PREDICTING AIR QUALITY INDEX BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL DATA: A COMPARISON OF REGRESSION ANALYSIS, ARTIFICIAL NEURAL NETWORKS AND DECISION TREE

Introduction: Air pollution can cause health problems on a global scale. Air quality predicting is an effective method to protect public health through early notification hazards of air pollution. The aim of this study is forecasting next day air quality index (AQI) in Tehran, Iran. Materials and me...

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Main Authors: Akram Jamal, Ramin Nabizadeh Nodehi
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Tehran University of Medical Sciences 2017-11-01
Series:Journal of Air Pollution and Health
Subjects:
Online Access:https://japh.tums.ac.ir/index.php/japh/article/view/90
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author Akram Jamal
Ramin Nabizadeh Nodehi
author_facet Akram Jamal
Ramin Nabizadeh Nodehi
author_sort Akram Jamal
collection DOAJ
description Introduction: Air pollution can cause health problems on a global scale. Air quality predicting is an effective method to protect public health through early notification hazards of air pollution. The aim of this study is forecasting next day air quality index (AQI) in Tehran, Iran. Materials and methods: Various approaches such as multiple linear regression (MLR) analysis, decision trees (DT), and multi-layer perceptron artificial neural networks (ANN), feature selection with regression analysis before artificial neural networks (MLR-ANN) and feature selection with decision trees before artificial neural networks (DT-ANN) were used for forecasting next day AQI based on meteorological data and one and two days ago AQI. Root mean square error (RMSE) and correlation coefficient (CC) are used to assess models accuracy. Results: The results showed that forecasting of next day AQI by DT-ANN model is more accurate than others. Statistics indexes of this model such as RMSE and CC have been determined as 21.26 and 0.66 respectively. Using of DT for features selection because of reducing the number of inputs and decrease the model complexity was considered better than using the initial data. Conclusions: The applications of air quality forecasting methods could be applied for air quality management purposes and protect public health.
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spelling doaj.art-61adaf03868547af89c139e61cdf0f712022-12-21T19:51:42ZengTehran University of Medical SciencesJournal of Air Pollution and Health2476-30712017-11-0121PREDICTING AIR QUALITY INDEX BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL DATA: A COMPARISON OF REGRESSION ANALYSIS, ARTIFICIAL NEURAL NETWORKS AND DECISION TREEAkram Jamal0Ramin Nabizadeh Nodehi1Department of Environmental Health Engineering, School of Public Health, Tehran University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, IranDepartment of Environmental Health Engineering, School of Public Health, Tehran University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, IranIntroduction: Air pollution can cause health problems on a global scale. Air quality predicting is an effective method to protect public health through early notification hazards of air pollution. The aim of this study is forecasting next day air quality index (AQI) in Tehran, Iran. Materials and methods: Various approaches such as multiple linear regression (MLR) analysis, decision trees (DT), and multi-layer perceptron artificial neural networks (ANN), feature selection with regression analysis before artificial neural networks (MLR-ANN) and feature selection with decision trees before artificial neural networks (DT-ANN) were used for forecasting next day AQI based on meteorological data and one and two days ago AQI. Root mean square error (RMSE) and correlation coefficient (CC) are used to assess models accuracy. Results: The results showed that forecasting of next day AQI by DT-ANN model is more accurate than others. Statistics indexes of this model such as RMSE and CC have been determined as 21.26 and 0.66 respectively. Using of DT for features selection because of reducing the number of inputs and decrease the model complexity was considered better than using the initial data. Conclusions: The applications of air quality forecasting methods could be applied for air quality management purposes and protect public health.https://japh.tums.ac.ir/index.php/japh/article/view/90Air quality indexartificial neural networkdecision Tree
spellingShingle Akram Jamal
Ramin Nabizadeh Nodehi
PREDICTING AIR QUALITY INDEX BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL DATA: A COMPARISON OF REGRESSION ANALYSIS, ARTIFICIAL NEURAL NETWORKS AND DECISION TREE
Journal of Air Pollution and Health
Air quality index
artificial neural network
decision Tree
title PREDICTING AIR QUALITY INDEX BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL DATA: A COMPARISON OF REGRESSION ANALYSIS, ARTIFICIAL NEURAL NETWORKS AND DECISION TREE
title_full PREDICTING AIR QUALITY INDEX BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL DATA: A COMPARISON OF REGRESSION ANALYSIS, ARTIFICIAL NEURAL NETWORKS AND DECISION TREE
title_fullStr PREDICTING AIR QUALITY INDEX BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL DATA: A COMPARISON OF REGRESSION ANALYSIS, ARTIFICIAL NEURAL NETWORKS AND DECISION TREE
title_full_unstemmed PREDICTING AIR QUALITY INDEX BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL DATA: A COMPARISON OF REGRESSION ANALYSIS, ARTIFICIAL NEURAL NETWORKS AND DECISION TREE
title_short PREDICTING AIR QUALITY INDEX BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL DATA: A COMPARISON OF REGRESSION ANALYSIS, ARTIFICIAL NEURAL NETWORKS AND DECISION TREE
title_sort predicting air quality index based on meteorological data a comparison of regression analysis artificial neural networks and decision tree
topic Air quality index
artificial neural network
decision Tree
url https://japh.tums.ac.ir/index.php/japh/article/view/90
work_keys_str_mv AT akramjamal predictingairqualityindexbasedonmeteorologicaldataacomparisonofregressionanalysisartificialneuralnetworksanddecisiontree
AT raminnabizadehnodehi predictingairqualityindexbasedonmeteorologicaldataacomparisonofregressionanalysisartificialneuralnetworksanddecisiontree