Yield Gaps in Wheat: Path to Enhancing Productivity

Wheat production is required to supply food for the world’s population, and increases in production will be necessary to feed the expanding population. Estimates show that production must increase by 1 billion metric tons to meet this demand. One method to meet future demand is to increase wheat yie...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Jerry L. Hatfield, Brian L. Beres
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Frontiers Media S.A. 2019-12-01
Series:Frontiers in Plant Science
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.frontiersin.org/article/10.3389/fpls.2019.01603/full
_version_ 1819023861685944320
author Jerry L. Hatfield
Brian L. Beres
author_facet Jerry L. Hatfield
Brian L. Beres
author_sort Jerry L. Hatfield
collection DOAJ
description Wheat production is required to supply food for the world’s population, and increases in production will be necessary to feed the expanding population. Estimates show that production must increase by 1 billion metric tons to meet this demand. One method to meet future demand is to increase wheat yields by reducing the gap between actual and potential yields. Potential yields represent an optimum set of conditions, and a more realistic metric would be to compare actual yields with attainable yields, where these yields represent years in the record where there is no obvious limitation. This study was conducted to evaluate the yield trends, attainable yields, and yield gaps for the 10 largest wheat producing countries in the world and more localized yield statistics at the state or county level. These data were assembled from available government sources. Attainable yield was determined using an upper quantile analysis to define the upper frontier of yields over the period of record and yield gaps calculated as the difference between attainable yield and actual yield for each year and expressed as a percentage of the attainable yield. In all countries, attainable yield increase over time was larger than the yield trend indicating the technological advances in genetics and agronomic practices were increasing attainable yield. Yield gaps have not shown a decrease over time and reflect that weather during the growing season remains the primary limitation to production. Yield gap closure will require that local producers adopt practices that increase their climate resilience in wheat production systems.
first_indexed 2024-12-21T04:45:37Z
format Article
id doaj.art-638f9131d97a4f03845ccc250356abd3
institution Directory Open Access Journal
issn 1664-462X
language English
last_indexed 2024-12-21T04:45:37Z
publishDate 2019-12-01
publisher Frontiers Media S.A.
record_format Article
series Frontiers in Plant Science
spelling doaj.art-638f9131d97a4f03845ccc250356abd32022-12-21T19:15:34ZengFrontiers Media S.A.Frontiers in Plant Science1664-462X2019-12-011010.3389/fpls.2019.01603481091Yield Gaps in Wheat: Path to Enhancing ProductivityJerry L. Hatfield0Brian L. Beres1National Laboratory for Agriculture and the Environment, Agricultural Research Service, United States Department of Agriculture, Ames, IA, United StatesLethbridge Research and Development Centre, Lethbridge, Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada, Lethbridge, AB, CanadaWheat production is required to supply food for the world’s population, and increases in production will be necessary to feed the expanding population. Estimates show that production must increase by 1 billion metric tons to meet this demand. One method to meet future demand is to increase wheat yields by reducing the gap between actual and potential yields. Potential yields represent an optimum set of conditions, and a more realistic metric would be to compare actual yields with attainable yields, where these yields represent years in the record where there is no obvious limitation. This study was conducted to evaluate the yield trends, attainable yields, and yield gaps for the 10 largest wheat producing countries in the world and more localized yield statistics at the state or county level. These data were assembled from available government sources. Attainable yield was determined using an upper quantile analysis to define the upper frontier of yields over the period of record and yield gaps calculated as the difference between attainable yield and actual yield for each year and expressed as a percentage of the attainable yield. In all countries, attainable yield increase over time was larger than the yield trend indicating the technological advances in genetics and agronomic practices were increasing attainable yield. Yield gaps have not shown a decrease over time and reflect that weather during the growing season remains the primary limitation to production. Yield gap closure will require that local producers adopt practices that increase their climate resilience in wheat production systems.https://www.frontiersin.org/article/10.3389/fpls.2019.01603/fullyieldwheat productionyield gapweathergap analyses
spellingShingle Jerry L. Hatfield
Brian L. Beres
Yield Gaps in Wheat: Path to Enhancing Productivity
Frontiers in Plant Science
yield
wheat production
yield gap
weather
gap analyses
title Yield Gaps in Wheat: Path to Enhancing Productivity
title_full Yield Gaps in Wheat: Path to Enhancing Productivity
title_fullStr Yield Gaps in Wheat: Path to Enhancing Productivity
title_full_unstemmed Yield Gaps in Wheat: Path to Enhancing Productivity
title_short Yield Gaps in Wheat: Path to Enhancing Productivity
title_sort yield gaps in wheat path to enhancing productivity
topic yield
wheat production
yield gap
weather
gap analyses
url https://www.frontiersin.org/article/10.3389/fpls.2019.01603/full
work_keys_str_mv AT jerrylhatfield yieldgapsinwheatpathtoenhancingproductivity
AT brianlberes yieldgapsinwheatpathtoenhancingproductivity