Estimating CO<sub>2</sub> Emission Savings from Ultrahigh Performance Concrete: A System Dynamics Approach

Ordinary Portland cement concrete (OPC) is the world’s most consumed commodity after water. However, the production of cement is a major contributor to global anthropogenic CO<sub>2</sub> emissions. In recent years, ultrahigh performance concrete (UHPC) has emerged as a strong contender...

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Main Authors: Mubashar Sheheryar, Rashid Rehan, Moncef L. Nehdi
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2021-02-01
Series:Materials
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1944/14/4/995
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author Mubashar Sheheryar
Rashid Rehan
Moncef L. Nehdi
author_facet Mubashar Sheheryar
Rashid Rehan
Moncef L. Nehdi
author_sort Mubashar Sheheryar
collection DOAJ
description Ordinary Portland cement concrete (OPC) is the world’s most consumed commodity after water. However, the production of cement is a major contributor to global anthropogenic CO<sub>2</sub> emissions. In recent years, ultrahigh performance concrete (UHPC) has emerged as a strong contender to replace OPC in diverse applications. UHPC has much higher mechanical strength, and thus less material is used in a structural member to resist the same load. Moreover, it has a much longer service life, reducing the long-term need for repair and replacement of aging civil infrastructure. Thus, UHPC can enhance the sustainability of cement and concrete. However, there is currently no robust tool to estimate the sustainability benefits of UHPC. This task is challenging considering that such benefits can only be captured over the long-term since variables, such as population growth and cement demand per capita, become more uncertain. In addition, the problem of CO<sub>2</sub> emissions from cement and concrete is a complex system affected by time-dependent feedback. The System Dynamics (SD) method has specifically been developed for modeling such complex systems. Accordingly, a SD model was developed in this study to test various pertinent policy scenarios. It is shown that UHPC can reduce cumulative CO<sub>2</sub> emissions of cement and concrete—over the studied simulation period—by more than 17%. If supplementary cementitious materials are further deployed in UHPC and new technologies permit reducing the carbon footprint per unit mass of cement, emission savings can become more substantial. The model offers a flexible framework where the user controls various inputs and can extend the model to account for new data, without the need for reconstruction of the entire model.
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spelling doaj.art-63d14e8cfdf74aed949eb2fedded40962023-12-11T17:47:33ZengMDPI AGMaterials1996-19442021-02-0114499510.3390/ma14040995Estimating CO<sub>2</sub> Emission Savings from Ultrahigh Performance Concrete: A System Dynamics ApproachMubashar Sheheryar0Rashid Rehan1Moncef L. Nehdi2National Institute of Urban Infrastructure Planning, University of Engineering and Technology, Peshawar 25000, PakistanNational Institute of Urban Infrastructure Planning, University of Engineering and Technology, Peshawar 25000, PakistanDepartment of Civil and Environmental Engineering, University of Western Ontario, London, ON N6A 5B9, CanadaOrdinary Portland cement concrete (OPC) is the world’s most consumed commodity after water. However, the production of cement is a major contributor to global anthropogenic CO<sub>2</sub> emissions. In recent years, ultrahigh performance concrete (UHPC) has emerged as a strong contender to replace OPC in diverse applications. UHPC has much higher mechanical strength, and thus less material is used in a structural member to resist the same load. Moreover, it has a much longer service life, reducing the long-term need for repair and replacement of aging civil infrastructure. Thus, UHPC can enhance the sustainability of cement and concrete. However, there is currently no robust tool to estimate the sustainability benefits of UHPC. This task is challenging considering that such benefits can only be captured over the long-term since variables, such as population growth and cement demand per capita, become more uncertain. In addition, the problem of CO<sub>2</sub> emissions from cement and concrete is a complex system affected by time-dependent feedback. The System Dynamics (SD) method has specifically been developed for modeling such complex systems. Accordingly, a SD model was developed in this study to test various pertinent policy scenarios. It is shown that UHPC can reduce cumulative CO<sub>2</sub> emissions of cement and concrete—over the studied simulation period—by more than 17%. If supplementary cementitious materials are further deployed in UHPC and new technologies permit reducing the carbon footprint per unit mass of cement, emission savings can become more substantial. The model offers a flexible framework where the user controls various inputs and can extend the model to account for new data, without the need for reconstruction of the entire model.https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1944/14/4/995ultrahigh-performance concreteordinary Portland cementconcretesystem dynamicsmodelingcarbon dioxide
spellingShingle Mubashar Sheheryar
Rashid Rehan
Moncef L. Nehdi
Estimating CO<sub>2</sub> Emission Savings from Ultrahigh Performance Concrete: A System Dynamics Approach
Materials
ultrahigh-performance concrete
ordinary Portland cement
concrete
system dynamics
modeling
carbon dioxide
title Estimating CO<sub>2</sub> Emission Savings from Ultrahigh Performance Concrete: A System Dynamics Approach
title_full Estimating CO<sub>2</sub> Emission Savings from Ultrahigh Performance Concrete: A System Dynamics Approach
title_fullStr Estimating CO<sub>2</sub> Emission Savings from Ultrahigh Performance Concrete: A System Dynamics Approach
title_full_unstemmed Estimating CO<sub>2</sub> Emission Savings from Ultrahigh Performance Concrete: A System Dynamics Approach
title_short Estimating CO<sub>2</sub> Emission Savings from Ultrahigh Performance Concrete: A System Dynamics Approach
title_sort estimating co sub 2 sub emission savings from ultrahigh performance concrete a system dynamics approach
topic ultrahigh-performance concrete
ordinary Portland cement
concrete
system dynamics
modeling
carbon dioxide
url https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1944/14/4/995
work_keys_str_mv AT mubasharsheheryar estimatingcosub2subemissionsavingsfromultrahighperformanceconcreteasystemdynamicsapproach
AT rashidrehan estimatingcosub2subemissionsavingsfromultrahighperformanceconcreteasystemdynamicsapproach
AT monceflnehdi estimatingcosub2subemissionsavingsfromultrahighperformanceconcreteasystemdynamicsapproach