The impact of fundamental factors and sentiments on the valuation of cryptocurrencies

The valuation of cryptocurrencies is important given the increasing significance of this potential asset class. However, most state-of-the-art cryptocurrency valuation methods only focus on one of the fundamental factors or sentiments and use out-of-date data sources. In this study, a robust cryptoc...

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Main Authors: Tiam Bakhtiar, Xiaojun Luo, Ismail Adelopo
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Elsevier 2023-12-01
Series:Blockchain: Research and Applications
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2096720923000295
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author Tiam Bakhtiar
Xiaojun Luo
Ismail Adelopo
author_facet Tiam Bakhtiar
Xiaojun Luo
Ismail Adelopo
author_sort Tiam Bakhtiar
collection DOAJ
description The valuation of cryptocurrencies is important given the increasing significance of this potential asset class. However, most state-of-the-art cryptocurrency valuation methods only focus on one of the fundamental factors or sentiments and use out-of-date data sources. In this study, a robust cryptocurrency valuation method is developed using up-to-date datasets. Using various panel regression models and moving-window regression tests, the impacts of fundamental factors and sentiments in the valuation of cryptocurrencies are explored with data covering from January 1, 2009 to April 30, 2023. The research shows the importance of sentiments and suggests that the fear and greed index can indicate when to make a cryptocurrency investment, while Google search interest in cryptocurrency is crucial when choosing the appropriate type of cryptocurrency. Moreover, consensus mechanism and initial coin offering have significant effects on cryptocurrencies without stablecoins, while their impacts on cryptocurrencies with stablecoins are insignificant. Other fundamental factors, such as the type of supply and the presence of smart contracts, do not have a significant influence on cryptocurrency. Findings from this study can enhance cryptocurrency marketisation and provide insightful guidance for investors, portfolio managers, and policymakers in assessing the utility level of each cryptocurrency.
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spelling doaj.art-61b034e20c2a4c75a3f1b7381caa34c22023-12-28T05:16:19ZengElsevierBlockchain: Research and Applications2666-95362023-12-0144100154The impact of fundamental factors and sentiments on the valuation of cryptocurrenciesTiam Bakhtiar0Xiaojun Luo1Ismail Adelopo2Department of Accounting and Finance, College of Business and Law, University of the West of England, Bristol BS16 1QY, United KingdomCorresponding author.; Department of Accounting and Finance, College of Business and Law, University of the West of England, Bristol BS16 1QY, United KingdomDepartment of Accounting and Finance, College of Business and Law, University of the West of England, Bristol BS16 1QY, United KingdomThe valuation of cryptocurrencies is important given the increasing significance of this potential asset class. However, most state-of-the-art cryptocurrency valuation methods only focus on one of the fundamental factors or sentiments and use out-of-date data sources. In this study, a robust cryptocurrency valuation method is developed using up-to-date datasets. Using various panel regression models and moving-window regression tests, the impacts of fundamental factors and sentiments in the valuation of cryptocurrencies are explored with data covering from January 1, 2009 to April 30, 2023. The research shows the importance of sentiments and suggests that the fear and greed index can indicate when to make a cryptocurrency investment, while Google search interest in cryptocurrency is crucial when choosing the appropriate type of cryptocurrency. Moreover, consensus mechanism and initial coin offering have significant effects on cryptocurrencies without stablecoins, while their impacts on cryptocurrencies with stablecoins are insignificant. Other fundamental factors, such as the type of supply and the presence of smart contracts, do not have a significant influence on cryptocurrency. Findings from this study can enhance cryptocurrency marketisation and provide insightful guidance for investors, portfolio managers, and policymakers in assessing the utility level of each cryptocurrency.http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2096720923000295CryptocurrencyValuationMarket sentimentFundamental factorsFear and greed indexGoogle search index
spellingShingle Tiam Bakhtiar
Xiaojun Luo
Ismail Adelopo
The impact of fundamental factors and sentiments on the valuation of cryptocurrencies
Blockchain: Research and Applications
Cryptocurrency
Valuation
Market sentiment
Fundamental factors
Fear and greed index
Google search index
title The impact of fundamental factors and sentiments on the valuation of cryptocurrencies
title_full The impact of fundamental factors and sentiments on the valuation of cryptocurrencies
title_fullStr The impact of fundamental factors and sentiments on the valuation of cryptocurrencies
title_full_unstemmed The impact of fundamental factors and sentiments on the valuation of cryptocurrencies
title_short The impact of fundamental factors and sentiments on the valuation of cryptocurrencies
title_sort impact of fundamental factors and sentiments on the valuation of cryptocurrencies
topic Cryptocurrency
Valuation
Market sentiment
Fundamental factors
Fear and greed index
Google search index
url http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2096720923000295
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