ability to identify the gist of abnormality or predict cancer risk. If gist signals are to have a place in cancer risk assessments, more efforts should be made to strengthen the signal.https://doi.org/10.1186/s41235-021-00339-5GistRadiologyMammographyHolistic impressionGestalt
spellingShingle E. M. Raat
I. Farr
J. M. Wolfe
K. K. Evans
Comparable prediction of breast cancer risk from a glimpse or a first impression of a mammogram
Cognitive Research
Gist
Radiology
Mammography
Holistic impression
Gestalt
title Comparable prediction of breast cancer risk from a glimpse or a first impression of a mammogram
title_full Comparable prediction of breast cancer risk from a glimpse or a first impression of a mammogram
title_fullStr Comparable prediction of breast cancer risk from a glimpse or a first impression of a mammogram
title_full_unstemmed Comparable prediction of breast cancer risk from a glimpse or a first impression of a mammogram
title_short Comparable prediction of breast cancer risk from a glimpse or a first impression of a mammogram
title_sort comparable prediction of breast cancer risk from a glimpse or a first impression of a mammogram
topic Gist
Radiology
Mammography
Holistic impression
Gestalt
url https://doi.org/10.1186/s41235-021-00339-5
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