Climate Change Decreased Net Ecosystem Productivity in the Arid Region of Central Asia

Numerous studies have confirmed that climate change leads to a decrease in the net ecosystem productivity (<i>NEP</i>) of terrestrial ecosystems and alters regional carbon source/sink patterns. However, the response mechanism of <i>NEP</i> to climate change in the arid region...

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Main Authors: Jingjing Zhang, Xingming Hao, Haichao Hao, Xue Fan, Yuanhang Li
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2021-11-01
Series:Remote Sensing
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2072-4292/13/21/4449
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author Jingjing Zhang
Xingming Hao
Haichao Hao
Xue Fan
Yuanhang Li
author_facet Jingjing Zhang
Xingming Hao
Haichao Hao
Xue Fan
Yuanhang Li
author_sort Jingjing Zhang
collection DOAJ
description Numerous studies have confirmed that climate change leads to a decrease in the net ecosystem productivity (<i>NEP</i>) of terrestrial ecosystems and alters regional carbon source/sink patterns. However, the response mechanism of <i>NEP</i> to climate change in the arid regions of Central Asia remains unclear. Therefore, this study combined the Carnegie–Ames–Stanford approach (CASA) and empirical models to estimate the <i>NEP</i> in Central Asia and quantitatively evaluate the sensitivity of the <i>NEP</i> to climate factors. The results show that although the net primary productivity (<i>NPP</i>) in Central Asia exhibits an increasing trend, it is not significant. Soil heterotrophic respiration (<i>RH</i>) has increased significantly, while the <i>NEP</i> has decreased at a rate of 6.1 g C·m<sup>−2</sup>·10 a<sup>−1</sup>. Spatially, the regional distribution of the significant increase in <i>RH</i> is consistent with that of the significant decrease in the <i>NEP</i>, which is concentrated in western and southern Central Asia. Specifically, the <i>NPP</i> is more sensitive to precipitation than temperature, whereas <i>RH</i> and <i>NEP</i> are more sensitive to temperature than precipitation. The annual contribution rates of temperature and precipitation to the <i>NEP</i> are 28.79% and 23.23%, respectively. Additionally, drought has an important impact on the carbon source/sink in Central Asia. Drought intensified from 2001 to 2008, leading to a significant expansion of the carbon source area in Central Asia. Therefore, since the start of the 21st century, climate change has damaged the <i>NEP</i> of the Central Asian ecosystem. Varying degrees of warming under different climate scenarios will further aggravate the expansion of carbon source areas in Central Asia. An improved understanding of climate change impacts in Central Asia is critically required for sustainable development of the regional economy and protection of its natural environment. Our results provide a scientific reference for the construction of the Silk Road Economic Belt and global emissions reduction.
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spelling doaj.art-64706ae4a4e14176a1c81fdd20df95ec2023-11-22T21:33:39ZengMDPI AGRemote Sensing2072-42922021-11-011321444910.3390/rs13214449Climate Change Decreased Net Ecosystem Productivity in the Arid Region of Central AsiaJingjing Zhang0Xingming Hao1Haichao Hao2Xue Fan3Yuanhang Li4State Key Laboratory of Desert and Oasis Ecology, Xinjiang Institute of Ecology and Geography, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Urumqi 830011, ChinaState Key Laboratory of Desert and Oasis Ecology, Xinjiang Institute of Ecology and Geography, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Urumqi 830011, ChinaState Key Laboratory of Desert and Oasis Ecology, Xinjiang Institute of Ecology and Geography, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Urumqi 830011, ChinaState Key Laboratory of Desert and Oasis Ecology, Xinjiang Institute of Ecology and Geography, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Urumqi 830011, ChinaState Key Laboratory of Desert and Oasis Ecology, Xinjiang Institute of Ecology and Geography, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Urumqi 830011, ChinaNumerous studies have confirmed that climate change leads to a decrease in the net ecosystem productivity (<i>NEP</i>) of terrestrial ecosystems and alters regional carbon source/sink patterns. However, the response mechanism of <i>NEP</i> to climate change in the arid regions of Central Asia remains unclear. Therefore, this study combined the Carnegie–Ames–Stanford approach (CASA) and empirical models to estimate the <i>NEP</i> in Central Asia and quantitatively evaluate the sensitivity of the <i>NEP</i> to climate factors. The results show that although the net primary productivity (<i>NPP</i>) in Central Asia exhibits an increasing trend, it is not significant. Soil heterotrophic respiration (<i>RH</i>) has increased significantly, while the <i>NEP</i> has decreased at a rate of 6.1 g C·m<sup>−2</sup>·10 a<sup>−1</sup>. Spatially, the regional distribution of the significant increase in <i>RH</i> is consistent with that of the significant decrease in the <i>NEP</i>, which is concentrated in western and southern Central Asia. Specifically, the <i>NPP</i> is more sensitive to precipitation than temperature, whereas <i>RH</i> and <i>NEP</i> are more sensitive to temperature than precipitation. The annual contribution rates of temperature and precipitation to the <i>NEP</i> are 28.79% and 23.23%, respectively. Additionally, drought has an important impact on the carbon source/sink in Central Asia. Drought intensified from 2001 to 2008, leading to a significant expansion of the carbon source area in Central Asia. Therefore, since the start of the 21st century, climate change has damaged the <i>NEP</i> of the Central Asian ecosystem. Varying degrees of warming under different climate scenarios will further aggravate the expansion of carbon source areas in Central Asia. An improved understanding of climate change impacts in Central Asia is critically required for sustainable development of the regional economy and protection of its natural environment. Our results provide a scientific reference for the construction of the Silk Road Economic Belt and global emissions reduction.https://www.mdpi.com/2072-4292/13/21/4449vegetation carbon source and sinknet ecosystem productivitynet primary productivitysensitivity analysisCentral Asia
spellingShingle Jingjing Zhang
Xingming Hao
Haichao Hao
Xue Fan
Yuanhang Li
Climate Change Decreased Net Ecosystem Productivity in the Arid Region of Central Asia
Remote Sensing
vegetation carbon source and sink
net ecosystem productivity
net primary productivity
sensitivity analysis
Central Asia
title Climate Change Decreased Net Ecosystem Productivity in the Arid Region of Central Asia
title_full Climate Change Decreased Net Ecosystem Productivity in the Arid Region of Central Asia
title_fullStr Climate Change Decreased Net Ecosystem Productivity in the Arid Region of Central Asia
title_full_unstemmed Climate Change Decreased Net Ecosystem Productivity in the Arid Region of Central Asia
title_short Climate Change Decreased Net Ecosystem Productivity in the Arid Region of Central Asia
title_sort climate change decreased net ecosystem productivity in the arid region of central asia
topic vegetation carbon source and sink
net ecosystem productivity
net primary productivity
sensitivity analysis
Central Asia
url https://www.mdpi.com/2072-4292/13/21/4449
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AT xuefan climatechangedecreasednetecosystemproductivityinthearidregionofcentralasia
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