Sea level rise already delays coastal commuters

Although the most dire societal impacts of sea-level rise (SLR) typically manifest toward the end of the 21st century, many coastal communities face challenges in the present due to recurrent tidal flooding. Few studies have documented transportation disruptions due to tidal flooding in the recent p...

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Main Authors: Mathew E Hauer, Valerie Mueller, Glenn Sheriff
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: IOP Publishing 2023-01-01
Series:Environmental Research: Climate
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1088/2752-5295/acf4b5
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author Mathew E Hauer
Valerie Mueller
Glenn Sheriff
author_facet Mathew E Hauer
Valerie Mueller
Glenn Sheriff
author_sort Mathew E Hauer
collection DOAJ
description Although the most dire societal impacts of sea-level rise (SLR) typically manifest toward the end of the 21st century, many coastal communities face challenges in the present due to recurrent tidal flooding. Few studies have documented transportation disruptions due to tidal flooding in the recent past. Here, we address this issue by combining home and work locations for approximately 500 million commuters in coastal US counties from 2002 to 2017. We find tidal flooding delays coastal commuters by approximately 22 min per year in 2015–2017, increasing to between 200 and 650 min by 2060 under various SLR scenarios. Adjustments in residential and work locations reduce the growth in commuting delays for approximately 40% of US counties. For residents in coastal counties, SLR is not a distant threat—it is already lapping at their toes.
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spelling doaj.art-62d729ac21404c17bbd8fdca8af57b972024-02-03T06:27:16ZengIOP PublishingEnvironmental Research: Climate2752-52952023-01-012404500410.1088/2752-5295/acf4b5Sea level rise already delays coastal commutersMathew E Hauer0https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9390-5308Valerie Mueller1https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1246-2141Glenn Sheriff2https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9642-5529Department of Sociology, Florida State University , Tallahassee, FL, United States of AmericaSchool of Politics and Global Studies, Arizona State University , Tempe, AZ, United States of America; International Food Policy Research Institute , Washington, DC United States of AmericaSchool of Politics and Global Studies, Arizona State University , Tempe, AZ, United States of AmericaAlthough the most dire societal impacts of sea-level rise (SLR) typically manifest toward the end of the 21st century, many coastal communities face challenges in the present due to recurrent tidal flooding. Few studies have documented transportation disruptions due to tidal flooding in the recent past. Here, we address this issue by combining home and work locations for approximately 500 million commuters in coastal US counties from 2002 to 2017. We find tidal flooding delays coastal commuters by approximately 22 min per year in 2015–2017, increasing to between 200 and 650 min by 2060 under various SLR scenarios. Adjustments in residential and work locations reduce the growth in commuting delays for approximately 40% of US counties. For residents in coastal counties, SLR is not a distant threat—it is already lapping at their toes.https://doi.org/10.1088/2752-5295/acf4b5sea level riseadaptationtransportationclimate change impactsking tides
spellingShingle Mathew E Hauer
Valerie Mueller
Glenn Sheriff
Sea level rise already delays coastal commuters
Environmental Research: Climate
sea level rise
adaptation
transportation
climate change impacts
king tides
title Sea level rise already delays coastal commuters
title_full Sea level rise already delays coastal commuters
title_fullStr Sea level rise already delays coastal commuters
title_full_unstemmed Sea level rise already delays coastal commuters
title_short Sea level rise already delays coastal commuters
title_sort sea level rise already delays coastal commuters
topic sea level rise
adaptation
transportation
climate change impacts
king tides
url https://doi.org/10.1088/2752-5295/acf4b5
work_keys_str_mv AT mathewehauer sealevelrisealreadydelayscoastalcommuters
AT valeriemueller sealevelrisealreadydelayscoastalcommuters
AT glennsheriff sealevelrisealreadydelayscoastalcommuters