Blood DNA methylation score predicts breast cancer risk: applying OPERA in molecular, environmental, genetic and analytic epidemiology

In this issue, Kresovich and colleagues have published a hallmark paper in Molecular, Environmental, Genetic and Analytic Epidemiology. By applying artificial intelligence to the Sister Study they created a new methylation‐based breast cancer risk score (mBCRS) based on blood DNA methylation. Using...

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Main Authors: John L. Hopper, Tuong L. Nguyen, Shuai Li
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2022-01-01
Series:Molecular Oncology
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1002/1878-0261.13117
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author John L. Hopper
Tuong L. Nguyen
Shuai Li
author_facet John L. Hopper
Tuong L. Nguyen
Shuai Li
author_sort John L. Hopper
collection DOAJ
description In this issue, Kresovich and colleagues have published a hallmark paper in Molecular, Environmental, Genetic and Analytic Epidemiology. By applying artificial intelligence to the Sister Study they created a new methylation‐based breast cancer risk score (mBCRS) based on blood DNA methylation. Using a prospective design and after accounting for age and questionnaire‐based breast cancer risk factors, the Odds PER Adjusted standard deviation (OPERA) for mBCRS and polygenic risk score (PRS) was 1.58 (95% CI: 1.38, 1.81) and 1.58 (95% CI: 1.36, 1.83), respectively, and the corresponding area under the receiver operating curve was 0.63 for both. Therefore, mBCRS could be as powerful as the current best PRS in differentiating women of the same age in terms of their breast cancer risk. These risk scores are among the strongest known breast cancer risk‐stratifiers, shaded only by new mammogram risk scores based on measures other than conventional mammographic density, such as Cirrocumulus and Cirrus, which when combined have an OPERA as high as 2.3. The combination of PRS and mBCRS with the other measured risk factors gave an OPERA of 2.2. OPERA has many advantages over changes in areas under the receiver operator curve because the latter depend on the order in which risk factors are considered. Although more replication is needed using prospective data to protect against reverse causation, there are many novel molecular and analytic aspects to this paper which uncovers a potential mechanism for how genetic and environmental factors combine to cause breast cancer.
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spelling doaj.art-63642af7198b42fd95974470781242292022-12-21T19:38:26ZengWileyMolecular Oncology1574-78911878-02612022-01-0116181010.1002/1878-0261.13117Blood DNA methylation score predicts breast cancer risk: applying OPERA in molecular, environmental, genetic and analytic epidemiologyJohn L. Hopper0Tuong L. Nguyen1Shuai Li2Centre for Epidemiology and Biostatistics University of Melbourne Melbourne Vic AustraliaCentre for Epidemiology and Biostatistics University of Melbourne Melbourne Vic AustraliaCentre for Epidemiology and Biostatistics University of Melbourne Melbourne Vic AustraliaIn this issue, Kresovich and colleagues have published a hallmark paper in Molecular, Environmental, Genetic and Analytic Epidemiology. By applying artificial intelligence to the Sister Study they created a new methylation‐based breast cancer risk score (mBCRS) based on blood DNA methylation. Using a prospective design and after accounting for age and questionnaire‐based breast cancer risk factors, the Odds PER Adjusted standard deviation (OPERA) for mBCRS and polygenic risk score (PRS) was 1.58 (95% CI: 1.38, 1.81) and 1.58 (95% CI: 1.36, 1.83), respectively, and the corresponding area under the receiver operating curve was 0.63 for both. Therefore, mBCRS could be as powerful as the current best PRS in differentiating women of the same age in terms of their breast cancer risk. These risk scores are among the strongest known breast cancer risk‐stratifiers, shaded only by new mammogram risk scores based on measures other than conventional mammographic density, such as Cirrocumulus and Cirrus, which when combined have an OPERA as high as 2.3. The combination of PRS and mBCRS with the other measured risk factors gave an OPERA of 2.2. OPERA has many advantages over changes in areas under the receiver operator curve because the latter depend on the order in which risk factors are considered. Although more replication is needed using prospective data to protect against reverse causation, there are many novel molecular and analytic aspects to this paper which uncovers a potential mechanism for how genetic and environmental factors combine to cause breast cancer.https://doi.org/10.1002/1878-0261.13117breast cancerDNA methylationMEGA epidemiologyOPERApolygenic risk scorerisk prediction
spellingShingle John L. Hopper
Tuong L. Nguyen
Shuai Li
Blood DNA methylation score predicts breast cancer risk: applying OPERA in molecular, environmental, genetic and analytic epidemiology
Molecular Oncology
breast cancer
DNA methylation
MEGA epidemiology
OPERA
polygenic risk score
risk prediction
title Blood DNA methylation score predicts breast cancer risk: applying OPERA in molecular, environmental, genetic and analytic epidemiology
title_full Blood DNA methylation score predicts breast cancer risk: applying OPERA in molecular, environmental, genetic and analytic epidemiology
title_fullStr Blood DNA methylation score predicts breast cancer risk: applying OPERA in molecular, environmental, genetic and analytic epidemiology
title_full_unstemmed Blood DNA methylation score predicts breast cancer risk: applying OPERA in molecular, environmental, genetic and analytic epidemiology
title_short Blood DNA methylation score predicts breast cancer risk: applying OPERA in molecular, environmental, genetic and analytic epidemiology
title_sort blood dna methylation score predicts breast cancer risk applying opera in molecular environmental genetic and analytic epidemiology
topic breast cancer
DNA methylation
MEGA epidemiology
OPERA
polygenic risk score
risk prediction
url https://doi.org/10.1002/1878-0261.13117
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