Potential global distribution area projections of the aphid Lipaphis erysimi and its predator Eupeodes corollae in the context of climate change
Climate change affects the population distribution of pests and their natural enemies, and predicting these effects is necessary for pest monitoring and green control. Lipaphis erysimi is an important vegetable pest, and its natural enemy, the Eupeodes corollae Fabricius has a strong predatory effec...
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
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Frontiers Media S.A.
2022-11-01
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| Series: | Frontiers in Plant Science |
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| Online Access: | https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fpls.2022.1019693/full |
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| author | Yuyang Lian Yuyang Lian Aqiang Wang Aqiang Wang Sihua Peng Jingjing Jia Xiaofeng Yang Jinlei Li Shuyan Yang Rongjiao Zheng Shihao Zhou Shihao Zhou |
| author_facet | Yuyang Lian Yuyang Lian Aqiang Wang Aqiang Wang Sihua Peng Jingjing Jia Xiaofeng Yang Jinlei Li Shuyan Yang Rongjiao Zheng Shihao Zhou Shihao Zhou |
| author_sort | Yuyang Lian |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | Climate change affects the population distribution of pests and their natural enemies, and predicting these effects is necessary for pest monitoring and green control. Lipaphis erysimi is an important vegetable pest, and its natural enemy, the Eupeodes corollae Fabricius has a strong predatory effect on the L. erysimi. To assess the spread trends of L. erysimi and its natural enemy, the hoverfly, E. corollae under current (1970-2000) and future climates (2041-2060), based on the MaxEnt model, this paper uses data on the geographical distribution of the historical occurrence of L. erysimi and E. corollae to speculate on their potential distribution areas worldwide and analyze the key environmental factors affecting the survival and spread of both. The results showed that the Representative Concentration Pathway (RCP) 2.6 and RCP4.5 climatic conditions are favorable for the spread of L. erysimi, the RCP8.5 climatic conditions are unfavorable for the spread of L. erysimi, and all three future climatic conditions are unfavorable for the spread of E. corollae. The highest fitness of L. erysimi was found at the annual average temperature of 18 °C and the annual average precipitation of 900 mm, while the highest fitness of E. corollae was found at the annual average temperature of 10 °C and the lowest temperature in the coldest month of 0 °C. This study can provide a reference basis for monitoring and early warning and biological control of L. erysimi. |
| first_indexed | 2024-04-11T13:48:24Z |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj.art-617bee0ce43c4b5b86e1327d4713bda7 |
| institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
| issn | 1664-462X |
| language | English |
| last_indexed | 2024-04-11T13:48:24Z |
| publishDate | 2022-11-01 |
| publisher | Frontiers Media S.A. |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Frontiers in Plant Science |
| spelling | doaj.art-617bee0ce43c4b5b86e1327d4713bda72022-12-22T04:20:50ZengFrontiers Media S.A.Frontiers in Plant Science1664-462X2022-11-011310.3389/fpls.2022.10196931019693Potential global distribution area projections of the aphid Lipaphis erysimi and its predator Eupeodes corollae in the context of climate changeYuyang Lian0Yuyang Lian1Aqiang Wang2Aqiang Wang3Sihua Peng4Jingjing Jia5Xiaofeng Yang6Jinlei Li7Shuyan Yang8Rongjiao Zheng9Shihao Zhou10Shihao Zhou11Sanya Nanfan Research Institute of Hainan University, Sanya, Hainan, ChinaKey Laboratory of Germplasm Resources Biology of Tropical Special Ornamental Plants of Hainan Province, College of Forestry, Hainan University, Haikou, Hainan, ChinaSanya Nanfan Research Institute of Hainan University, Sanya, Hainan, ChinaKey Laboratory of Germplasm Resources Biology of Tropical Special Ornamental Plants of Hainan Province, College of Forestry, Hainan University, Haikou, Hainan, ChinaSanya Nanfan Research Institute of Hainan