Estimation of Rural-Urban Migration in Iran (An Auto-Regressive Distributed Lag Approach)
Rural inhabitants’ perception of better life changes when observing the success of other people, and hope to emulate their success. They know that University degree can lead to a higher expected income. In fact urbanism has some benefits but the costs (pollution, congestion, and crime) are also perv...
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | fas |
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Allameh Tabataba'i University Press
2011-03-01
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| Series: | فصلنامه پژوهشهای اقتصادی ایران |
| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | https://ijer.atu.ac.ir/article_3313_468a0d432b066e6e9020b125cd9a77be.pdf |
| _version_ | 1797369383182401536 |
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| author | alireza karbasi Seyed Mohammad Fahimi Fard Hamid Reza Jahany |
| author_facet | alireza karbasi Seyed Mohammad Fahimi Fard Hamid Reza Jahany |
| author_sort | alireza karbasi |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | Rural inhabitants’ perception of better life changes when observing the success of other people, and hope to emulate their success. They know that University degree can lead to a higher expected income. In fact urbanism has some benefits but the costs (pollution, congestion, and crime) are also pervasive in developing countries. In order to better understand the problem, and examine policy measures for controlling its negative externalities, it is of importance to study and analyze the factors which may affect migration. Therefore, in this study we investigated this important issue with emphasis on the effect of rural literacy level on rural-urban migration by using an Auto-Regressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) model utilizing time-series data related to the years 1959-2005 in Iran. Results indicate that in long term, rural literacy level has the most effect on this function. It was also found that, 1% increase in rural wage, urban wage, rural value added and rural literacy level can cause 0.25% decrease, 0.32% increase, 0.16% decrease and 0.32% increase in migrant’s number, respectively. |
| first_indexed | 2024-03-08T17:45:53Z |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj.art-637bd57b945f4f749cb692dc97341b1c |
| institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
| issn | 1726-0728 2476-6445 |
| language | fas |
| last_indexed | 2024-03-08T17:45:53Z |
| publishDate | 2011-03-01 |
| publisher | Allameh Tabataba'i University Press |
| record_format | Article |
| series | فصلنامه پژوهشهای اقتصادی ایران |
| spelling | doaj.art-637bd57b945f4f749cb692dc97341b1c2024-01-02T10:28:50ZfasAllameh Tabataba'i University Pressفصلنامه پژوهشهای اقتصادی ایران1726-07282476-64452011-03-011646971133313Estimation of Rural-Urban Migration in Iran (An Auto-Regressive Distributed Lag Approach)alireza karbasi0Seyed Mohammad Fahimi Fard1Hamid Reza Jahany2Ph.D in Economics, Associate Professor, Department of Agricultural Economics, Ferdowsi University of MashhadCorrespounding author: Department of Agriculture, Shirvan Branch, Islamic Azad University, Shirvan, IranGraduate student of Agricultural economics, Zabol University, Zabol, IranRural inhabitants’ perception of better life changes when observing the success of other people, and hope to emulate their success. They know that University degree can lead to a higher expected income. In fact urbanism has some benefits but the costs (pollution, congestion, and crime) are also pervasive in developing countries. In order to better understand the problem, and examine policy measures for controlling its negative externalities, it is of importance to study and analyze the factors which may affect migration. Therefore, in this study we investigated this important issue with emphasis on the effect of rural literacy level on rural-urban migration by using an Auto-Regressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) model utilizing time-series data related to the years 1959-2005 in Iran. Results indicate that in long term, rural literacy level has the most effect on this function. It was also found that, 1% increase in rural wage, urban wage, rural value added and rural literacy level can cause 0.25% decrease, 0.32% increase, 0.16% decrease and 0.32% increase in migrant’s number, respectively.https://ijer.atu.ac.ir/article_3313_468a0d432b066e6e9020b125cd9a77be.pdfmigrationurbanismauto-regressive distributed lagiran |
| spellingShingle | alireza karbasi Seyed Mohammad Fahimi Fard Hamid Reza Jahany Estimation of Rural-Urban Migration in Iran (An Auto-Regressive Distributed Lag Approach) فصلنامه پژوهشهای اقتصادی ایران migration urbanism auto-regressive distributed lag iran |
| title | Estimation of Rural-Urban Migration in Iran
(An Auto-Regressive Distributed Lag Approach) |
| title_full | Estimation of Rural-Urban Migration in Iran
(An Auto-Regressive Distributed Lag Approach) |
| title_fullStr | Estimation of Rural-Urban Migration in Iran
(An Auto-Regressive Distributed Lag Approach) |
| title_full_unstemmed | Estimation of Rural-Urban Migration in Iran
(An Auto-Regressive Distributed Lag Approach) |
| title_short | Estimation of Rural-Urban Migration in Iran
(An Auto-Regressive Distributed Lag Approach) |
| title_sort | estimation of rural urban migration in iran an auto regressive distributed lag approach |
| topic | migration urbanism auto-regressive distributed lag iran |
| url | https://ijer.atu.ac.ir/article_3313_468a0d432b066e6e9020b125cd9a77be.pdf |
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