Projecting XRP price burst by correlation tensor spectra of transaction networks

Abstract Cryptoassets are becoming essential in the digital economy era. XRP is one of the large market cap cryptoassets. Here, we develop a novel method of correlation tensor spectra for the dynamical XRP networks, which can provide an early indication for XRP price. A weighed directed weekly trans...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Abhijit Chakraborty, Tetsuo Hatsuda, Yuichi Ikeda
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Nature Portfolio 2023-03-01
Series:Scientific Reports
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-023-31881-5
_version_ 1797859954029232128
author Abhijit Chakraborty
Tetsuo Hatsuda
Yuichi Ikeda
author_facet Abhijit Chakraborty
Tetsuo Hatsuda
Yuichi Ikeda
author_sort Abhijit Chakraborty
collection DOAJ
description Abstract Cryptoassets are becoming essential in the digital economy era. XRP is one of the large market cap cryptoassets. Here, we develop a novel method of correlation tensor spectra for the dynamical XRP networks, which can provide an early indication for XRP price. A weighed directed weekly transaction network among XRP wallets is constructed by aggregating all transactions for a week. A vector for each node is then obtained by embedding the weekly network in continuous vector space. From a set of weekly snapshots of node vectors, we construct a correlation tensor. A double singular value decomposition of the correlation tensors gives its singular values. The significance of the singular values is shown by comparing with its randomize counterpart. The evolution of singular values shows a distinctive behavior. The largest singular value shows a significant negative correlation with XRP/USD price. We observe the minimum of the largest singular values at the XRP/USD price peak during the first week of January 2018. The minimum of the largest singular value during January 2018 is explained by decomposing the correlation tensor in the signal and noise components and also by evolution of community structure.
first_indexed 2024-04-09T21:38:58Z
format Article
id doaj.art-644421bfd1954da2b24d0c8c1d74d10b
institution Directory Open Access Journal
issn 2045-2322
language English
last_indexed 2024-04-09T21:38:58Z
publishDate 2023-03-01
publisher Nature Portfolio
record_format Article
series Scientific Reports
spelling doaj.art-644421bfd1954da2b24d0c8c1d74d10b2023-03-26T11:09:27ZengNature PortfolioScientific Reports2045-23222023-03-0113111010.1038/s41598-023-31881-5Projecting XRP price burst by correlation tensor spectra of transaction networksAbhijit Chakraborty0Tetsuo Hatsuda1Yuichi Ikeda2Graduate School of Advanced Integrated Studies in Human Survivability, Kyoto UniversityRIKEN Interdisciplinary Theoretical and Mathematical Sciences ProgramGraduate School of Advanced Integrated Studies in Human Survivability, Kyoto UniversityAbstract Cryptoassets are becoming essential in the digital economy era. XRP is one of the large market cap cryptoassets. Here, we develop a novel method of correlation tensor spectra for the dynamical XRP networks, which can provide an early indication for XRP price. A weighed directed weekly transaction network among XRP wallets is constructed by aggregating all transactions for a week. A vector for each node is then obtained by embedding the weekly network in continuous vector space. From a set of weekly snapshots of node vectors, we construct a correlation tensor. A double singular value decomposition of the correlation tensors gives its singular values. The significance of the singular values is shown by comparing with its randomize counterpart. The evolution of singular values shows a distinctive behavior. The largest singular value shows a significant negative correlation with XRP/USD price. We observe the minimum of the largest singular values at the XRP/USD price peak during the first week of January 2018. The minimum of the largest singular value during January 2018 is explained by decomposing the correlation tensor in the signal and noise components and also by evolution of community structure.https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-023-31881-5
spellingShingle Abhijit Chakraborty
Tetsuo Hatsuda
Yuichi Ikeda
Projecting XRP price burst by correlation tensor spectra of transaction networks
Scientific Reports
title Projecting XRP price burst by correlation tensor spectra of transaction networks
title_full Projecting XRP price burst by correlation tensor spectra of transaction networks
title_fullStr Projecting XRP price burst by correlation tensor spectra of transaction networks
title_full_unstemmed Projecting XRP price burst by correlation tensor spectra of transaction networks
title_short Projecting XRP price burst by correlation tensor spectra of transaction networks
title_sort projecting xrp price burst by correlation tensor spectra of transaction networks
url https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-023-31881-5
work_keys_str_mv AT abhijitchakraborty projectingxrppriceburstbycorrelationtensorspectraoftransactionnetworks
AT tetsuohatsuda projectingxrppriceburstbycorrelationtensorspectraoftransactionnetworks
AT yuichiikeda projectingxrppriceburstbycorrelationtensorspectraoftransactionnetworks