Machine learning-guided determination of Acinetobacter density in waterbodies receiving municipal and hospital wastewater effluents

Abstract A smart artificial intelligent system (SAIS) for Acinetobacter density (AD) enumeration in waterbodies represents an invaluable strategy for avoidance of repetitive, laborious, and time-consuming routines associated with its determination. This study aimed to predict AD in waterbodies using...

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Main Authors: Temitope C. Ekundayo, Mary A. Adewoyin, Oluwatosin A. Ijabadeniyi, Etinosa O. Igbinosa, Anthony I. Okoh
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Nature Portfolio 2023-05-01
Series:Scientific Reports
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-023-34963-6
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author Temitope C. Ekundayo
Mary A. Adewoyin
Oluwatosin A. Ijabadeniyi
Etinosa O. Igbinosa
Anthony I. Okoh
author_facet Temitope C. Ekundayo
Mary A. Adewoyin
Oluwatosin A. Ijabadeniyi
Etinosa O. Igbinosa
Anthony I. Okoh
author_sort Temitope C. Ekundayo
collection DOAJ
description Abstract A smart artificial intelligent system (SAIS) for Acinetobacter density (AD) enumeration in waterbodies represents an invaluable strategy for avoidance of repetitive, laborious, and time-consuming routines associated with its determination. This study aimed to predict AD in waterbodies using machine learning (ML). AD and physicochemical variables (PVs) data from three rivers monitored via standard protocols in a year-long study were fitted to 18 ML algorithms. The models’ performance was assayed using regression metrics. The average pH, EC, TDS, salinity, temperature, TSS, TBS, DO, BOD, and AD was 7.76 ± 0.02, 218.66 ± 4.76 µS/cm, 110.53 ± 2.36 mg/L, 0.10 ± 0.00 PSU, 17.29 ± 0.21 °C, 80.17 ± 5.09 mg/L, 87.51 ± 5.41 NTU, 8.82 ± 0.04 mg/L, 4.00 ± 0.10 mg/L, and 3.19 ± 0.03 log CFU/100 mL respectively. While the contributions of PVs differed in values, AD predicted value by XGB [3.1792 (1.1040–4.5828)] and Cubist [3.1736 (1.1012–4.5300)] outshined other algorithms. Also, XGB (MSE = 0.0059, RMSE = 0.0770; R2 = 0.9912; MAD = 0.0440) and Cubist (MSE = 0.0117, RMSE = 0.1081, R2 = 0.9827; MAD = 0.0437) ranked first and second respectively, in predicting AD. Temperature was the most important feature in predicting AD and ranked first by 10/18 ML-algorithms accounting for 43.00–83.30% mean dropout RMSE loss after 1000 permutations. The two models' partial dependence and residual diagnostics sensitivity revealed their efficient AD prognosticating accuracies in waterbodies. In conclusion, a fully developed XGB/Cubist/XGB-Cubist ensemble/web SAIS app for AD monitoring in waterbodies could be deployed to shorten turnaround time in deciding microbiological quality of waterbodies for irrigation and other purposes.
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spelling doaj.art-63394f45312a47528096ed584a9b89932023-05-14T11:16:22ZengNature PortfolioScientific Reports2045-23222023-05-0113111410.1038/s41598-023-34963-6Machine learning-guided determination of Acinetobacter density in waterbodies receiving municipal and hospital wastewater effluentsTemitope C. Ekundayo0Mary A. Adewoyin1Oluwatosin A. Ijabadeniyi2Etinosa O. Igbinosa3Anthony I. Okoh4SAMRC Microbial Water Quality Monitoring Centre, University of Fort HareSAMRC Microbial Water Quality Monitoring Centre, University of Fort HareDepartment of Biotechnology and Food Science, Durban University of TechnologySAMRC Microbial Water Quality Monitoring Centre, University of Fort HareSAMRC Microbial Water Quality Monitoring Centre, University of Fort HareAbstract A smart artificial intelligent system (SAIS) for Acinetobacter density (AD) enumeration in waterbodies represents an invaluable strategy for avoidance of repetitive, laborious, and time-consuming routines associated with its determination. This study aimed to predict AD in waterbodies using machine learning (ML). AD and physicochemical variables (PVs) data from three rivers monitored via standard protocols in a year-long study were fitted to 18 ML algorithms. The models’ performance was assayed using regression metrics. The average pH, EC, TDS, salinity, temperature, TSS, TBS, DO, BOD, and AD was 7.76 ± 0.02, 218.66 ± 4.76 µS/cm, 110.53 ± 2.36 mg/L, 0.10 ± 0.00 PSU, 17.29 ± 0.21 °C, 80.17 ± 5.09 mg/L, 87.51 ± 5.41 NTU, 8.82 ± 0.04 mg/L, 4.00 ± 0.10 mg/L, and 3.19 ± 0.03 log CFU/100 mL respectively. While the contributions of PVs differed in values, AD predicted value by XGB [3.1792 (1.1040–4.5828)] and Cubist [3.1736 (1.1012–4.5300)] outshined other algorithms. Also, XGB (MSE = 0.0059, RMSE = 0.0770; R2 = 0.9912; MAD = 0.0440) and Cubist (MSE = 0.0117, RMSE = 0.1081, R2 = 0.9827; MAD = 0.0437) ranked first and second respectively, in predicting AD. Temperature was the most important feature in predicting AD and ranked first by 10/18 ML-algorithms accounting for 43.00–83.30% mean dropout RMSE loss after 1000 permutations. The two models' partial dependence and residual diagnostics sensitivity revealed their efficient AD prognosticating accuracies in waterbodies. In conclusion, a fully developed XGB/Cubist/XGB-Cubist ensemble/web SAIS app for AD monitoring in waterbodies could be deployed to shorten turnaround time in deciding microbiological quality of waterbodies for irrigation and other purposes.https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-023-34963-6
spellingShingle Temitope C. Ekundayo
Mary A. Adewoyin
Oluwatosin A. Ijabadeniyi
Etinosa O. Igbinosa
Anthony I. Okoh
Machine learning-guided determination of Acinetobacter density in waterbodies receiving municipal and hospital wastewater effluents
Scientific Reports
title Machine learning-guided determination of Acinetobacter density in waterbodies receiving municipal and hospital wastewater effluents
title_full Machine learning-guided determination of Acinetobacter density in waterbodies receiving municipal and hospital wastewater effluents
title_fullStr Machine learning-guided determination of Acinetobacter density in waterbodies receiving municipal and hospital wastewater effluents
title_full_unstemmed Machine learning-guided determination of Acinetobacter density in waterbodies receiving municipal and hospital wastewater effluents
title_short Machine learning-guided determination of Acinetobacter density in waterbodies receiving municipal and hospital wastewater effluents
title_sort machine learning guided determination of acinetobacter density in waterbodies receiving municipal and hospital wastewater effluents
url https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-023-34963-6
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