COVID-19 vaccination, risk-compensatory behaviours, and contacts in the UK

Abstract The physiological effects of vaccination against SARS-CoV-2 (COVID-19) are well documented, yet the behavioural effects not well known. Risk compensation suggests that gains in personal safety, as a result of vaccination, are offset by increases in risky behaviour, such as socialising, comm...

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Main Authors: John Buckell, Joel Jones, Philippa C. Matthews, Sir Ian Diamond, Emma Rourke, Ruth Studley, Duncan Cook, Ann Sarah Walker, Koen B. Pouwels, the COVID-19 Infection Survey Team
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Nature Portfolio 2023-05-01
Series:Scientific Reports
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-023-34244-2
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author John Buckell
Joel Jones
Philippa C. Matthews
Sir Ian Diamond
Emma Rourke
Ruth Studley
Duncan Cook
Ann Sarah Walker
Koen B. Pouwels
the COVID-19 Infection Survey Team
author_facet John Buckell
Joel Jones
Philippa C. Matthews
Sir Ian Diamond
Emma Rourke
Ruth Studley
Duncan Cook
Ann Sarah Walker
Koen B. Pouwels
the COVID-19 Infection Survey Team
author_sort John Buckell
collection DOAJ
description Abstract The physiological effects of vaccination against SARS-CoV-2 (COVID-19) are well documented, yet the behavioural effects not well known. Risk compensation suggests that gains in personal safety, as a result of vaccination, are offset by increases in risky behaviour, such as socialising, commuting and working outside the home. This is potentially important because transmission of SARS-CoV-2 is driven by contacts, which could be amplified by vaccine-related risk compensation. Here, we show that behaviours were overall unrelated to personal vaccination, but—adjusting for variation in mitigation policies—were responsive to the level of vaccination in the wider population: individuals in the UK were risk compensating when rates of vaccination were rising. This effect was observed across four nations of the UK, each of which varied policies autonomously.
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spelling doaj.art-63d7f2253e9b42d9884992621980ef9d2023-05-28T11:14:56ZengNature PortfolioScientific Reports2045-23222023-05-0113111510.1038/s41598-023-34244-2COVID-19 vaccination, risk-compensatory behaviours, and contacts in the UKJohn Buckell0Joel Jones1Philippa C. Matthews2Sir Ian Diamond3Emma Rourke4Ruth Studley5Duncan Cook6Ann Sarah Walker7Koen B. Pouwels8the COVID-19 Infection Survey Team9Health Economics Research Centre, Richard Doll Building, Old Road Campus, Nuffield Department of Population Health, University of OxfordOffice for National StatisticsThe Francis Crick InstituteOffice for National StatisticsOffice for National StatisticsOffice for National StatisticsOffice for National StatisticsThe National Institute for Health Research Oxford Biomedical Research Centre, University of OxfordHealth Economics Research Centre, Richard Doll Building, Old Road Campus, Nuffield Department of Population Health, University of OxfordOffice for National StatisticsAbstract The physiological effects of vaccination against SARS-CoV-2 (COVID-19) are well documented, yet the behavioural effects not well known. Risk compensation suggests that gains in personal safety, as a result of vaccination, are offset by increases in risky behaviour, such as socialising, commuting and working outside the home. This is potentially important because transmission of SARS-CoV-2 is driven by contacts, which could be amplified by vaccine-related risk compensation. Here, we show that behaviours were overall unrelated to personal vaccination, but—adjusting for variation in mitigation policies—were responsive to the level of vaccination in the wider population: individuals in the UK were risk compensating when rates of vaccination were rising. This effect was observed across four nations of the UK, each of which varied policies autonomously.https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-023-34244-2
spellingShingle John Buckell
Joel Jones
Philippa C. Matthews
Sir Ian Diamond
Emma Rourke
Ruth Studley
Duncan Cook
Ann Sarah Walker
Koen B. Pouwels
the COVID-19 Infection Survey Team
COVID-19 vaccination, risk-compensatory behaviours, and contacts in the UK
Scientific Reports
title COVID-19 vaccination, risk-compensatory behaviours, and contacts in the UK
title_full COVID-19 vaccination, risk-compensatory behaviours, and contacts in the UK
title_fullStr COVID-19 vaccination, risk-compensatory behaviours, and contacts in the UK
title_full_unstemmed COVID-19 vaccination, risk-compensatory behaviours, and contacts in the UK
title_short COVID-19 vaccination, risk-compensatory behaviours, and contacts in the UK
title_sort covid 19 vaccination risk compensatory behaviours and contacts in the uk
url https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-023-34244-2
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