Efficient use of information in adaptive management with an application to managing recreation near golden eagle nesting sites.

It is generally the case that a significant degree of uncertainty exists concerning the behavior of ecological systems. Adaptive management has been developed to address such structural uncertainty, while recognizing that decisions must be made without full knowledge of how a system behaves. This pa...

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Main Authors: Paul L Fackler, Krishna Pacifici, Julien Martin, Carol McIntyre
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Public Library of Science (PLoS) 2014-01-01
Series:PLoS ONE
Online Access:http://europepmc.org/articles/PMC4123850?pdf=render
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author Paul L Fackler
Krishna Pacifici
Julien Martin
Carol McIntyre
author_facet Paul L Fackler
Krishna Pacifici
Julien Martin
Carol McIntyre
author_sort Paul L Fackler
collection DOAJ
description It is generally the case that a significant degree of uncertainty exists concerning the behavior of ecological systems. Adaptive management has been developed to address such structural uncertainty, while recognizing that decisions must be made without full knowledge of how a system behaves. This paradigm attempts to use new information that develops during the course of management to learn how the system works. To date, however, adaptive management has used a very limited information set to characterize the learning that is possible. This paper uses an extension of the Partial Observable Markov Decision Process (POMDP) framework to expand the information set used to update belief in competing models. This feature can potentially increase the speed of learning through adaptive management, and lead to better management in the future. We apply this framework to a case study wherein interest lies in managing recreational restrictions around golden eagle (Aquila chrysaetos) nesting sites. The ultimate management objective is to maintain an abundant eagle population in Denali National Park while minimizing the regulatory burden on park visitors. In order to capture this objective, we developed a utility function that trades off expected breeding success with hiker access. Our work is relevant to the management of human activities in protected areas, but more generally demonstrates some of the benefits of POMDP in the context of adaptive management.
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spelling doaj.art-62801b8d035e44cbb23fe69d3b9b48742022-12-21T20:29:30ZengPublic Library of Science (PLoS)PLoS ONE1932-62032014-01-0198e10243410.1371/journal.pone.0102434Efficient use of information in adaptive management with an application to managing recreation near golden eagle nesting sites.Paul L FacklerKrishna PacificiJulien MartinCarol McIntyreIt is generally the case that a significant degree of uncertainty exists concerning the behavior of ecological systems. Adaptive management has been developed to address such structural uncertainty, while recognizing that decisions must be made without full knowledge of how a system behaves. This paradigm attempts to use new information that develops during the course of management to learn how the system works. To date, however, adaptive management has used a very limited information set to characterize the learning that is possible. This paper uses an extension of the Partial Observable Markov Decision Process (POMDP) framework to expand the information set used to update belief in competing models. This feature can potentially increase the speed of learning through adaptive management, and lead to better management in the future. We apply this framework to a case study wherein interest lies in managing recreational restrictions around golden eagle (Aquila chrysaetos) nesting sites. The ultimate management objective is to maintain an abundant eagle population in Denali National Park while minimizing the regulatory burden on park visitors. In order to capture this objective, we developed a utility function that trades off expected breeding success with hiker access. Our work is relevant to the management of human activities in protected areas, but more generally demonstrates some of the benefits of POMDP in the context of adaptive management.http://europepmc.org/articles/PMC4123850?pdf=render
spellingShingle Paul L Fackler
Krishna Pacifici
Julien Martin
Carol McIntyre
Efficient use of information in adaptive management with an application to managing recreation near golden eagle nesting sites.
PLoS ONE
title Efficient use of information in adaptive management with an application to managing recreation near golden eagle nesting sites.
title_full Efficient use of information in adaptive management with an application to managing recreation near golden eagle nesting sites.
title_fullStr Efficient use of information in adaptive management with an application to managing recreation near golden eagle nesting sites.
title_full_unstemmed Efficient use of information in adaptive management with an application to managing recreation near golden eagle nesting sites.
title_short Efficient use of information in adaptive management with an application to managing recreation near golden eagle nesting sites.
title_sort efficient use of information in adaptive management with an application to managing recreation near golden eagle nesting sites
url http://europepmc.org/articles/PMC4123850?pdf=render
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