Determinants of Sub-Sovereign Government Ratings In Europe

<p>The aim of this paper is to identify the determinantsof the rating assigned to sub-sovereignentities in Germany, Austria, Belgium, France,Italy and Spain, using a total of 92 territorial entitiesfor the 1989-2012 period. Multinomial orderedprobit estimation models were estimatedfor each spe...

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Main Authors: Nicolas JANNONE-BELLOT, Luisa MARTÍ-SELVA, Leandro GARCÍA-MENÉNDEZ
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Babes-Bolyai University, Cluj-Napoca 2017-02-01
Series:Transylvanian Review of Administrative Sciences
Subjects:
Online Access:https://rtsa.ro/tras/index.php/tras/article/view/514
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author Nicolas JANNONE-BELLOT
Luisa MARTÍ-SELVA
Leandro GARCÍA-MENÉNDEZ
author_facet Nicolas JANNONE-BELLOT
Luisa MARTÍ-SELVA
Leandro GARCÍA-MENÉNDEZ
author_sort Nicolas JANNONE-BELLOT
collection DOAJ
description <p>The aim of this paper is to identify the determinantsof the rating assigned to sub-sovereignentities in Germany, Austria, Belgium, France,Italy and Spain, using a total of 92 territorial entitiesfor the 1989-2012 period. Multinomial orderedprobit estimation models were estimatedfor each specifi cation and agency.We conclude that the country’s rating is oneof the most important determinants of regionalgovernment’s ratings with a positive infl uence(as expected), and that the country debt/GDPratio is a stronger determinant for regions thantheir own indebtedness with a negative sign.Other relevant variables are population growthrate, unemployment rate, elderly people weight,regional public expenditure weight and size. Additionally,economic variables, such as country’srating and population growth are more importantto Fitch; whereas budget variables and size variablesare more relevant to Moody’s. Debt variablesand elderly people ratio are more importantto S&amp;P.</p>
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spelling doaj.art-646b5919aa5f46f8908df61867a3b57c2024-03-14T07:28:37ZengBabes-Bolyai University, Cluj-NapocaTransylvanian Review of Administrative Sciences1842-28452017-02-01135011012610.24193/tras.2017.0007531Determinants of Sub-Sovereign Government Ratings In EuropeNicolas JANNONE-BELLOT0Luisa MARTÍ-SELVA1Leandro GARCÍA-MENÉNDEZ2Secretary General of the Treasury and Financial Policy, Ministry of Economy, Industry and Competitiveness, Madrid, SpainProfessor, Department of Social Science and Economics, Faculty of Business Administration and Management, Technical University of Valencia, Valencia, SpainProfessor, Department of Applied Economics II, Faculty of Economy, University of Valencia, Valencia, Spain<p>The aim of this paper is to identify the determinantsof the rating assigned to sub-sovereignentities in Germany, Austria, Belgium, France,Italy and Spain, using a total of 92 territorial entitiesfor the 1989-2012 period. Multinomial orderedprobit estimation models were estimatedfor each specifi cation and agency.We conclude that the country’s rating is oneof the most important determinants of regionalgovernment’s ratings with a positive infl uence(as expected), and that the country debt/GDPratio is a stronger determinant for regions thantheir own indebtedness with a negative sign.Other relevant variables are population growthrate, unemployment rate, elderly people weight,regional public expenditure weight and size. Additionally,economic variables, such as country’srating and population growth are more importantto Fitch; whereas budget variables and size variablesare more relevant to Moody’s. Debt variablesand elderly people ratio are more importantto S&amp;P.</p>https://rtsa.ro/tras/index.php/tras/article/view/514rating, sub-sovereign entities, multinomial ordered probit, international fi nancial markets.
spellingShingle Nicolas JANNONE-BELLOT
Luisa MARTÍ-SELVA
Leandro GARCÍA-MENÉNDEZ
Determinants of Sub-Sovereign Government Ratings In Europe
Transylvanian Review of Administrative Sciences
rating, sub-sovereign entities, multinomial ordered probit, international fi nancial markets.
title Determinants of Sub-Sovereign Government Ratings In Europe
title_full Determinants of Sub-Sovereign Government Ratings In Europe
title_fullStr Determinants of Sub-Sovereign Government Ratings In Europe
title_full_unstemmed Determinants of Sub-Sovereign Government Ratings In Europe
title_short Determinants of Sub-Sovereign Government Ratings In Europe
title_sort determinants of sub sovereign government ratings in europe
topic rating, sub-sovereign entities, multinomial ordered probit, international fi nancial markets.
url https://rtsa.ro/tras/index.php/tras/article/view/514
work_keys_str_mv AT nicolasjannonebellot determinantsofsubsovereigngovernmentratingsineurope
AT luisamartiselva determinantsofsubsovereigngovernmentratingsineurope
AT leandrogarciamenendez determinantsofsubsovereigngovernmentratingsineurope