Forward Planning for Scottish Gardens in the Face of Climate Change

The impact of climate change and its effects on gardens has so far received limited academic attention. This paper offers a partial correction of this imbalance by investigating the potential impact of climate change on a selection of common Scottish garden plants. A climate envelope modelling appro...

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Main Authors: Chris Smart, Alan Elliott
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Royal Botanic Garden Edinburgh 2015-11-01
Series:Sibbaldia
Online Access:https://journals.rbge.org.uk/rbgesib/article/view/79
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author Chris Smart
Alan Elliott
author_facet Chris Smart
Alan Elliott
author_sort Chris Smart
collection DOAJ
description The impact of climate change and its effects on gardens has so far received limited academic attention. This paper offers a partial correction of this imbalance by investigating the potential impact of climate change on a selection of common Scottish garden plants. A climate envelope modelling approach was taken, whereby wild species distribution data were used to build climate ‘envelopes’ or descriptions of the native climates of selected species. The envelope models were projected onto future climate scenarios for Scotland, allowing observations to be made regarding the climatic suitability of Scotland, both currently and into the future, for each of the plants studied. The models and predictions for four species are described here along with strengths and limitations of the methodology. It is suggested that this approach, or variations of it, could become a useful tool in forward planning for gardens in assisting efforts to mitigate the effect of climate change.
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spelling doaj.art-643c801c871048f2ab370f34a0c375d02023-11-03T05:49:49ZengRoyal Botanic Garden EdinburghSibbaldia2513-92312015-11-011310.24823/Sibbaldia.2015.79Forward Planning for Scottish Gardens in the Face of Climate ChangeChris SmartAlan Elliott0Royal Botanic Garden Edinburgh EdinburghThe impact of climate change and its effects on gardens has so far received limited academic attention. This paper offers a partial correction of this imbalance by investigating the potential impact of climate change on a selection of common Scottish garden plants. A climate envelope modelling approach was taken, whereby wild species distribution data were used to build climate ‘envelopes’ or descriptions of the native climates of selected species. The envelope models were projected onto future climate scenarios for Scotland, allowing observations to be made regarding the climatic suitability of Scotland, both currently and into the future, for each of the plants studied. The models and predictions for four species are described here along with strengths and limitations of the methodology. It is suggested that this approach, or variations of it, could become a useful tool in forward planning for gardens in assisting efforts to mitigate the effect of climate change.https://journals.rbge.org.uk/rbgesib/article/view/79
spellingShingle Chris Smart
Alan Elliott
Forward Planning for Scottish Gardens in the Face of Climate Change
Sibbaldia
title Forward Planning for Scottish Gardens in the Face of Climate Change
title_full Forward Planning for Scottish Gardens in the Face of Climate Change
title_fullStr Forward Planning for Scottish Gardens in the Face of Climate Change
title_full_unstemmed Forward Planning for Scottish Gardens in the Face of Climate Change
title_short Forward Planning for Scottish Gardens in the Face of Climate Change
title_sort forward planning for scottish gardens in the face of climate change
url https://journals.rbge.org.uk/rbgesib/article/view/79
work_keys_str_mv AT chrissmart forwardplanningforscottishgardensinthefaceofclimatechange
AT alanelliott forwardplanningforscottishgardensinthefaceofclimatechange