On the Accuracy of Cross-Validation in the Classification Problem

In this work we will study the accuracy of the cross-validation estimates for decision functions. The main idea of the research consists in the scheme of statistical modeling that allows using real data to obtain statistical estimates, which are usually obtained only by using model (synthetic) distr...

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Main Author: V. M. Nedel’ko
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Irkutsk State University 2021-12-01
Series:Известия Иркутского государственного университета: Серия "Математика"
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Online Access:http://mathizv.isu.ru/en/article/file?id=1395
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author V. M. Nedel’ko
author_facet V. M. Nedel’ko
author_sort V. M. Nedel’ko
collection DOAJ
description In this work we will study the accuracy of the cross-validation estimates for decision functions. The main idea of the research consists in the scheme of statistical modeling that allows using real data to obtain statistical estimates, which are usually obtained only by using model (synthetic) distributions. The studies confirm the well-known empirical recommendation to choose the number of folds equal to 5 or more. The choice of more than 10 folds does not yield a significant increase in accuracy. The use of repeated cross-validation also does not provide fundamental gain in precision. The results of the experiments allow us to formulate an empirical fact that the accuracy of the estimates obtained by the cross-validation method is approximately the same as the accuracy of the estimates obtained from the test sample of half the size. This result can be easily explained by the fact that all the objects of the test sample are independent, and the estimates built by the cross-validation on different subsamples (folds) are not independent.
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spelling doaj.art-61b2814df5284b889c9a59b9a53b68502022-12-21T20:13:32ZengIrkutsk State UniversityИзвестия Иркутского государственного университета: Серия "Математика"1997-76702541-87852021-12-013818495https://doi.org/10.26516/1997-7670.2021.38.84On the Accuracy of Cross-Validation in the Classification ProblemV. M. Nedel’koIn this work we will study the accuracy of the cross-validation estimates for decision functions. The main idea of the research consists in the scheme of statistical modeling that allows using real data to obtain statistical estimates, which are usually obtained only by using model (synthetic) distributions. The studies confirm the well-known empirical recommendation to choose the number of folds equal to 5 or more. The choice of more than 10 folds does not yield a significant increase in accuracy. The use of repeated cross-validation also does not provide fundamental gain in precision. The results of the experiments allow us to formulate an empirical fact that the accuracy of the estimates obtained by the cross-validation method is approximately the same as the accuracy of the estimates obtained from the test sample of half the size. This result can be easily explained by the fact that all the objects of the test sample are independent, and the estimates built by the cross-validation on different subsamples (folds) are not independent.http://mathizv.isu.ru/en/article/file?id=1395k-fold cross-validationaccuracystatistical estimatesmachinelearning
spellingShingle V. M. Nedel’ko
On the Accuracy of Cross-Validation in the Classification Problem
Известия Иркутского государственного университета: Серия "Математика"
k-fold cross-validation
accuracy
statistical estimates
machinelearning
title On the Accuracy of Cross-Validation in the Classification Problem
title_full On the Accuracy of Cross-Validation in the Classification Problem
title_fullStr On the Accuracy of Cross-Validation in the Classification Problem
title_full_unstemmed On the Accuracy of Cross-Validation in the Classification Problem
title_short On the Accuracy of Cross-Validation in the Classification Problem
title_sort on the accuracy of cross validation in the classification problem
topic k-fold cross-validation
accuracy
statistical estimates
machinelearning
url http://mathizv.isu.ru/en/article/file?id=1395
work_keys_str_mv AT vmnedelko ontheaccuracyofcrossvalidationintheclassificationproblem