Citywide Cellular Traffic Prediction Based on a Hybrid Spatiotemporal Network

With the arrival of 5G networks, cellular networks are moving in the direction of diversified, broadband, integrated, and intelligent networks. At the same time, the popularity of various smart terminals has led to an explosive growth in cellular traffic. Accurate network traffic prediction has beco...

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Main Authors: Dehai Zhang, Linan Liu, Cheng Xie, Bing Yang, Qing Liu
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2020-01-01
Series:Algorithms
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/1999-4893/13/1/20
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author Dehai Zhang
Linan Liu
Cheng Xie
Bing Yang
Qing Liu
author_facet Dehai Zhang
Linan Liu
Cheng Xie
Bing Yang
Qing Liu
author_sort Dehai Zhang
collection DOAJ
description With the arrival of 5G networks, cellular networks are moving in the direction of diversified, broadband, integrated, and intelligent networks. At the same time, the popularity of various smart terminals has led to an explosive growth in cellular traffic. Accurate network traffic prediction has become an important part of cellular network intelligence. In this context, this paper proposes a deep learning method for space-time modeling and prediction of cellular network communication traffic. First, we analyze the temporal and spatial characteristics of cellular network traffic from Telecom Italia. On this basis, we propose a hybrid spatiotemporal network (HSTNet), which is a deep learning method that uses convolutional neural networks to capture the spatiotemporal characteristics of communication traffic. This work adds deformable convolution to the convolution model to improve predictive performance. The time attribute is introduced as auxiliary information. An attention mechanism based on historical data for weight adjustment is proposed to improve the robustness of the module. We use the dataset of Telecom Italia to evaluate the performance of the proposed model. Experimental results show that compared with the existing statistics methods and machine learning algorithms, HSTNet significantly improved the prediction accuracy based on MAE and RMSE.
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spelling doaj.art-650cf9bfe7bd4a6f89a80a0108c6adf22022-12-22T00:50:52ZengMDPI AGAlgorithms1999-48932020-01-011312010.3390/a13010020a13010020Citywide Cellular Traffic Prediction Based on a Hybrid Spatiotemporal NetworkDehai Zhang0Linan Liu1Cheng Xie2Bing Yang3Qing Liu4School of Software, Yunnan University, Kunming 650504, ChinaSchool of Software, Yunnan University, Kunming 650504, ChinaSchool of Software, Yunnan University, Kunming 650504, ChinaSchool of Software, Yunnan University, Kunming 650504, ChinaSchool of Software, Yunnan University, Kunming 650504, ChinaWith the arrival of 5G networks, cellular networks are moving in the direction of diversified, broadband, integrated, and intelligent networks. At the same time, the popularity of various smart terminals has led to an explosive growth in cellular traffic. Accurate network traffic prediction has become an important part of cellular network intelligence. In this context, this paper proposes a deep learning method for space-time modeling and prediction of cellular network communication traffic. First, we analyze the temporal and spatial characteristics of cellular network traffic from Telecom Italia. On this basis, we propose a hybrid spatiotemporal network (HSTNet), which is a deep learning method that uses convolutional neural networks to capture the spatiotemporal characteristics of communication traffic. This work adds deformable convolution to the convolution model to improve predictive performance. The time attribute is introduced as auxiliary information. An attention mechanism based on historical data for weight adjustment is proposed to improve the robustness of the module. We use the dataset of Telecom Italia to evaluate the performance of the proposed model. Experimental results show that compared with the existing statistics methods and machine learning algorithms, HSTNet significantly improved the prediction accuracy based on MAE and RMSE.https://www.mdpi.com/1999-4893/13/1/20communication traffic predictionintelligent traffic managementdeformable convolutionattention mechanism
spellingShingle Dehai Zhang
Linan Liu
Cheng Xie
Bing Yang
Qing Liu
Citywide Cellular Traffic Prediction Based on a Hybrid Spatiotemporal Network
Algorithms
communication traffic prediction
intelligent traffic management
deformable convolution
attention mechanism
title Citywide Cellular Traffic Prediction Based on a Hybrid Spatiotemporal Network
title_full Citywide Cellular Traffic Prediction Based on a Hybrid Spatiotemporal Network
title_fullStr Citywide Cellular Traffic Prediction Based on a Hybrid Spatiotemporal Network
title_full_unstemmed Citywide Cellular Traffic Prediction Based on a Hybrid Spatiotemporal Network
title_short Citywide Cellular Traffic Prediction Based on a Hybrid Spatiotemporal Network
title_sort citywide cellular traffic prediction based on a hybrid spatiotemporal network
topic communication traffic prediction
intelligent traffic management
deformable convolution
attention mechanism
url https://www.mdpi.com/1999-4893/13/1/20
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AT linanliu citywidecellulartrafficpredictionbasedonahybridspatiotemporalnetwork
AT chengxie citywidecellulartrafficpredictionbasedonahybridspatiotemporalnetwork
AT bingyang citywidecellulartrafficpredictionbasedonahybridspatiotemporalnetwork
AT qingliu citywidecellulartrafficpredictionbasedonahybridspatiotemporalnetwork