University, Sanya, Hainan, ChinaInstitute of Plant Protection, Hainan Academy of Agricultural Sciences (Research Center of Quality Safety and Standards for Agricultural Products of Hainan Academy of Agricultural Sciences), Haikou, Hainan, ChinaSanya Nanfan Research Institute of Hainan University, Sanya, Hainan, ChinaKey Laboratory of Germplasm Resources Biology of Tropical Special Ornamental Plants of Hainan Province, College of Forestry, Hainan University, Haikou, Hainan, ChinaSanya Nanfan Research Institute of Hainan University, Sanya, Hainan, ChinaKey Laboratory of Germplasm Resources Biology of Tropical Special Ornamental Plants of Hainan Province, College of Forestry, Hainan University, Haikou, Hainan, ChinaSanya Nanfan Research Institute of Hainan University, Sanya, Hainan, ChinaKey Laboratory of Germplasm Resources Biology of Tropical Special Ornamental Plants of Hainan Province, College of Forestry, Hainan University, Haikou, Hainan, ChinaClimate change affects the population distribution of pests and their natural enemies, and predicting these effects is necessary for pest monitoring and green control. Lipaphis erysimi is an important vegetable pest, and its natural enemy, the Eupeodes corollae Fabricius has a strong predatory effect on the L. erysimi. To assess the spread trends of L. erysimi and its natural enemy, the hoverfly, E. corollae under current (1970-2000) and future climates (2041-2060), based on the MaxEnt model, this paper uses data on the geographical distribution of the historical occurrence of L. erysimi and E. corollae to speculate on their potential distribution areas worldwide and analyze the key environmental factors affecting the survival and spread of both. The results showed that the Representative Concentration Pathway (RCP) 2.6 and RCP4.5 climatic conditions are favorable for the spread of L. erysimi, the RCP8.5 climatic conditions are unfavorable for the spread of L. erysimi, and all three future climatic conditions are unfavorable for the spread of E. corollae. The highest fitness of L. erysimi was found at the annual average temperature of 18 °C and the annual average precipitation of 900 mm, while the highest fitness of E. corollae was found at the annual average temperature of 10 °C and the lowest temperature in the coldest month of 0 °C. This study can provide a reference basis for monitoring and early warning and biological control of L. erysimi.https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fpls.2022.1019693/fullLipaphis erysimiEupeodes corollae FabriciusSuitable areaClimate factorMaxEnt |
| spellingShingle | Yuyang Lian Yuyang Lian Aqiang Wang Aqiang Wang Sihua Peng Jingjing Jia Xiaofeng Yang Jinlei Li Shuyan Yang Rongjiao Zheng Shihao Zhou Shihao Zhou Potential global distribution area projections of the aphid Lipaphis erysimi and its predator Eupeodes corollae in the context of climate change Frontiers in Plant Science Lipaphis erysimi Eupeodes corollae Fabricius Suitable area Climate factor MaxEnt |
| title | Potential global distribution area projections of the aphid Lipaphis erysimi and its predator Eupeodes corollae in the context of climate change |
| title_full | Potential global distribution area projections of the aphid Lipaphis erysimi and its predator Eupeodes corollae in the context of climate change |
| title_fullStr | Potential global distribution area projections of the aphid Lipaphis erysimi and its predator Eupeodes corollae in the context of climate change |
| title_full_unstemmed | Potential global distribution area projections of the aphid Lipaphis erysimi and its predator Eupeodes corollae in the context of climate change |
| title_short | Potential global distribution area projections of the aphid Lipaphis erysimi and its predator Eupeodes corollae in the context of climate change |
| title_sort | potential global distribution area projections of the aphid lipaphis erysimi and its predator eupeodes corollae in the context of climate change |
| topic | Lipaphis erysimi Eupeodes corollae Fabricius Suitable area Climate factor MaxEnt |
| url | https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fpls.2022.1019693/full |
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